http://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-crash-2011-it-will-hit-by-christmas-2011-02-22?pagenumber=2
Market Crash 2011: It will hit by Christmas
By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
Feb. 22, 2011
(page 2, closing remarks)
Yes, the bubble will pop this year says Grantham: “If the S&P rises to 1,500, it would officially be the latest in the series of true bubbles. All of the famous bubbles broke, but only after short rates had started to rise.”
So keep a close watch on those two tipping points in your planning, interest rates breaking to the upside and the S&P closing near 1,500. When inflation pushes interest rates up they’ll choke off this bull market. If you’re active, better stop chasing higher returns, especially emerging markets.
Bottom line: In what sounds like a direct shot at super-bull Jeremy Siegel, Grantham says that GMO’s research warns that “the market is worth about 910 on the S&P 500, substantially less than current levels” just above 1,300.
Then Grantham throws his fast ball right down the middle: “The speed with which you should pull back from the market as it advances into dangerously overpriced territory this year is more of an art than a science, but by October 1 you should probably be thinking much more conservatively.”
Translation: Get the heck out of Wall Street’s stock market casino soon,
maybe as early as July 4th, and definitely get out by Christmas, because soon all the lies, lying and liars will stop working.