Bquat's Account Talk

I have a bad feeling about tomorrow, I sold my TNA position because I didn't like how things were lining up into the close. Good luck tho :)
Sorry guys I was taking a vet to an appointment this morning. Hindsight I probly should of exited yesterday, seeing the tracker. Well I guess the MA pattern is here so there's 95% of going to the bottom. Yes it just likea large head and shoulders. Risk is greater that reward so I'm exiting today and will have one IFT left to reenter. This was a losing trade for me overall.Hope for a little bounce while I exit.:notrust:
 
This is an excellent post from your maybe excontrary indicator.
The possible good: We are at may be a long term bull flag for the S&P. This is within the flag part a high base that has formed. We are aproaching the top of the consolidation off of a triple bottom and failed move. Very bullish.:)

The possible bad: We are also aproaching the double top area of 1470 which is heavy resistance. Yes heavy resistance.:suspicious:

The possible ugly: A failure to break out above 1470 will be a tripple top failure and big breakdown. I think it may be the formation of a MA pattern and we have a 95% chance of going all the way back down and them some.:worried:

Now whats going for us is that the weekly's are looking better (high base) and unlimited QE3 that could even stop the A pattern from completing. We are not overbought but still have a slight bearish divergence. A gap tomorrow would solve our problems, but today we moved less than yesterday, but time gives strenght. Okay opinions on these comments and charts are welcomed and are even asked for. Help our members decide. This is what I have and hope it's fair view what may happen.
Boy I didn't it to make this move in one day. I was right that the A had a 95% of completion but not this fast! I also mentioned that I wanted to sell and be able to buy back at the bottom of the consolidation but not in one day. As fast I we went down, I'm still fearful to buy after the 50 day holding as support. If we go back up tomorrow I'll be the silly goose and may be wish I didn't sell. Selling was my plan if we didn't make a higher high. I can get back in but now I have to see confirmation of an up move. I will draw the bear chart following this.
 
We may be over the clift holding a single strand of rope. There is a strong 10% chance the fifty will continue to hold.:notrust: The only chance of it holding is PPT intervention.:worried: Today will make the weekly a shooting star or topping tail very bearish. If we go more down tomorrow, the weekly and monthly will be red. We have the chance of a major correction right now and this 3% line I'm showing is minimum. I was supprised by thirsday's tracker being so negative and proving itself so right. Real Daha on my part. You know? The only senario I can look good in is another big down day after my exit is in effect.:embarrest: This is a possibility because flat tops cause big market drops.:worried:
 
If we do break back into the consolidation area it can also be a Head and Shoulders bull trap move. Rejection at the decending moving averages.
 
Dead cat bounce and bull trap because of making us think that we were back in the old trading range. Tested 50 day from below.
 
Getting a small bounce at the 2% loss area while programs are waiting for user input. I don't have a support line here but have one at the 3% loss area.
 
I am practicing a new schedual.;) I'm trying to sleep later and may miss market open while fixing my breakfast. Coffee is fine by the way. With the later breakfast I can delay lunch and not have to eat lunch early at the alley. I do have to eat lunch left handed though. I also changed my way of preparing to practice in the later part of the 15 min practice time as I arrive at the bowling alley a little later to stay here for the deadline. I leave my bowling balls in the truck to give me more time also. May have to rethink that when temperatures drop more. So Wednesday is the only day I have to decide early.:)
 
One more down day. Below the 50, setting lower highs and lower lows. Moving averages down turning. It's starting to look a little like the peaks are being sold. 1390 or Fed news should turn us. Were below the bull flag area.:notrust:
 
the russell 2000 is pissing me off, if i shorted any of the major indexes, i would have been making nice gains, tza finished at +1.70%, woulda got a bigger return just shorting the dow
 
the russell 2000 is pissing me off, if i shorted any of the major indexes, i would have been making nice gains, tza finished at +1.70%, woulda got a bigger return just shorting the dow
I'm real glad you and others are charting and I've even noticed an uptick of analysis talk being shared. Now maybe things will pick up as the election dwindles down and the trading season starts up.:D Thanks guys.
 
I'm real glad you and others are charting and I've even noticed an uptick of analysis talk being shared. Now maybe things will pick up as the election dwindles down and the trading season starts up.:D Thanks guys.

Thanks haha, I've been reading your thread a lot since coming here since you got some good charts yourself. I'm thinking this would be a down week, but I'm starting to get really careful with shorts. fed intervention, election coming up, weekly chart is nearing oversold, fear/greed index is starting to get more fearful, which actually has me ready to be a buyer. My strategy shifted a little more to wait for confirmation instead of trying to time the bottom. my past system would buy any strong hammer signal, but looking back into charts from 2007, buying some hammers preceded by strong moves down would have gotten me burned, I try to not get bit by a similar situation.
 
Thanks haha, I've been reading your thread a lot since coming here since you got some good charts yourself. I'm thinking this would be a down week, but I'm starting to get really careful with shorts. fed intervention, election coming up, weekly chart is nearing oversold, fear/greed index is starting to get more fearful, which actually has me ready to be a buyer. My strategy shifted a little more to wait for confirmation instead of trying to time the bottom. my past system would buy any strong hammer signal, but looking back into charts from 2007, buying some hammers preceded by strong moves down would have gotten me burned, I try to not get bit by a similar situation.
Me myself, I don't know nothing about shorting. I just have my TSP. :o This morning it looked like the market was trying to get people to jump in with futures being up. It didn't work so far or can the Plung Protection Team buy futures?:notrust: May be a false intraday high. I don't know but I'm guessing. I would like 1% more drop to satisfy the triple top. Never know with QE3.:confused:
 
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