Bottom Feeders on the tracker

Believe me if I had gotten out at the optimal time I would be in the top ten today. Even so my latest contributions would be buying shares but sitting with 10% and waiting is what id rather done. Can't bail now that would be mistake# 2.
 
FAB1 said:
My allocations go into equities. In this pullback there are some great buying opportunites. Just hold fast we will go back up and those fresh shares are going to feather your retirement nest. Next time maybe youllsell at the right time like JTH! ha ha
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I really thought about going to G on May 31st. But decided to wait out the week. A -7% later still hanging around the S fund.:notrust:
 
My allocations go into equities. In this pullback there are some great buying opportunites. Just hold fast we will go back up and those fresh shares are going to feather your retirement nest. Next time maybe youllsell at the right time like JTH! ha ha
 
I'm doing it my way also and look where it has gotten me. :D

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That's the spirit, I'm glad to see we haven't lost our sense of humor (might have lost everything else)
 
I'm working my way down...

It makes it easy to find yourself in the AutoTracker when you are in the top page or the bottom page. Yeah, that's the ticket...:p
 
Listen Hotshots, anybody can fall to the bottom of the tracker. The only thing is that if you were a know it all then it hurts really bad because you thought you were right and lost. There is nothing to be ashamed of even the Professionals do the same thing and they have College degrees and years of experience. So don't feel so bad, it happens and you have to take it like a man (or Woman) and learn from the experience, we've all been there and may be again because the Market is one tough SOB to second guess. If it was easy we would all be rich!
 
I am waiting patiently for the bounce back, and will not bail out just because I get back to even. Its a long road and I'm nowhere near retirement, so if I don't sell high I'm not going to sell.

The lesson I learned last year is that its far more painfull to jump out a the bottom and watch the market run up and the party rage on from the outside than to ride one of these corrections down.

I've learned how to spot topping patterns and I'm trying to start executing better rather than noting the top in hindsight. I've also learned some bottoming patterns, and if I'd done the right thing and bailed (or stayed out in this case) today would actually have been my buy-in day. So, if that hunch is wrong or if its right, it doesn't matter because it would be a lower buy-in. The important thing is that I'm buckled in for the next run up.

A 7% down month can be easily erased by a 7% up month. We can do very well with only 4-8 IFTs per year. Over time, I will see the turning points more quickly. But, I continue to read all I can here because a wide array of opinions backed by good reasoning provides a great education.
 
Lastly, there's a huge difference between "buying the dip" in a rally verses "catching a falling knife" in a downtrend. The latter should be avoided...
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I'm dying LMAO....I never move my own account the way I move the tracker....I can't trust myself!!!!!!


 
JTH said:
These are just a few observations, I'm sure some of you have a few of your own to add. Most folks here know I've spent a long time in the bottom of the tracker, but nevertheless, these are some things I felt I should share with the forum.

I've seen folks who use to post all the time, spouting off this and that. When they make it to the bottom of the tracker, they suddenly disappear?

I've learned from experience when you're at the bottom of the tracker your judgment can be severely impaired because your level of risk tolerance goes down.

Folks at the bottom of the tracker began to doubt their systems, change them, or begin to "interpret" them differently, thereby exponentially compounding the mistakes they are making.

Folks at the bottom have a hard time identifying a bull rally, and by the time they do, they've already bought in at the top because they were too impatient to wait for a pullback. Then they get burned (yet again) compounding their problems, making them even more gun shy.

Just because you have 2 IFTs doesn't mean you should use them. Moving your money around out of frustration without picking specific entry/exit points means you don't have a plan. If you don't have a plan why move your money?

We have lots of really smart folks here in the forum, but let's not assume being smart and having common sense go hand-in-hand. If you don't have a mentor you should find one. If your mentor isn't doing well this year and didn't the year before that (and so on), well then why are they your mentor?

Lastly, there's a huge difference between "buying the dip" in a rally verses "catching a falling knife" in a downtrend. The latter should be avoided...
Click to expand...

Bump (you know who you are)
 
The tracker is very limited in what information it conveys as it only tracks returns for one year and then we start all over again. I've studied the last three years worth and very few maintain their positions from year to year. Even professionals have bad years. Such is the market.
 
In the end it's all capital preservation. Some will take big risks with money as they may have longer time horizons or risk tolerance. The tracker is what it is. There's no reason for someone 60 years old to try shooting the lights out every month with the risk of losing 5% in one week.

Example: In cycling, the younger, less experienced riders tend to be more aggressive on the turns and downhills because they've never slipped on gravel or locked up their brakes at 45mph before. The older guys (or even experienced guys) keep their hands on the brakes but know that they won't crash from being too aggressive.

Though I will say this about the tracker. I hope the guys in the top 10 really did do as good as the tracker shows because those are some darn good numbers. People pay hedge funds millions for returns like that and you guys are putting up month after month without high frequency trading platforms, only 2 trades a month, and COB prices.
 
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