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bmneveu's Account Talk
- Thread starter bmneveu
- Start date
Mcqlives
Active member
Now I'm thinking of taking some (all?) off the table. If today holds around 1% then I have made about 3% on this trade so I like being greedy but....
Main factor I am considering is that we are only up 1%. I think if there was anything that could have had liquidity pour back into the markets it is the Trump Xi agreement...even if it is just a push of the "pause" button on tariffs then we should be higher than this.
Combine those thoughts with being at or near overhead resistance (C - 2810; S - 1364... but those are just my guesses) I am seriously looking at repositioning.
Main factor I am considering is that we are only up 1%. I think if there was anything that could have had liquidity pour back into the markets it is the Trump Xi agreement...even if it is just a push of the "pause" button on tariffs then we should be higher than this.
Combine those thoughts with being at or near overhead resistance (C - 2810; S - 1364... but those are just my guesses) I am seriously looking at repositioning.
James48843
Well-known member
It seems we have some interested buyers- at least we did later in the day.
Which is a good sign.
I am almost 100% sure that we still are going lower from here- BUT - the injection of buyers this afternoon was a positive sign for me that we are closer to a bottom than a top.
Cross your fingers- perhaps we may be close to a temp bottom, at least.
Tomorrow is the big Brexit day- and a vote in Parliament. If it turns out bad- we’ll likely head down again tomorrow.
Nothing quite like a roller coaster ride, isn’t it?
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
Which is a good sign.
I am almost 100% sure that we still are going lower from here- BUT - the injection of buyers this afternoon was a positive sign for me that we are closer to a bottom than a top.
Cross your fingers- perhaps we may be close to a temp bottom, at least.
Tomorrow is the big Brexit day- and a vote in Parliament. If it turns out bad- we’ll likely head down again tomorrow.
Nothing quite like a roller coaster ride, isn’t it?
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
Mcqlives
Active member
I hope we are near a bottom, if today wasn't if for at least the short term. Futures are down almost an hour into their trading but only a little bit. The morning will tell.
Brexit vote delayed. Doesn't sound like the EU wants to renegotiate much so March 29th may be a complete break without any concessions to the EU remaining.
The roller coaster is starting to make me sick...and I'm just watching from the lily pad!
bmneveu
Well-known member
Welp, this didn't age well.
bmneveu
Well-known member
Merry Christmas everyone! I had a great holiday in real life. Terrible in my TSP account though. I went into this quarter around break even for the year, but am now down about 15% as I've been riding it out in the I fund waiting for the Santa rally. Turns out the results weren't there, but I don't think the strategy was bad. I keep telling myself to trust the process, not the results. I'm not going to kick myself for being exposed to the first time the market has ever dropped more than 1% on Christmas Eve or whatever the statistic is. That's an historically statistical anomoly. I'm Birchtree'ing it up, fully exposed and buying more at the beginning of every month.
WorkFE
Well-known member
Time is your friend. Happy Holidays.
Mcqlives
Active member
Ditto. But I am hoping our ________(fill in the blank cause I don't see what is causing most of this drop) is just messed up and this is the start of the rally right now. Check out Toms most recent commentary. I almost always take away good stuff from his summaries but this one is a must read IMO. Just skim over the part about his "Plus" comments so he will, hopefully, drop little gems more often
1965Vintage
Member
Same here. I'll wait for a solid uptrend to form before I get back in.
Sent from my XT1585 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
bmneveu
Well-known member
Euro stock markets had a great day following the US strength. Should be a good day for the I fund... I hope.
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