Birchtree's Account Talk

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Some have heard me mention the ratio adjusted A/D line. Well here is some clarifying information. The ratio adjusted version of the NYSE A/D line (advance/decline line) was developed by the McClellans, with the RA, we are taking a set number of issues each and every day so that we have consistency over longer periods of time. And because there is so many more issues traded today than in the past, the RA has data consistency that the traditional composite NYSE doesn't. The composite index is every single product that is listed on the NYSE.

I will be so glad when I can achieve a +1.2 % on the autotracker.

 

[Tempest]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Basically everthing is flatlined till energy sorts itself out.
That's the bottomline.
I'm still 100% in equities waiting on the levee for the Robert E. Lee.

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Birch, seasonality is pretty big - so I'm not surprised by any gains.

Unfortunately I think most of this is short term buyers playing on an unstable field. I know you're a "guaranteed Bull" and I'm not trying to challege you on that - but you have better connections on VOLUME and that's what I want to see before I get in.

Have you seen any real substantial VOLUME over the past month or so - or is this just dragging on??

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Oil is off $4.24 to $126.80 - another ten dollars and volume will shift into the market. Everyone is looking for a trend, but trends don't develope on news. They require good internals and right now the MCSUM rising bottoms continues to hold, this would be another divergent structure developing in this same process of correction. Did you know that only 13% of kids in this country take calculus while in high school - they approach 90% in China and India. How do we change that?

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Oil is off $4.24 to $126.80 - another ten dollars and volume will shift into the market.

You know that is very unlikely and if it did go down another $10 - it would jump back up before anyone noticed. We need to move beyond the oil somehow because supplies are stable for at least another 10 years.
Did you know that only 13% of kids in this country take calculus while in high school - they approach 90% in China and India. How do we change that?

You don't want to get me started on that issue; too time consuming and I'd just go on and on about the BS and political garbage behind it all. But nothing I say will do - or change anything.

Bottom line from me is everyone throughout the world should take advantage of how the BRAIN develops and work with it accordingly. LEARNING A SECOND LANGUAGE - OR OTHER LANGUAGES - should be one of the first priorities BEFORE KINDERGARDEN - because the languages are most easily learned at an earlier age and there is no accent when learned at the right time. It would be far easier to thoroughly accomplish this goal in accordance with our developing brain - than trying to push it during a later and more awkward time.

Anyway - I could go on for hours on this one - so I'm getting out now.

 

[XL-entLady]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Did you know that only 13% of kids in this country take calculus while in high school - they approach 90% in China and India. How do we change that?

The children in China and India understand that calculus skills are a basic need in understanding today's business world. American children, as a generality, don't understand the need for it and think of it as a "dead language" like Latin.

My own experience is that this has been happening in this country for long enough that we're having to import teachers to instruct calculus from other countries. My son's calculus teacher was from Russia and had a thick accent, which made the subject more difficult to comprehend. So when it came time for my daughter to take the class, she refused. She doesn't even know what she lost.

So, Birch, how do we market the NEED for calculus?

Lady

 

[Tempest]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

They've been complaining about American kids math for decades-even when I was in grade school (circa 1960).

And I have yet to see anything make a softlanding (or crater) on Mars with an Indian or Chinese flag on it.

 

[love-to-bike]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

They've been complaining about American kids math for decades-even when I was in grade school (circa 1960).

And I have yet to see anything make a softlanding (or crater) on Mars with an Indian or Chinese flag on it.

Amen to that!

And it is a matter of priorities. I live in a progressive county (meaning taxes are relatively high) and most kids here are great as a result. Nieces and friend's kids are taking calculus, physics, Latin (and other languages) and we have a rich program of music and arts.

I grew up in a small town in the midwest where family still lives. They complain about kids and education but they squawk more about property taxes. You can bet that the music and language program is underfunded (I know, that's where I went to school) but the football program's doing great.

I guess it is a matter of priorities. For me, I'd rather pay more in taxes for better schools than cut back on education. My wife and I are in our 50's and have no children, but our lives are enhanced by those around us.

 

[nsurf9]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Imagine, learning specific subjects from the best teachers; directed by some of the best movie directors; and, brought together on the internet with some of the best programers in the country and/or world.

The possibilities are hugh. Moreover, available to anyone in the world who has the desire - from 1st grade thru Masters free, or nearly free.

I was awakened on my Lilly Pad.

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Last week the Dow was down 676 points in just 4 days and Ferdinand had no fear. A rally tomorrow will help us place a new all-time high in the Transports average - all we need is 37 points to get above 5446. The stock market recovery almost always precedes the economic recovery by about six months or so. I noticed the GDP was up 0.9% on a preliminary basis and may eventually be revised upwards. Where is that stinking recession.

I've been asked to build a portfolio for my potential son in law who is also in the U.S. Army. So what shall I buy for him? I think some smelly bank stocks and energy infrastructure would be a good start - taking into account the virtues of dividend reinvestment.

 

[XL-entLady]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Imagine, learning specific subjects from the best teachers; directed by some of the best movie directors; and, brought together on the internet with some of the best programers in the country and/or world.

The possibilities are hugh. Moreover, available to anyone in the world who has the desire - from 1st grade thru Masters free, or nearly free.

Nsurf9, Excellent point!

My son just got his MBA from an online university that is co-sponsored by several western state governments. He was able to do it while working every day at his day job as a computer programmer. His daughter (my oldest granddaughter) wasn't being challenged enough in first grade, so next year she is going to participate in some beta grade school classes at the same online university, while she is going to second grade in her traditional school.

What a great world!

Lady

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

"More gains ahead for U.S. mortgage backed securities. Further outperformance is likely for mortgage-backed securities based on our outlook for stable yields, firm demand and flat to lower swap spreads. Stay overweight MBS versus an underweight in Treasury securities." I remember all the gloom and doom a few months back from some of our members that have now tucked their heads and simply faded. Such as politics.

http://www.bankcreditanalyst.com

 

[luv2read]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Not tucked and faded. Simply choose not to engage in baiting and button-pushing. There's enough stress in life without picking up more here. Rule of life to keep friends: don't discuss religion and politics and don't lend money.

 

[Steadygain]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Not tucked and faded. Simply choose not to engage in baiting and button-pushing. There's enough stress in life without picking up more here. Rule of life to keep friends: don't discuss religion and politics and don't lend money.

Good Morning Sweetheart!!

Politics is pretty hard to avoid - especially when it has such a fundamental decision on where the country as a whole is heading.

Religion itself is probably the most central core of our existence - so that one is also hard to keep suppressed.

I'm finding the subject matter seems to make little difference no matter what is brought up. But you're right - it's probably better to drop the subject when it's obvious it's just spinning in circles.

 

[Buster]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

God dmanit, I can't believe the lack of decent presidential candidate choices...but just keeping neutral....Mormons rule

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Allah, Obama is where he is today because of his race and not much else. Did you know we now have 57 states in the U.S.

 

[Frixxxx]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Allah, Obama is where he is today because of his race and not much else. Did you know we now have 57 states in the U.S.

Can't see the extra stars on the flag Birch.....

 

[Silverbird]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Allah, Obama is where he is today because of his race and not much else. Did you know we now have 57 states in the U.S.

Good News: Obama is NOT Muslim, and the guy in Congress who took his oath on the Koran is a completely different person.
Ok, Bad News: Obama's [former] Pastor is in a time warp and still acts like there are seperate bathrooms, segregated schools with no books, and no service at restaurants for "colored" in the South. Islam or not isn't the issue. He's Christian or he wouldn't have a Pastor Problem.

Oh, 57 states? Did the District of Columbia finally get Statehood? :toung: Or are they now a Territory and don't pay taxes?

 

[Birchtree]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

Obama made a comment in one of his recent speeches that there were 57 states - gaff. Nothing could be more dangerous to his aspirations than the revelation that he sat Sunday after Sunday in an Afrocentric, black nationalist church. How does one transcend race in this church? The fact is that Barack Obama has fellow-traveled with a hate-filled, anti-American black nationalism all his adult life, failing to stand and challenge an ideaology that would have no place for his own white mother. And what portent of presidential judgement is it to have exposed his two daughters for their entire lives to what is, at the very least, a subtext of anti-white vitriol? ("God damn America"). Mr. Obama flatters whites, grants them racial innocence, and hopes to ascend on the back of their gratitude. So the man as a bargainer presents himself as an opportunity for liberal whites to experience racial innocence. Bargainers make the subliminal promise to whites not to shame them with America's history of racism, on the conditiuon that they will not hold the bargainer's race against him. And whites love this bargain - and feel affection for the bargainer - because it gives them racial innocence in a society where whites live under constant threat of being stigmatized as racist.

 

[XL-entLady]

Re: Birchtree's account talk

I'm going to channel Rodney King for a moment: "People, I just want to say, you know, can we all get along? Can we get along? Can we stop making it horrible for the older people and the kids?...It’s just not right. It’s not right. It’s not, it’s not going to change anything."

So how do we change things? How about Mahatma Gandhi: "You must be the change you wish to see in the world."


Lady