Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
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Birchtree's Account Talk
- Thread starter Birchtree
- Start date
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
From my WSJ. "So the PCE index, which was up just 1.6% from a year earlier in August, looks as if it will soon start flashing even lower readings. The day when the Fed sees inflation hit its 2% target seems further and further away. That will make raising its target rate for overnight loans all the more difficult. It is looking more likely that the first rate increase will come in the second half of next year rather than the first. And when the Fed does start raising rates, it may only do so slowly."
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Last week has my oceanic account had me back on the come back trail: +$50K, +$148K, -$84K, +$116K, +$27K for a positive gain of +$257K. Now if I could get another good week I'll be even for the month of October. I might even make some money for the year if the next two months cooperate. I'm now up to 138 dividend increase announcements - two months left to reach 158. These dividend increases will hopefully go on for years to come building my income stream.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
jpcavin
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 97
I second that. Just finished reading it.
kave
TSP Strategist
- Reaction score
- 14
Just wish I understood more of it!! :blink:
jpcavin
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 97
I think in a nutshell, it's saying that even if the Fed delivers bad news, the market as a whole will do well. Just my take.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
OK here we go for the next two years anyway. "The central bank's ultraloose monetary stimulus has played a role in boosting prices of stocks to record high this year and kept bond yields near historic lows. Investors now are worried that the Fed may start raising official interest rates sooner than anticipated. Many investors were surprised to see a relatively optimistic assessment of the outlook for the U.S. economy given a recent focus on economic woes in Europe and low inflation in the U.S." It would appear that 2015 will be an excellent year to stay long.
Birchtree
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 143
You know what is going to happen to the bond market - it just takes time since the bond market is ten times larger than the stock market. If history is any guide rising rates should also mean rising stocks. In fact those years of consistently increasing rates are some of the best in the history of the benchmark S&P 500 index. I'll be staying long with the opportunity to make a few more millions of dollars.
I certainly do and just increased exposure to C and S COB today. Of course, when Obama got elected I just into G and languished for 5 years or so missing the giant run up due to quantatative easing. So, do exactly opposite what I think and you will be ahead.
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