Birchtree's Account Talk

jomfresno
i would like to start out by saying i don't know shizzle, but i try to look out for those young new employees who don't know what to do with their TSP money. in particular a very close friend who came on 8 yrs ago and has 20plus to go. he was very conservative and kept his money in G fund, even tho i told hiom to move to equities. my reasoning is simple. when the markets are down your buying at a lower rate and when its up your benifiting from DCAing. this is especially true when your not going anywhere anytime soon. i feel like its a win win situation. he finally came tro me and wanted to move his money and after the first year he made more than he had made in the past years combined, and kicks himself for not moving it earlier. i tell hoim to look foeward and don't worry about whats behind him, nothing he can do about the past. i'm 2 months from retiring and i'm balls to the wall and fully invested in equities for basically the same situation. i don't plan to touch my TSP when retiring and just let it ride. i would like to avoid the so called CORRECTION thats been mentioned since last year, but this market is very resilient and has a way of putting people to sleep and continue to push up. i remember not too long ago unemployement was in double digits now 6.6%. things like that are going unnoticed and good changes are happening. thats what i mean by people are in a sleep or fog over the changes that have occured slowly but surely. everyone has their own strategy and timeframe so to each their own. a lot of good info on this site, but you need to take things said with a grain of salt. thats my 2 cents so lets make some money.:D

Absolutely, he was spot on, as were you. A colleague of mine berates me almost daily for not doing the buy-and-hold thang. I rode the market back from 666 to around 1200, but I got out thinking there would be another major drop and there was none. Now I'm in the frame of mind that since I missed this nice run up, I'm getting in at the top. I think I need to make the IFT into C/S/I and get a lobotomy that's reversable on the day I retire...

He also made pretty good points about the workforce, education, technology, etc. Smart guy. Hope he's right.
 
jomfresno
i would like to start out by saying i don't know shizzle, but i try to look out for those young new employees who don't know what to do with their TSP money. in particular a very close friend who came on 8 yrs ago and has 20plus to go. he was very conservative and kept his money in G fund, even tho i told hiom to move to equities. my reasoning is simple. when the markets are down your buying at a lower rate and when its up your benifiting from DCAing. this is especially true when your not going anywhere anytime soon. i feel like its a win win situation. he finally came tro me and wanted to move his money and after the first year he made more than he had made in the past years combined, and kicks himself for not moving it earlier. i tell hoim to look foeward and don't worry about whats behind him, nothing he can do about the past. i'm 2 months from retiring and i'm balls to the wall and fully invested in equities for basically the same situation. i don't plan to touch my TSP when retiring and just let it ride. i would like to avoid the so called CORRECTION thats been mentioned since last year, but this market is very resilient and has a way of putting people to sleep and continue to push up. i remember not too long ago unemployement was in double digits now 6.6%. things like that are going unnoticed and good changes are happening. thats what i mean by people are in a sleep or fog over the changes that have occured slowly but surely. everyone has their own strategy and timeframe so to each their own. a lot of good info on this site, but you need to take things said with a grain of salt. thats my 2 cents so lets make some money.:D
GUCHI, thanks so much. I have about 10-12 years to go. I appreciate your views and advice. You're probably getting more sleep than me with your strategy, and making a whole lot more money too! But I do appreciate it. I'm sure I'll be jumping in soon, and then maybe I'll ask the wife to change my TSP password and block my access, and take away my cell phone, etc. to prevent me from taking off what Birchtree calls my sticky pants.

Good advice my friend, good advice..:)
 
It's gonna take a whole lotta bull tinky to put this fire out - just protect your shoes. When you hear that sound of bull tinky landing on a flat rock it's time to load up the truck - even at historic highs because more new all time highas are on the horizon. The animal spirits are kicking in and the doorway is crowded - there is no reason to wait. So the question now is just how high this 5th wave must travel to take bullishness to appropriate heights for a significant market correction - I'll just ride through it like I always do. This rally is so steep that it defies gravity's laws and still I have no fear. History has seen years when stocks increased 25, 30, or even 40 percent over the entire calendar year. TINA - there is no alternative, stocks the only game in town.
 
The ability to step back and use the market to achieve one's goals, rather than trying to follow and beat the market's every move, is key to long term success in investing. As my sacrifice I wanted to make +$100K in my oceanic account and I got that if we hold from here. I should have some buying power tomorrow and will probably put some of that to work.
 
Mr. Btree I feel the marijuana will be a huge profit maker going forward. How can I invest in it? I see there are some stocks HEMP CBIS MWIP MJNA and others but they seem to be penny stocks and very volatile. I'm sure the big tobacco companies want to move into this market or others. I know some people have strong feelings against this, but imho its gonna happen and is happening. What's your take?
 
Mr. Btree I feel the marijuana will be a huge profit maker going forward. How can I invest in it? I see there are some stocks HEMP CBIS MWIP MJNA and others but they seem to be penny stocks and very volatile. I'm sure the big tobacco companies want to move into this market or others. I know some people have strong feelings against this, but imho its gonna happen and is happening. What's your take?

I predict these stocks will go up in smoke...I'm sorry, I couldn't resist...
 
I'd suggest you buy some seeds from Ontario and grow your own - and sell to the folks that have shops selling Maryjane. It's easy to get into the business with little step up.
 
Now please heed the warning - you might want to stand back away from the exhaust thrusters on the open tomorrow because we are headed for escape velocity. Where oh where is the next top? Given that the stock market does not typically top out until four to six months after a peak in the NYSE advance/decline line so I think we are not there yet to the end of this cyclical move.
 
Hey Chief, may I ask what your percent gain was on a gangbusters day like today? Whether you made a thousand or a million is of no concern to me. It's all about percent gain.
 
John,

I have absolutely no idea about my percentage gains - I don't track them. I do know what dollar appreciation I experienced though and it was healthy. I'm disappointed in that my dividends had to pay up for their wall flowers - but then again I'm possibly looking at some buying power. My dividends will be working every day this month so perhaps I'll collect some bargains before the month ends. If anyone else may be interested I took in +$119K on the day.
 
$119K on a $4M account would be 2.975%.

$5M account? 2.38%.

Either way, Very impressive when the S&P was up 1.53%. And that doesn't include all the dividends.
 
The problem is I can't spend a percentage so I'd rather know the dollar amounts.

"I am a retail investor and I realized it in 2011 that it is a bull market and started moving to stocks. Not a cyclical bull but a secular bull. People laughed and they still do when I say it is a secular bull. But hey...at first the doomers called it a dead cat bounce after the 2008 crash, then they called it a bear market rally, then they called it 'cyclical bull' and now they are silent. If the market continues to rise for another couple of years, same people will start calling it a secular bull. That is when I will be worried." Now that is a precious story.

Retail Investors Slowly Stepping Back into Stocks | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM
 
The problem is I can't spend a percentage so I'd rather know the dollar amounts.

"I am a retail investor and I realized it in 2011 that it is a bull market and started moving to stocks. Not a cyclical bull but a secular bull. People laughed and they still do when I say it is a secular bull. But hey...at first the doomers called it a dead cat bounce after the 2008 crash, then they called it a bear market rally, then they called it 'cyclical bull' and now they are silent. If the market continues to rise for another couple of years, same people will start calling it a secular bull. That is when I will be worried." Now that is a precious story.

Retail Investors Slowly Stepping Back into Stocks | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

Haha! That's hilarious.

By the way, $119K is a good day's work. Too bad your dividends have to pay up. Eh, oh well, what are you gonna do? Light up your cigar tonight with a $20.
 
I'm anticipating buying some wallflowers today - Mindylou is licking her chops with glee. Buy high and ride higher...
 
Chasing Ferdinand and buying: AP, AHC, ABB, AIN, AA, AEE. I plan to come back later and buy a few more select wall flowers for Spring.
 
Back so soon - "Well what are you going to do now" a quote from Banshee, I'm on a buying spree: BAC, GE, NFX, RRTS, RES, GAS. That should calm me for awhile. If the rally continues to explode I'll return with more optimism.
 
Back
Top