Birchtree's Account Talk

[Devilduck]

Used a IFT to jump in a few days ago. Any move, including to G or a percentage thereof, will constitute 2nd IFT and then I will not be able to jump back in after consolodation as we are very over baught.

Any recommendations?

G/5
c/50
s/25
I/20

 

[JTH]

Ok, now I'm starting to feel underinvested...

View attachment 10156

 

[Birchtree]

Devilduck,

It's time to ride the woolly beast until year end and beyond - be right and sit tight.

 

[SWAVET]

USD down I fund look attractive and I want some, but don't want to use my IFT.

 

[Birchtree]

You did great with the S fund today - probably better than a 3% gain. However, you are at risk of some fluff give back in the not too distant future. I keep a position in the I fund primarily because it is a large cap sector. I've got 20% G waiting for a bite on the S fund once it consolidates. These last two months are going to be fun. Snort.

 

[Birchtree]

I didn't hit my target of $100K for today but I did bring in $86K so I'll keep building my oceanic account until it's assured. Perhaps tomorrow will be as sweet. My KG is being bought out and since I need cash now I'm going to sell it tomorrow and redirect those dollars into my wall flowers. Now is the time to try and load up the truck in preparation for Q1 2011.

 

[JTH]

Friend, I know you have patience for a pullback, but just in case someone else doesn't, I'll only say we are extremely overbought in the short-term. These 15 minute charts show the C-Fund has already met its PO (price objective) while the S-Fund's chart is just points away from its PO.

View attachment 10158View attachment 10157

 

[Birchtree]

#32 ChuckH has moved to 100%G COB - that's good. I was looking at my DCA approach with BTU (Peabody Energy) - FWIW - $44.14, $46.40, $48.49, $47.58, $49.70, $42.51, $40.16, and $41.61. It has gotten away from me at this point with a price of $57.69 so I've decided to simply let it run until we get a stock split then I'll come back for more.

 

[dannyboy]

*************************
I am kind of doing what I don't like to do and that is to follow others, historical leads,etc. I just went from C-60,I-40%% to S-100%. I still had a good feelin' for the I, Lots of Luck, Ireland?, but the S should do well in holiday months?
*****
diversify S-100% to G-20, F-30, C-25, I-25%%%%
It's a new month and time to play: Wheel-of-TSP. I am not sure if things are going to get a lot better, but I'm happy. The new political thingee, earnings season?, World, Xmas coming, everyone predicts gloom, etc. But What do I know?
I'm just lucky to be one of the highest performers of October! Thanks again, Tom. I would have never noticed, too much other data.

 

[alevin]

hmm, I thought about btu last year but never pulled the trigger. woulda, coulda, shoulda. so many choices, not enough cash. I spent a year of my life working on some of their lands-not for them directly but ultimately funded by a contract with them.

even had to go through a picket line to get a key from their office when I got locked out of the back of their property (was working on undisturbed ground away from the mine itself) during a strike-wasn't that exciting for a 23yr old female working alone? It was early in the strike tho, the guys were still in good humor at that point. glad I didn't have to do it a second time.

Birch, let me know when the stock splits, I'll give it another whirl on contemplating when it does.

 

[Birchtree]

I sold my KG to raise some cash and bought these wall flowers: AVY, POL, FOE, CDI, DW.

#9 on the tracker MRJ has reduced his 100%S position to 33% and decided to diversify into C and I. #12 hotshot moved back into 100% S trying to tighten the race. I'm still holding my 20% G - waiting for golden pricing on the S fund. If I can make another $47K in my oceanic account the investing world begins to open up - freeing up bundles of cash to spend myself into happiness. But first comes the consolidation and how deep is the question.

 

[Birchtree]

My MEE (Massey Energy) has just caught a buy out bid from my ANR (Alpha Natural) for something > $47. Now what I need is a healthy bidding war to develope and push the price closer to $60. We'll see if there is a white knight ready to step up. I only want a larger profit from this company - greedy bugger that I am.

 

[McDuck]

It was a nice 30 minutes before closing today.

 

[Birchtree]

We have more room to run but I'm terribly nervous with so much bullishness - I'll have to go see Lady Heather of CSI fame to get a little pain I guess. She is now on Nikita. I'll be buying regardless because we may not look back for awhile with so much liquidity available. When the VIX tags the 16 level my radar goes up - but until then it's laissez faire. Keep an eye on the coal industry M&As - will the Chinese step in for a purchase.

 

[Birchtree]

Read at your own peril - I cannot be held accountable.

"The reality of the stock markets' post election performance after every MTE (mid-term election) year since 1962 is far more bullish than I imagined. In general the post MTE performance of the stock market has been very strong. So we can't just dismiss out of hand the possibility of a big post MTE rally this year simply because the stock markets were strong ;eading into it. In history pre-election performance didn't matter, the stock markets still tended to rally regardless."

http://www.safehaven.com/article/18835/mid-term-election-rallies

Right now there is nothing above the indexes but air purified with the sweet smell of superlative bull manure. Snort.

 

[Steadygain]

Goodnight Birch !!

Have a great weekend.​

 

[Birchtree]

Thankyou Steady - I'll be studying most of the weekend. I'm getting prepared to spend several hundred thousand dollars. Much gratitude to my investment advisor who helps make the list. I'm determined to buy myself into happiness and purchase a lake place.

http://theguruinvestor.com/2010/11/05/hulbert-wall-of-worry-remains-intact/

 

[crws]

You're probably looking for some old company-
Hang tight, I'll be there soon!

 

[Birchtree]

At #99 I would not count too heavily on that 100% S fund to propel you past #66. You may see a 9% return real soon - then you can try for positioning. There will be blood before the next serious leg up - that would be a classic market move to shake a few off the back of the bull.

 

[Birchtree]

CRWS,

Alright at #88 you have me worried - but I'll hold my position and see what happens. Eventually my 20% G has got to come in handy for a propitious purchase - common sense is about to prevail.