Birchtree's Account Talk

[Steadygain]

Steady,

Another story if I may?

Another of my high school classmates had his wife leave him - she eventually took a bullet in Tampa. His second wife recently died from cancer. Nine of my classmates out of 42 have already died and another is in progress. Makes me count my blessings. When my fiancee left me for the doctor I was in pain for a year. When the call finally came she wanted to re-establish the relationship - I told her sorry that I already had some one new in training. It was so nice to eventually find someone that had already been trained in the arts.

Sorry ~ brother Birch -- I missed this and am doing the final glance before I head home.

Man I don't have a clue what happened to any of my HS classmates. But I went to a large HS in Baltimore.

With me it's just the opposite Birchmister -- I guess as my last child is getting close to college and retirement doesn't look all that far away I'm simply thinking more and more --

-- about the blessings I'm missing :worried: and to a large degree have been missing. My work in very rewarding and my health and all is great but with so many years left ...

... this is honestly the very first time EVER - I've been able to remotely think about my own life and 'what is best for me' - 'how would I really want to live out the remaining years' - and 'what kind of quality do I have'

So people die Birch - and screwed up things happen

I'm not sure what you're trying to tell me -- but I hugely count my blessings and I'm like enormously grateful for everything I have ...

If Peter Pan waves a wand over 'us' and the 'chemistry changes' and everything is flowing wonderfully and life is genuinely 'fulfilling and all' well that's cool with me. But man I don't want to simply co-habitate and mainly make an effort to avoid friction.

But I'm just in the planting stage - so time will tell. Based on everything you've shared if I'd ever divorce -- then I either die of gunshot wounds or I'll get plagued with cancer.

But you never know man - it could be just the opposite -- anyway I'm just keepin' ya up to par.

 

[Birchtree]

I bought more BP at $38.01 this morning - now I'll see where it lands. Looking for my oceanic to close the week out even now that the market is down 161 - doesn't look like a kangaroo tail today - but it's still early yet. I've seen stranger things happen.

 

[JTH]

Very well said Steady.

 

[Birchtree]

I'm sitting here sipping with my sippy a Birchbeer and debating whether I should give up hope and go mow the lawn. So let's take a look at my recent BP purchase prices as I ride the cycle: $45.96, $36.99, $31.66, $29.91, $29.73, $27.86, $33.14, $36.02, $37.01, $38.01. It'll be interesting to see what dividend payment they declare for next year. Until then I may make a few more DCA buys as we move higher - providing we do move higher. So today may be lost to the bears as part of the summer doldrums - but it is still early. Sorry I didn't give you all my number of shares bought but a girl has to keep some secretes.

 

[JTH]

I'm sitting here sipping with my sippy a Birchbeer and debating whether I should give up hope and go mow the lawn. So let's take a look at my recent BP purchase prices as I ride the cycle: $45.96, $36.99, $31.66, $29.91, $29.73, $27.86, $33.14, $36.02, $37.01, $38.01. It'll be interesting to see what dividend payment they declare for next year. Until then I may make a few more DCA buys as we move higher - providing we do move higher. So today may be lost to the bears as part of the summer doldrums - but it is still early. Sorry I didn't give you all my number of shares bought but a girl has to keep some secretes.

I know you don't feel too bad. When the lows are put in early in the day, it usually means prices have a better chance to recover before the close. i wouldn't be at all surprised to see a close at or above 1079.

 

[Warrenlm]

spelling of "secretes" on purpose in context?

 

[crws]

"Victoria Secretes"

 

[Birchtree]

I'm going to hold out on my next BP purchase at $39 and continue until I reach $47 - then we just let'er ride. There are just so many other places to shop and so few dollars to work with until I'm back into margin buying power which may come in August. I have three dividends to be reinvested on the close so the day is not a complete blowout. The VIX is not showing overwhelming negativity - that might be a positive for later today. Anyway I'm not going to mow the lawn today - rather just practicing my rope a dope strategy.

 

[Birchtree]

"Naturally in the wake of the recent stock-market selling, bearish theories have made a major resurgence. You can't turn on CNBC for 5 minutes, let alone a financial newspaper, without seeing endless reasons why the stock markets are doomed to spiral ever lower. But the little discussed contrarian case against these mainstream arguments is pretty compelling today."

http://www.safehaven.com/article/17512/spx-cyclical-bull-lives

 

[crws]

it'll be a good weekend for Prechter to sell books and subscriptions.
I wonder if he'll get another MSM headline in the Sunday financial section...

 

[Birchtree]

A funny thing happend on the way to the Coliseum today - the VIX ended at 26.25 +1.11. No fear with a -261 drop may mean good vibes for Monday. I think we may have just put in a higher low going forward similar to 2004 on that fourth try. Adam Hamilton has the right ideas.

 

[amoeba]

is this my lesson?

A funny thing happend on the way to the Coliseum today - the VIX ended at 26.25 +1.11. No fear with a -261 drop may mean good vibes for Monday. I think we may have just put in a higher low going forward similar to 2004 on that fourth try. Adam Hamilton has the right ideas.

Eh. Not only have there been five (not four) lower lows since 4/23 on the SPY, but the highs have been lower. If the market had put in a higher high, say, 1,130 or so, or at least higher than the 200 DMA (it did go almost exactly even with it), then there would perhaps be a case. But no. It is hard to be optimistic with the banks in such trouble, they aren't even making as much on credit card interest (balances declining). Not a good signal for consumption increasing.

By the by, you actually went into positive territory for the first time in months - coming within 9 ranking positions of me. I, however, went 93% F fund, limiting my daily losses (.21%). You held, as always, and went negative somewhere around 3%.

So WHAT'S MY LESSON? I think it is, when Birchtree comes anywhere near me in the ranking, that is time to change strategy!!! is that it?

 

[Steadygain]

Very well said Steady.

Actually I think I'm finally starting to piece things together. The truth is Birch recently said 'It's all karma' and I have to believe that is the most bottom line and deepest truth we could know. For me the 'Ultimate Karma' was found for the first time ever on the level I discovered it.

God is LOVE and that LOVE is so far beyond what any of us are capable of knowing or living or possessing unless we have allowed His Spirit to take charge and rule in us and guide us and all. So I've done thiat here and there over the years -- but too much 'in and out' - 'hot and cold' - 'sort of lukewarm' EVEN when deep down I'm sincerely making an effort to let GOD do wonderful things and make Himself known in me.

But I've never really had the opportunity to 'give my life' on the level I recently did -- To deeply let GOD know I'm willing to give my life so she might live; I'm more than willing to take the pain (and sickness) so she can be healthy and free of all pain. Yet I am convinced that if I had not been willing to devote myself on that level - and seek it with all my being - then I never would have found the faith to find GOD on that level --- on the kind of level Jesus had when He gave His Life for us. Yet when we reach that it changes us so completely that our view of LIFE and our goals and aspirations force us to forget the 'meaninlgless past and move forward with greater devotion'.

For LIFE is always a series of stages -- a race that never ends and I want to go further and further while I have the chance.

So 'Ultimately that is what I am talking about' - and it's not that I need to leave my wife - I simply NEED a Spirit and a personality that 'Blends' with me in a way that spurs greater 'Belief, Inspiration, and Deeper Devotion and Committment'. It has to be something that 'flourishes' - grows and blossoms - and all the more it has to be deeply based on an existence wholly dependent on each other and essentially everything has to center on GOD and point to God.

So that's what I'm talking about - and I'm simply willing to do whatever I need to do to allow this to happen. Yet in all things I believe I need to honor my wife as much as possible and to do all things on her behalf and strive to keep friendship and respect alive. So throughout the process I need to show her and everyone else that LOVE is true.

At this point Birch and Alevie are the only ones I believe I could sacrifice everything on that level - to find that kind of faith again. But I would want to try to find it more often (with others) because there is nothing I've ever known or experienced that even remotely comes close. I feel like I'm barely coming to know what 'Real Faith' and 'Real Life' are - and I'm longing to know it more deeply and live it out as much as possible.

So it's not 'my wife' in particular I'm attacking. I'm simply not willing to let any relationship hold me back from fully living for His Glory and making it known on greater levels. I am willing to let go of anything that does.

Hope that makes sense --- well have a great weekend everyone.

I couldn't sleep and came down to check things out.

 

[ezmoney]

Actually I think I'm finally starting to piece things together. The truth is Birch recently said 'It's all karma' and I have to believe that is the most bottom line and deepest truth we could know. For me the 'Ultimate Karma' was found for the first time ever on the level I discovered it.

God is LOVE and that LOVE is so far beyond what any of us are capable of knowing or living or possessing unless we have allowed His Spirit to take charge and rule in us and guide us and all. So I've done thiat here and there over the years -- but too much 'in and out' - 'hot and cold' - 'sort of lukewarm' EVEN when deep down I'm sincerely making an effort to let GOD do wonderful things and make Himself known in me.

But I've never really had the opportunity to 'give my life' on the level I recently did -- To deeply let GOD know I'm willing to give my life so she might live; I'm more than willing to take the pain (and sickness) so she can be healthy and free of all pain. Yet I am convinced that if I had not been willing to devote myself on that level - and seek it with all my being - then I never would have found the faith to find GOD on that level --- on the kind of level Jesus had when He gave His Life for us. Yet when we reach that it changes us so completely that our view of LIFE and our goals and aspirations force us to forget the 'meaninlgless past and move forward with greater devotion'.

For LIFE is always a series of stages -- a race that never ends and I want to go further and further while I have the chance.

So 'Ultimately that is what I am talking about' - and it's not that I need to leave my wife - I simply NEED a Spirit and a personality that 'Blends' with me in a way that spurs greater 'Belief, Inspiration, and Deeper Devotion and Committment'. It has to be something that 'flourishes' - grows and blossoms - and all the more it has to be deeply based on an existence wholly dependent on each other and essentially everything has to center on GOD and point to God.

So that's what I'm talking about - and I'm simply willing to do whatever I need to do to allow this to happen. Yet in all things I believe I need to honor my wife as much as possible and to do all things on her behalf and strive to keep friendship and respect alive. So throughout the process I need to show her and everyone else that LOVE is true.

At this point Birch and Alevie are the only ones I believe I could sacrifice everything on that level - to find that kind of faith again. But I would want to try to find it more often (with others) because there is nothing I've ever known or experienced that even remotely comes close. I feel like I'm barely coming to know what 'Real Faith' and 'Real Life' are - and I'm longing to know it more deeply and live it out as much as possible.

So it's not 'my wife' in particular I'm attacking. I'm simply not willing to let any relationship hold me back from fully living for His Glory and making it known on greater levels. I am willing to let go of anything that does.

Hope that makes sense --- well have a great weekend everyone.

I couldn't sleep and came down to check things out.

Yes Steady, when we were young we were on top of the world and nothing could stop us. As we get older we realize in all honesty that our lifes are truely as Jesus said just a vapor. We come to realize our own mortality and just what will our legacy really be, all the wealth,and fame will mean absolutly nothing on our final journey. We realize that there is a creator, that we just didn't crawl out of the ocean and evolve. We want to be remembered by our gentle deeds and faith in our God rather than the mere words that men speak over us at our funeral. So Steady keep the faith; God understands all that is going on in our world and our souls.

EZ!

 

[Birchtree]

The sell off on Friday was designed to make me wobble - and I did wobble. But I'm still standing. I'm reaching the big time - my 948 stock buys since last June has demonstrated that. This is no country for old men but every dog does have his day. When the bull returns the gains will be beautiful. Until that time I will continue to wobble on occasion against the pressure of the bears - the last bull standing. Snort.

 

[nasa1974]

The sell off on Friday was designed to make me wobble - and I did wobble. But I'm still standing. I'm reaching the big time - my 948 stock buys since last June has demonstrated that. This is no country for old men but every dog does have his day. When the bull returns the gains will be beautiful. Until that time I will continue to wobble on occasion against the pressure of the bears - the last bull standing. Snort.

"Weebulls wooble but they don't fall down." :laugh:

 

[JamesE]

So Birch, to be clear, do you subscribe to this notion of a cataclysmic event later this year? You surely wouldn't remain "all in" or even mostly in during such a calamity would you?

 

[Birchtree]

The big event comes in November when we get change we can believe in - new leadership we can trust. I think we are good for several years going forward - that doesn't mean we won't have consolidations from pressure from the cycles. I'm staying strong, long and bullish into the Holiday Seasons.

 

[crws]

we bulls ...ha ha good one :cheesy:

"Weebulls wooble but they don't fall down." :laugh:

 

[Birchtree]

Birchtree hot news: Luby's to complete purchase of Fuddruckers.