BigJohn's Account Talk

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BigJohn said:
A poser: last month I kicked myself for burning my two IFT's early in the month...now it crossed my mind again to lock in yesterday's gain and hope today stays where it is. I would pocket about a 2% hit in a matter of days if today holds.

I know what BT would say...any other thoughts?
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BigJohn, It comes down to comfort level. IF and it's a big IF the markets stay the same getting out today with another 2% in your pocket is good. Then you do not beat yourself up if the market earns another 2% by end of the month. I am not sure we are going to see big numbers today. Oil was down almost 2% early this morning and is now just on the positive side of zero. It still comes down to personal comfort level. Good Luck.
 
nasa1974 said:
BigJohn, It comes down to comfort level. IF and it's a big IF the markets stay the same getting out today with another 2% in your pocket is good. Then you do not beat yourself up if the market earns another 2% by end of the month. I am not sure we are going to see big numbers today. Oil was down almost 2% early this morning and is now just on the positive side of zero. It still comes down to personal comfort level. Good Luck.
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It looks like the market heard my question...turned downward all of a sudden. Looks like that answered my question for me...going to ride this one for a while.
 
BigJohn said:
It looks like the market heard my question...turned downward all of a sudden. Looks like that answered my question for me...going to ride this one for a while.
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Uptrend said his charts are showing buys for CSI, so today may not come in strong but I think the week may stay positive.
 
nasa1974 said:
Uptrend said his charts are showing buys for CSI, so today may not come in strong but I think the week may stay positive.
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I am sure hoping so! I'm going to keep holding with 30% in CSI and 10% in G. I don't really know why I put 10% in G to begin with, but it made me feel like at least 10% of my money is safe lol. I'm starting to think I should either be all in or all out, but that may not be a good strategy either. Man stocks are confusing...I'm glad I have everyone on this forum to at least give tid bits of info for me to go off and learn from.
 
Karma? I decided to go with my gut and bail to the G, only the TSP site had other plans. I couldn't get the website to pull up in time, nor could I get the log in information to process in time (once I made it to the website) for me to make the move.

So I am in the S for at least another day.

Did I have any good reason for wanting to bail? Nope. I just liked the idea of pocketing almost 2% in a matter of days.

Follow me at your peril...and always remember, you can tune a piano...but you can't tune a fish.

BigJohn
 
BigJohn said:
I am going to get darn cranky if tomorrow tanks and I am still in only because tsp.gov was slow.
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I don't think tomorrow will tank. It may take a strong stomach and good pair of sticky pants though. The rest of the week should be decent news. Next week on the other hand we will have to keep an eye on, being experation week.
 
Been away from the computer all day...staring at a sweet 1.3% loss...one that would have been avoided has tsp.gov not had their collective head up their collective...a$$ yesterday and been able to process my move.

Just means I am in longer...but stinks nonetheless.
 
BigJohn said:
Been away from the computer all day...staring at a sweet 1.3% loss...one that would have been avoided has tsp.gov not had their collective head up their collective...a$$ yesterday and been able to process my move.

Just means I am in longer...but stinks nonetheless.
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Some people get pretty close when it comes to timing the market. You always know exactly when to get in and when to get out. How do you do it?

BTW, sorry you couldn't make your IFT yestarday.
 
jpcavin said:
Some people get pretty close when it comes to timing the market. You always know exactly when to get in and when to get out. How do you do it?

BTW, sorry you couldn't make your IFT yestarday.
Click to expand...

I wish I knew "exactly" when to move (like everyone else I guess). I think my philosophy starts with the premise that whatever price point the market currently resides, is not the highest or lowest that it will ever be. Keeping that in mind I stick to my theory that a 1+ % drop pre-deadline is a buy-in day, while a 1+% spike pre-deadline (LIKE YESTERDAY !!!) is a good day to bail.

It has worked pretty well for me to this point...that is, assuming the tsp website works timely.
 
BigJohn said:
I wish I knew "exactly" when to move (like everyone else I guess). I think my philosophy starts with the premise that whatever price point the market currently resides, is not the highest or lowest that it will ever be. Keeping that in mind I stick to my theory that a 1+ % drop pre-deadline is a buy-in day, while a 1+% spike pre-deadline (LIKE YESTERDAY !!!) is a good day to bail.

It has worked pretty well for me to this point...that is, assuming the tsp website works timely.
Click to expand...

You forgot to mention the patience it takes to wait for that +-1% day. Some of us have had to learn wait. ;)
 
Hello all !!

It has been a while...since that ill fated tsp server kept me in the S fund a day longer than I wanted (5/10). I have been watching the market for the last several weeks and decided to drop back in, now that I am almost back to where I was. Will stay in closer contact moving forward...

Best of Luck to All...
 
This has been a very good week. I went from 3.xx% to 9.xx% in a week's time. One more good day next week and I should be back to my 5/2 record of 10.33%
Glad to have you back. Keeping a lookout for your next move. :)
 
jpcavin said:
This has been a very good week. I went from 3.xx% to 9.xx% in a week's time. One more good day next week and I should be back to my 5/2 record of 10.33%
Glad to have you back. Keeping a lookout for your next move. :)
Click to expand...


I am 8 cents away from a S Fund share price that will allow me to make a move: 8 cents will get me to a 1% increase in my buy-in price back in early May. What to do, what to do? Whatever I do, I'll be darn sure to log in to tsp.gov plenty early to make it...still smarting from a slow server that put me in the hole for almost two months.

Glad to be back...trigger finger getting itchy.
 
BigJohn said:
I am 8 cents away from a S Fund share price that will allow me to make a move: 8 cents will get me to a 1% increase in my buy-in price back in early May. What to do, what to do? Whatever I do, I'll be darn sure to log in to tsp.gov plenty early to make it...still smarting from a slow server that put me in the hole for almost two months.

Glad to be back...trigger finger getting itchy.
Click to expand...

I think I may have earned my 8 cents today...
 
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