Back to Resistance

After yesterday's late day swoon, the S&P 500 managed to get back above its 50 day moving average, but it stopped short of resistance at the 1100 mark.

How much longer can the market stay in this trading range before it breaks out or breaks down?

In the news today, Europe's major bourses rallied after a strong eurozone PMI reading and retail spending data for the UK. That's good news, but tomorrow results from a series of stress tests on European banks are scheduled to be released, which I would think would have an impact on the markets as well depending on the outcome.

Volume wasn’t particularly impressive today, but I'm taking it as a contrarian indicator and one more reason for the bears to press their case in an economic environment mostly dominated by doom and gloom.

On the US economic data front, initial jobless claims climbed 37,000 to 464,000, which was a bit higher than expected. Continuing claims fell 223,000 to about 4.49 mil, but just like the last reading it's likely due to the expiration of jobless benefits.

Additionally, June existing home sales dropped 5.1% to an annual rate of 5.37 million units. That was better than anticipated.

Finally, June leading indicators fell 0.2%, which was bit less than expected.

Here's the charts:

NAMO.jpg

Back to buys here for NAMO and NYMO.

NAHL.jpg

NAHL and NYHL are also on buys.

TRIN.jpg

Two more buys here for TRIN and TRINQ.

BPCOMPQ.jpg

BPCOMPQ ebbed a bit higher today within collapsing bollies.

That's 7 of 7 signals on a buy. Of course the system is still on a buy regardless, but nested signals may be telling us something. In this case I suspect the long side is favored.

That's it for this evening. I'm hoping to see the S&P 500 close above resistance tomorrow, which may trigger more buy signals from other systems, but I'm long in any event.
 
YTD there has been a stunning outflow of $37.5 billion from the equity market - just wait until it returns. Panic buying up ahead - be warned.
 
I think the SS confirms range bound conditions. By the time you get a sell signal it is ready to move back up and vice versa. IMO if we can close in the green tomorrow that could bode well for the beginning of next week. 1100 seems to be the mark. We shall see.
 
Looks like we might wrap it up above 1100.

Spanish bank stress test results supposed to come in at 3pm EDT.:confused:
 
FireWeatherMet;bt1807 said:
Looks like we might wrap it up above 1100.

Spanish bank stress test results supposed to come in at 3pm EDT.:confused:

I'll bet they park it right below resistance. :rolleyes:
 
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