ADP Employment Change

US private employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week in the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, following an upwardly revised average gain of 17,500 jobs in the previous period. This marked the third consecutive period of job gains, with hiring remaining in positive territory, according to ADP Research. source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.


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Good Morning, Looking from Dec and comparing Jan numbers are they/ do they take into account psychologically that it is always a seasonal gain giving less weight to the change? Correct me if I'm am wrong, ..Did the Trump admin change the reporting math towards the more accurate result?
I suspected the Biden years used different (old\not accurate) reporting and blew tons of money making federal jobs to fatten his numbers. Am I correct that his job numbers always gotten revised downward as well? I had everything parked in G due to this and did not do more due diligence. I came out of the closet at the end of March and rode that until the first/2nd week of Jan and parked back in G.
Wanting 87k new IRS agents....yeah, right. Only to look at taxes over what 400k? They would burn through those quickly with the above 400k attribute. I see that as a mission creep situation if the Dems maintained control. IMO.
Sorry that was a scatter brain rant.
Getting back to small cap chart, Does it look like I need to wait another day for a confirmation of more of a bullish pattern. Correct me. Am I looking at an engulfing bottom along the 20 day?

Sorry before hand if I am on the wrong thread to discuss matters like this, I am trying to learn the Forum etiquette still.
 
Hi ChrisRN. You said a lot there.

I certainly don't want to discourage you from posting, but yeah, this isn't the thread to talk about politics - nor the S-fund. :)

If left alone, this thread regarding ADP data, and any other thread that steers that way, will likely turn into a circus of political opinions, and we've been down that road a few times here giving it a shot, but it has been fruitless and becomes divisive.

Some folks here have mastered the skill of bringing up politics without being too uncivil, but it is typically the responses that shift the sentiment and it becomes cancerous for the forum.

Have you started a thread of your own - A "ChrisRN's Account Talk" thread in the Member's Account Talk area?

Here is where to do that:


Those threads are supposed to be about your opinions on the TSP and investing, but throwing in miscellaneous personal topics have been OK, as long as we don't steer completely into politics.

If you need any help creating your thread, let me know.

Thanks!
 
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