ADP Employment Change

US private employers added an average of 11,500 jobs per week in the four weeks ending December 6, 2025, following an upwardly revised average gain of 17,500 jobs in the previous period. This marked the third consecutive period of job gains, with hiring remaining in positive territory, according to ADP Research. source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.


tsp-122325d.gif
 
tsp-020426c.gif

 
View attachment 71591

Good Morning, Looking from Dec and comparing Jan numbers are they/ do they take into account psychologically that it is always a seasonal gain giving less weight to the change? Correct me if I'm am wrong, ..Did the Trump admin change the reporting math towards the more accurate result?
I suspected the Biden years used different (old\not accurate) reporting and blew tons of money making federal jobs to fatten his numbers. Am I correct that his job numbers always gotten revised downward as well? I had everything parked in G due to this and did not do more due diligence. I came out of the closet at the end of March and rode that until the first/2nd week of Jan and parked back in G.
Wanting 87k new IRS agents....yeah, right. Only to look at taxes over what 400k? They would burn through those quickly with the above 400k attribute. I see that as a mission creep situation if the Dems maintained control. IMO.
Sorry that was a scatter brain rant.
Getting back to small cap chart, Does it look like I need to wait another day for a confirmation of more of a bullish pattern. Correct me. Am I looking at an engulfing bottom along the 20 day?

Sorry before hand if I am on the wrong thread to discuss matters like this, I am trying to learn the Forum etiquette still.
 
Hi ChrisRN. You said a lot there.

I certainly don't want to discourage you from posting, but yeah, this isn't the thread to talk about politics - nor the S-fund. :)

If left alone, this thread regarding ADP data, and any other thread that steers that way, will likely turn into a circus of political opinions, and we've been down that road a few times here giving it a shot, but it has been fruitless and becomes divisive.

Some folks here have mastered the skill of bringing up politics without being too uncivil, but it is typically the responses that shift the sentiment and it becomes cancerous for the forum.

Have you started a thread of your own - A "ChrisRN's Account Talk" thread in the Member's Account Talk area?

Here is where to do that:


Those threads are supposed to be about your opinions on the TSP and investing, but throwing in miscellaneous personal topics have been OK, as long as we don't steer completely into politics.

If you need any help creating your thread, let me know.

Thanks!
 
US private employers added an average of 6,500 jobs per week in the four weeks ending January 24, 2026, up from 5,000 in the prior period, according to ADP Research. The increase marked an eighth straight reporting period of job gains and the strongest pace in nearly a month, pointing to a modest acceleration in hiring momentum. source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

 
Hi ChrisRN. You said a lot there.

I certainly don't want to discourage you from posting, but yeah, this isn't the thread to talk about politics - nor the S-fund. :)

If left alone, this thread regarding ADP data, and any other thread that steers that way, will likely turn into a circus of political opinions, and we've been down that road a few times here giving it a shot, but it has been fruitless and becomes divisive.

Some folks here have mastered the skill of bringing up politics without being too uncivil, but it is typically the responses that shift the sentiment and it becomes cancerous for the forum.

Have you started a thread of your own - A "ChrisRN's Account Talk" thread in the Member's Account Talk area?

Here is where to do that:


Those threads are supposed to be about your opinions on the TSP and investing, but throwing in miscellaneous personal topics have been OK, as long as we don't steer completely into politics.

If you need any help creating your thread, let me know.

Thanks!
Thanks, on a learning curve
 
tsp-042826a.gif

US private employers added an average of 39,250 jobs per week in the four weeks ending April 11, 2026, according to the ADP Research Institute, slightly below the downwardly revised 40,250 weekly gain in the prior period. The data suggests a stabilization in hiring momentum following an acceleration in job creation during the second half of March.
source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
 
tsp-050626a.gif

 
tsp-051923a.gif

US private employers added an average of 42,250 jobs per week in the four weeks to May 2, 2026, up from 33,000 in the prior period, according to the ADP Research Institute. The data signals a second consecutive week of strengthening hiring. source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
 
tsp-052726b.gif

US private employers added an average of 35,750 jobs per week in the four weeks to May 9, 2026, down from a revised 40,750 in the prior period, according to the ADP Research Institute. The data signals hiring slowed for the first time in three weeks. source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
 
tsp-060326a.gif

Private businesses in the US added a net 122,000 jobs in May 2026, a new high since January 2025, compared to a downwardly revised 105,000 in April and above forecasts of 117,000. "Hiring was more broad-based in May than we've seen in the last few years. The labor market continues to show sustained momentum going into the summer hiring season", according to Dr. Nela Richardson Chief Economist, ADP. Job gains occured in education and health services (57K), trade, transportation, and utilities (36K), professional and business services (11K), leisure and hospitality (8K), construction (8K), financial activities (7K) and manufacturing (3K). In contrast, the natural resources and mining sector shed 3K jobs and information lost 9K. Meanwhile, companies with fewer than 50 employees added 67K new hires, those with 500 or more added 40K and medium-sized firms contributed 17K. Annual pay growth for those staying in their jobs stayed at 4.4% while for job-switchers it edge higher to 6.6%.
source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.


 
Last edited:
View attachment 72881

Private businesses in the US added a net 122,000 jobs in May 2026, a new high since January 2025, compared to a downwardly revised 105,000 in April and above forecasts of 117,000. "Hiring was more broad-based in May than we've seen in the last few years. The labor market continues to show sustained momentum going into the summer hiring season", according to Dr. Nela Richardson Chief Economist, ADP. Job gains occured in education and health services (57K), trade, transportation, and utilities (36K), professional and business services (11K), leisure and hospitality (8K), construction (8K), financial activities (7K) and manufacturing (3K). In contrast, the natural resources and mining sector shed 3K jobs and information lost 9K. Meanwhile, companies with fewer than 50 employees added 67K new hires, those with 500 or more added 40K and medium-sized firms contributed 17K. Annual pay growth for those staying in their jobs stayed at 4.4% while for job-switchers it edge higher to 6.6%.
source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.


How many of those jobs are minimum wage and ends when school starts.
 
tsp-060926a.gif

US private employers added an average of 29,000 jobs per week in the four weeks ending May 23, 2026, according to the ADP Research Institute, a slight decrease from the 30,500 weekly gain in the prior period. This marks the third consecutive week of easing job growth. However, last week's ADP monthly report for May showed private businesses added a net 122,000 jobs, the largest increase since January 2025. Dr. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, noted, "Hiring was more broad-based in May than we've seen in the last few years. The labor market continues to show sustained momentum going into the summer hiring season.". source: Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
 
Back
Top