A Silver Lining

The action today may not have been as bad as it seemed at the end of the trading day. In spite of the euro shedding 1.6% vs the dollar, some of the major European bourses managed to trim losses or even post modest gains. And that seemed to float our domestic market around the neutral line most of the day.

But a 2.9% decline in financials led the way to a negative close across the broader market.

Looking at the Seven Sentinels, one might get the impression the market had a relatively neutral day. Of course we didn't, but take a look at the charts:

NAMO.jpg

NAMO hardly moved at all. Just a very modest tick lower. And NYMO actually ticked a bit higher, and maintained its buy status.

NAHL.jpg

Both NAHL and NYHL flipped to buys. This says that in spite of the red close, internals were not as bad as closing prices might otherwise suggest.

TRIN.jpg

One buy and one sell here.

BPCOMPQ.jpg

BPCOMPQ remains on a sell.

So we have 4 of 7 signals on a sell, which keeps the system on a sell. Today's action could be interpreted as bottoming action. We may get another shot down, but I suspect the worst of the decline is over for now.

But keep in mind, that's only my opinion. The system is still on a sell and it could be a little while yet before it turns back up. Unless one was caught in this downward move (like me), I'd stay in cash. The lack of an IFT keeps me in this market in case a hard reversal to the upside materializes.

That's it for this evening. Good luck, and see you tomorrow.
 
CH, thank you fo rthe update. I read in one of your past blogs that the SS is modified, are we following the modified vrsion
Thanks
 
Cruzen;bt1506 said:
CH, thank you fo rthe update. I read in one of your past blogs that the SS is modified, are we following the modified vrsion
Thanks

I am using the original version. You can find the modified version at the Seven Sentinels website. But it should be understood that with TSP, either version will suffice in most cases.

Both versions are on sells at this time.
 
WorkFE;bt1508 said:
Yes CH, you and I are on the wrong side of the tracks.

It's a long term battle, and flexibility needs to be part of the equation. If this were my scottrade account I'd do things a lot differently.
 
WorkFE;bt1510 said:
Absolutely. In fact it has already been done. Weeks ago.

I sold my Vanguard High Yield Corporate fund a few months ago after some great gains. Bullitt convinced my to buy PRULX, which I switched to after bailing the Vanguard fund. It's flying now.
 
Back
Top