350Z's I fund thread DEC 07

[350zCommTech]

Might see a 22 cents -FV, total could be -64 cents.

 

[McDuck]

Might see a 22 cents -FV, total could be -64 cents.

I agree.

 

[poolman]

Might see a 22 cents -FV, total could be -64 cents.

Thanks, 350Z

 

[350zCommTech]

Might see a 22 cents -FV, total could be -64 cents.

Down 59 cents.

Barclay did a 17 cents -FV.

 

[poolman]

Down 59 cents.

Barclay did a 17 cents -FV.

Very good job 350, I swear I don't know how you do it. .05 cent's on

fair value day's and not knowing exactly how Barclay's is going to adjust.

Thank you for all your time and effort. Seriously.

 

[350zCommTech]

Very good job 350, I swear I don't know how you do it. .05 cent's on

fair value day's and not knowing exactly how Barclay's is going to adjust.

Thank you for all your time and effort. Seriously.

Thank you poolman.

This whole FV thing feels like a game between me and Barclay. As soon as I figure out how they are doing it, they go and change their FV method. I seriously think they might be monitoring these forums.

Guessing the FV means little to us because of our deadline, but others that don't have this restriction might be able to benefit from the knowledge. There are folks that can go right up to the bell and make a transfer in their 401K. I wish we could do that.

Btw, what is your target for getting back in?

 

[poolman]

Thank you poolman.

This whole FV thing feels like a game between me and Barclay. As soon as I figure out how they are doing it, they go and change their FV method. I seriously think they might be monitoring these forums.

Guessing the FV means little to us because of our deadline, but others that don't have this restriction might be able to benefit from the knowledge. There are folks that can go right up to the bell and make a transfer in their 401K. I wish we could do that.

Btw, what is your target for getting back in?

They could be monitoring this forum, very good possibility.

Honestly, Yea I will say it. Your post's are GOLD to me. You are the best

at estimating the I - Fund among other's.

I really cannot say when I am going back in at this point. I think we are

going to see lower lows and lower highs for awhile. We may see a

bounce next week which I might play if it is obvious. I think I'm going to

get a nice F-Fund profit before long. I don't see a catalyst that is going to

make this market bounce. Earning's are right around the corner and they

are not going to be good for financials. That is going to bring this market

down hard. Fed is playing hard-ball but they have to. Inflation is a big fear

and is already on the rise. Might make a play next week so the Big-Boy's

can get there bonus. Strictly a Christmas Holiday Play.

 

[350zCommTech]

I really cannot say when I am going back in at this point. I think we are

going to see lower lows and lower highs for awhile. We may see a

bounce next week which I might play if it is obvious. I think I'm going to

get a nice F-Fund profit before long. I don't see a catalyst that is going to

make this market bounce. Earning's are right around the corner and they

are not going to be good for financials. That is going to bring this market

down hard. Fed is playing hard-ball but they have to. Inflation is a big fear

and is already on the rise. Might make a play next week so the Big-Boy's

can get there bonus. Strictly a Christmas Holiday Play.

I agree with you about the market going lower. 1470 was finally broken today. That can't be good for Monday.

GS reports Tuesday morning and they might rally the market. GS seems to always report good numbers. If the market sells again on monday, I might jump back in.

Have a good weekend.

 

[Wolverine]

Thank you poolman.

This whole FV thing feels like a game between me and Barclay. As soon as I figure out how they are doing it, they go and change their FV method. I seriously think they might be monitoring these forums.

Guessing the FV means little to us because of our deadline, but others that don't have this restriction might be able to benefit from the knowledge. There are folks that can go right up to the bell and make a transfer in their 401K. I wish we could do that.

Btw, what is your target for getting back in?

I totally think that Barclay, and so many others are monitoring these forums.

I also think, that the TSP board is not happy with these forums. Ya think?

Also, this business of us having to meet our deadline compared to all the others who do not have these restrictions, does put us below the overall playing field, in regards to being on the same playing field.

What's it going to be, do we get to play with everybody else on the same field, or do we have to buckle under to a lower level playing field?

Thanks again to all

 

[weatherweenie]

Anybody got a tally for C & S too for Friday?

Thanks

C 16.54 -0.23
S 19.64 -0.30

 

[Show-me]

Australia is taking it on the chin tonight. Down 2.25% at this time.

 

[Corvette]

Australia down 3.4%
Nikkei down over 1.6%

woe is me :worried:

 

[350zCommTech]

Currently estimate:

Down 33 cents, including a 17 cent -FVC.


This makes the third big down day in a row for the I fund. The dollar is up again.

The F fund is up 1 cent so far today. TNX fell as expected this morning after bouncing of the 50dma on Friday. It seems like inflation concerns are keeping bonds from really catching a bid. I would not be surprise if TNX just continues to slowly slide but staying just below the 50dma.

 

[poolman]

Currently estimate:

Down 33 cents, including a 17 cent -FVC.


This makes the third big down day in a row for the I fund. The dollar is up again.

The F fund is up 1 cent so far today. TNX fell as expected this morning after bouncing of the 50dma on Friday. It seems like inflation concerns are keeping bonds from really catching a bid. I would not be surprise if TNX just continues to slowly slide but staying just below the 50dma.

I'm starting to come to the same conclusion 350Z. An F-Fund play is not looking all that great to me now. Inflation on the rise is a catch 22 as far as more rate cuts. Bond yields going sideways. I think I'm going to slowly get out of my F Fund trade. Jeeze... Figures... :cheesy:

 

[350zCommTech]

I'm starting to come to the same conclusion 350Z. An F-Fund play is not looking all that great to me now. Inflation on the rise is a catch 22 as far as more rate cuts. Bond yields going sideways. I think I'm going to slowly get out of my F Fund trade. Jeeze... Figures... :cheesy:

Yup, the rise in CPI makes the F fund too risky. Besides that, A bounce in the market might really hurt the F fund.

 

[350zCommTech]

Wow, talk about market manipulation. The Dow got defended big time at the 20dma. Are you kidding me? Nobody is dumb enough to buy there. It ain't gona hold there. LOL!!!

 

[350zCommTech]

Why is it so quiet around here? Did everybody move over to the paid forum?

I would like to talk about GS(Goldman Sachs). They report tomorrow morning before the bell. They always beat the estimates.

For tomorrow, I think they will have to beat by a bunch to rally this market. GS is currently down .5% and treading water just below the 200dma.

View attachment 2836

 

[Robo5555]

I'm here with you brother.

 

[fedgolfer]

i'm a buyer here, intraday and for the short term. hopefully putting in support at the levels at 11/19 and 12/4 dates on the S&P... also DWCP looks like its falling wedge is nearing its end (starting around 12/7).

 

[Robo5555]

i'm a buyer here, intraday and for the short term. hopefully putting in support at the levels at 11/19 and 12/4 dates on the S&P... also DWCP looks like its falling wedge is nearing its end (starting around 12/7).

Looks like a great time to buy in. I'm all in so I'll take todays hit and stay.