350Z's 2007 I Fund Thread

[ebbnflow]

We can look at the EFA between 11:30 to COB and see if it moved up or down greater than .50%.

Yesterday and today, the EFA didn't move greater than .50% to warrant an FV.

 

[wht00ss]

I think I may be getting a handle on this FV thing on the I-fund. Yesterday, I disregarded the movement of the Dow Jones, S&P 500, etc. and concentrated on the EFA instead.

Yesterday, between 11:30 AM to COB, the EFA moved down -.29%, but if we used 12:00 PM to COB, the EFA moved down over -.50%. We expected a -FV, but didn't get one.

Today at 11:30 AM to COB, the EFA moved up +.46%, but if we used 12:00 PM to COB its up even less at +.39%. We expected a +FV, but didn't get one.
Barclay is being consistent, and I think if we follow this model we can see if we get an FV or not. Since the EFA takes into account the dollar movement, it should let us know after it closes around 4:30 PM.

Hey Ebb, that's the first reasonable response yet about FV or as I refer to it FairBS. I'm talking to Barclay's and a couple of other places to see if I can get a reasonable explanation.

 

[nnuut]

We can look at the EFA between 11:30 to COB and see if it moved up or down greater than .50%.

Yesterday and today, the EFA didn't move greater than .50% to warrant an FV.

Daylight savings time is the culprit!

 

[nnuut]

Japan and Aus up at the git go!!!!!!!!!

 

[ATCJeff]

Maybe they were trying to make the I fund loss about the same as EAFE, which was down 1.98% yesterday. I know the two are different, but the losses would be in the ballpark of one another.

We can look at the EFA between 11:30 to COB and see if it moved up or down greater than .50%.

Yesterday and today, the EFA didn't move greater than .50% to warrant an FV.

I was thinking the same thing last week.

 

[ebbnflow]

I'm glad we had a meeting of the mind on this, ATCJeff.

The EFA factors in the dollar all through the afternoon. The dollar goes up or down, and it shows on the EFA.

 

[Robo5555]

I don't know about you all but I have bad feeling about the market. Trader fred says buy today and our ilustreous moderator might jump in today despite his gut feeling. I just don't like the RSI factor brought up by Whs00st. Seems like a correction is coming on the short term. I'm on the sidelines and can't wait to jump in. This trying to time the market thing can really be a pain some times. How sweet it is when it pays off!! Any coments??

 

[12%ayear]

It seems Bernanke is saying subprime loans are not a problem, which I disagree. He wants the US Dollar to get stronger and raise rates. That what it sounds like to me. Peeling the onion more, I think he is afraid of inflation. n ps..2,229.78Change-10.240 % Change-0.457

 

[Wolverine]

I guess we will see here after the Fed gets done talking and what emotions came out of his talk.

Well, the markets are now going back up after his talk.

We shall see again here. lol

 

[12%ayear]

I guess we will see here after the Fed gets done talking and what emotions came out of his talk.

Well, the markets are now going back up after his talk.

We shall see again here. lol

for now, I smell a sell-off!!

 

[jayhawker]

Early estimates:
TSPLookup: -.186% or -5 cents.
bloomberg.com: -.393% or -10 cents.

 

[Robo5555]

I don't know about you all but I have bad feeling about the market. Trader fred says buy today and our ilustreous moderator might jump in today despite his gut feeling. I just don't like the RSI factor brought up by Whs00st. Seems like a correction is coming on the short term. I'm on the sidelines and can't wait to jump in. This trying to time the market thing can really be a pain some times. How sweet it is when it pays off!! Any coments??

Not to mention Ebb's spin chart with all 3 stops for friday....

 

[12%ayear]

Early estimates:
TSPLookup: -.186% or -5 cents.
bloomberg.com: -.393% or -10 cents.

Bloomberg sound right. Dollar is ramping today. It might be a good time to jump in the I Fund for tomorrow for one day. I think the EURO/YEN might bounce tomorrow. Also, the Nikkei has been flat/down several days.. I am thinking of taking the risk..... EURO/USD -0.1776 USD/JPY+.36 GBP/USD-0.1568

 

[ebbnflow]

Early estimates:
TSPLookup: -.186% or -5 cents.
bloomberg.com: -.393% or -10 cents.

Bloomberg is factoring in the 5 or 6 cents worth from yesterday when the dollar went up from 11:00 AM to COB.

 

[12%ayear]

Bloomberg is factoring in the 5 or 6 cents worth from yesterday when the dollar went up from 11:00 AM to COB.

If the markets sell-off, my thinking is that there will be a -FV. Which if all goes well tomorrow, we will get it back.

 

[ebbnflow]

Not to mention Ebb's spin chart with all 3 stops for friday....

I think the market needs a breather, but I'm kind of partial towards the ebbtracker.

 

[ebbnflow]

If the markets sell-off, my thinking is that there will be a -FV. Which if all goes well tomorrow, we will get it back.

We haven't had an FV for a while, came close a couple of times, so maybe today is the day.

 

[qibovin]

...bad feeling...Trader fred says buy today and our ilustreous moderator might jump in today despite his gut feeling...RSI factor brought up by Whs00st...Seems like a correction is coming on the short term...Any coments??

Not to mention Ebb's spin chart with all 3 stops for friday....

Trader Fred's buy (and perhaps sell) signals seem to be "leading" by a day or two. Or perhaps they're better short- to mid-range indicators than day-to-day. It helps that the markets are down today, and I may use this as an opportunity to start DCAing in. Certainly Trader Fred seems to have a good "big picture" idea of what's going on in the market that weighs heavier and heavier in my allocation decisions the more he's right. (But there was that short term buy signal earlier in the year that cost him considerably.) Anyway, I tend to think there will be a little bit more downside, then a rally before the holiday weekend. The fact that the G fund will likely pay tomorrow also weighs a little heavier than a penny probably should, but there is so much uncertainty out there, its hard to pass on that security. I will likely start gradually buying as long as the Trader Fred system buy signal is out there so as to be fully in equities come Thursday and Friday before Memorial Day--whether the market goes up or down over the next couple days.

 

[12%ayear]

We haven't had an FV for a while, came close a couple of times, so maybe today is the day.

Taking the risk, ebbnflow....went to the I Fund. Have a feeling...euro/yen/pound oversold near-term. So, we might get some cushion on the currency front and if all goes well, it might pan out to a nice day. Nikkei also very flat/down...so it should bounce...GL

 

[weatherweenie]

Taking the risk, ebbnflow....went to the I Fund. Have a feeling...euro/yen/pound oversold near-term. So, we might get some cushion on the currency front and if all goes well, it might pan out to a nice day. Nikkei also very flat/down...so it should bounce...GL

Disregard my post. Still groggy.