350Z's 2007 I Fund Thread

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Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

Is it just me or does it feel like we're on the verge of a correction or another big 2-3% push up? I'm leaning towards a push up.:)
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

GeorgiaGal said:
No man here would like my answer.....

GA
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I don't have to like, just be willing to suck it up, bite my tongue, swallow my pride or whatever it takes to make the money.:D Men can be practical (as long as it doesn't involve...:embarrest: ) Well anyway, let us in on the secret, and let us decide.
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

350zCommTech said:
BAH'ers are looking pretty smart right now. Is there anything that can stop this market?
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Sure, a serious action by the ECB/BOJ/US Fed to raise interest rates to much higher levels and stop providing liquidity at a faster rate. Until then, the I fund is the party.
 
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Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

Early estimate: up .381% or 8 cents.


I don't know about you guys/gals, but I'm about ready to throw in the towel. It sucks to be missing these gains.
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

350zCommTech said:
I don't know about you guys/gals, but I'm about ready to throw in the towel. It sucks to be missing these gains.
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Me, too. My monkeys are screaming and yelling at me for not listening to them!! :mad:
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

350zCommTech said:
I don't know about you guys/gals, but I'm about ready to throw in the towel. It sucks to be missing these gains.
Click to expand...


Me too, but trading on emotion is bad business. Jumping in after two good days (assuming today holds up) seems risky unless there is good reason to think the dollar will move right and that OSM will be up again. If anyone got good reasons, I'll join the party. Otherwise, I want a down day to rejoin.
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

Pilgrim said:
Me too, but trading on emotion is bad business. Jumping in after two good days (assuming today holds up) seems risky unless there is good reason to think the dollar will move right and that OSM will be up again. If anyone got good reasons, I'll join the party. Otherwise, I want a down day to rejoin.
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Yes, it's very risky, but here's what I'm looking at.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070207/dollar.html?.v=2

The above news actually came out at around 14:30 Japan time(30 minutes prior to market close). The Nikkei 225 at that time was down about 195 points. Shortly after the news, it rebounded 80 points to finish at -115 or so. IMO, the news lifted traders fear of the slowdown/end of Yen carry trade; think May 2006. I have a feeling the Nikkei will continue it's rebound tonight.

Further more, the BOE and ECB will announce tomorrow that interest rates will be on hold, according to market expectations. The ECB is also expected to hint at one last rate hike. IMO, with rates on hold, the OSMs will have a day good tomorrow.

The dollar on the other hand, was down yesterday and it's down again today. I expect it to bounce tomorrow per the above article and the lack of rate hikes from the ECB and BOE.

Having said all that, I'm leaning towards 100 S fund or 50/50 S&I.

What do you all think?
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

350zCommTech said:
Yes, it's very risky, but here's what I'm looking at.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070207/dollar.html?.v=2

The above news actually came out at around 14:30 Japan time(30 minutes prior to market close). The Nikkei 225 at that time was down about 195 points. Shortly after the news, it rebounded 80 points to finish at -115 or so. IMO, the news lifted traders fear of the slowdown/end of Yen carry trade; think May 2006. I have a feeling the Nikkei will continue it's rebound tonight.

Further more, the BOE and ECB will announce tomorrow that interest rates will be on hold, according to market expectations. The ECB is also expected to hint at one last rate hike. IMO, with rates on hold, the OSMs will have a day good tomorrow.

The dollar on the other hand, was down yesterday and it's down again today. I expect it to bounce tomorrow per the above article and the lack of rate hikes from the ECB and BOE.

Having said all that, I'm leaning towards 100 S fund or 50/50 S&I.

What do you all think?
Click to expand...


350,
I think you have a good read on the current events as usual. In my humble opinion, the numbers we are seeing will continue another day both in USM an OSM. Thanks for the insights!

I think I will stay 100 S another day. If my risky ways and lack of a track record scare people, I completely understand. Let's hope we all earn a little here!
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

You might be setting yourself for double losses by jumping in now, but who knows.
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

I would be worried about a +FV today. If Bernake's 130 talk pumps up the afternoon USMs, it could be a bad time to enter. I dont know how big an IF, but it is definately a factor to consider for those entering I today.

I went into S today looking for an entry in I tomorrow.
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

ChemEng said:
I would be worried about a +FV today. If Bernake's 130 talk pumps up the afternoon USMs, it could be a bad time to enter. I dont know how big an IF, but it is definately a factor to consider for those entering I today.

I went into S today looking for an entry in I tomorrow.
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ChemEng,

That was yesterday.:) Besides, he didn't mention any thing about rates or current policy.
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

350zCommTech said:
ChemEng,

That was yesterday.:) Besides, he didn't mention any thing about rates or current policy.
Click to expand...

Oh dear god. Evidently, Im just about as proficient a reader as I am a TSP trader. :)

In light of that insight, I officially have no clue. :embarrest: Where is Griffin to help? He usually can make sense of these things...
 
Re: 350Z's I Fund Thread-Feb07

qibovin said:
I don't have to like, just be willing to suck it up, bite my tongue, swallow my pride or whatever it takes to make the money.:D Men can be practical (as long as it doesn't involve...:embarrest: ) Well anyway, let us in on the secret, and let us decide.
Click to expand...

Silly, I didn't mean ya'll wouldn't like it cause of pride, I meant you wouldn't be satisfied with the answer.

The answer is (you can pick whichever you like best from these two):

1. sheer dumb-blonde luck
2. woman's intuition (coupled with reading the news just like everyone else)

There is no method to my madness.

GA
 
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