350Z's 2007 I Fund Thread

[weatherweenie]

I'm considering buying into the I-fund today. The possiblity of a +FV is weighing heavily.

Hmmm...Just have to wait and see how things are going in about 40 minutes.

If you're so inclined, the ebbtracker goes to the I fund for Thursday and Friday.

 

[Wrngway]

Oh, I hitched a ride on the 'ol ebb-train starting early last month and I couldn't be happier with the results. It's just that the system has been hit with the FV going the wrong way at times. Of course, it certainly benefited last week.

It's nice to see a lot of people betting on C for tomorrow as well. That helps ease the mind a bit, but if I read this right, and the USM ends near yesterdays close, there is that +FV possiblity.

 

[HAILSTORM]

ok, does anyone have a late estimate?...thanks!

 

[nnuut]

I would think YES because the dollar is down, the "C" is -67% I think, the "S" is -89%, that exceeds .50% at 11:30 right?

 

[NyteTracker]

"Overall, the U.S. economy appears likely to expand at a moderate pace over the second half of 2007, with growth then strengthening a bit in 2008 to a rate close to the economy's underlying trend."
http://www.nasdaq.com/econoday/calendar/US/EN/New_York/year/2007/month/07/day/18/daily/fyi.html

 

[Wrngway]

I would think YES because the dollar is down, the "C" is -67% I think, the "S" is -89%, that exceeds .50% at 11:30 right?

No, from what I've read here, it's what happens after 11:30 that really matters. Will the market move more than .50% between 11:30 and close?

That's the question. S&P 500 was at about 1540 at 11:30, so we're looking for around 1547 for a +FV or 1532 for a -FV.

Someone correct me if I'm out to lunch.

 

[jayhawker]

My gut feeling is tomorrow will be a down day for the I. This week, so far, looks a lot like last month at this time... and Wednesday the 20th was a bad day across the board. But, if the USMs rally before the cutoff time tomorrow, it could be a no-brainer scenario for a move to I.

Ed.

No brainer? Not if the rally pushes into the afternoon causing a+fv. Then will have to eat that Thursday with a-fv. Remember last week?

My gut was right and there's no apparent USM rally. I can't fathom a move to the I Fund today (the Ebbtracker notwithstanding.) I moved to safety (G.)

Ed.

 

[weatherweenie]

EFA all of sudden down 1%

 

[James48843]

"I" fund showing down about -.22 cents at 11:30, now is showing down -.24.

If there is further movement down in the other indicies, we could end up with a FV today. Not sure yet how it will play out, and it's not enough just yet to invoke a FV today.

 

[nnuut]

Oh, I hitched a ride on the 'ol ebb-train starting early last month and I couldn't be happier with the results. It's just that the system has been hit with the FV going the wrong way at times. Of course, it certainly benefited last week.

Original Question:

It's nice to see a lot of people betting on C for tomorrow as well. That helps ease the mind a bit, but if I read this right, and the USM ends near yesterdays close, there is that +FV possiblity.

I would think YES because the dollar is down, the "C" is -67% I think, the "S" is -89%, that exceeds .50% at 11:30 right?

Who says I'm wrong? Don't you know by now that I'm wrong most of the time, but not today, No +Fair Value unless the USMs return close to the open this morning, or close yesterday.
nnuut

 

[12%ayear]

Bloomberg 12:30 est.Change...-20.250 ....................% Change-0.870

 

[jayhawker]

Bloomberg 12:30 est.Change...-20.250 ....................% Change-0.870

Equates to -.22 cents.

 

[weatherweenie]

eafe -0.91%

 

[12%ayear]

Cross our fingers here for a rally for the +fv. forget it now!!

 

[sdouglas3]

I bought a little of the I Fund today.

 

[weatherweenie]

Cross our fingers here for a rally for the +fv. forget it now!!

Well poop. Looked like we were going to turn this thing around. Hopefully we will tomorrow.

 

[12%ayear]

I will be happy with the .91 loss and focus on tomorrow. The OSMs are really oversold now FTSE-1.96%,DAX-2.63%,NIKKEI-1.23%,and CAC-2.12% IN 2 DAYS..................................OVERSOLD

 

[NTXDiver]

I will be happy with the .91 loss and focus on tomorrow. The OSMs are really oversold now FTSE-1.96%,DAX-2.63%,NIKKEI-1.23%,and CAC-2.12% IN 2 DAYS..................................OVERSOLD

Is that the final for today....-.91 for the day, or is it a false bottom?

 

[12%ayear]

I think it is final, looks like no -fv. Here is a great site to bookmark for all stocks related data, ....awesome.............. am going to give you the best link with every site possible for stocks...................http://www.bullsector.com/
__________________

 

[McDuck]

Is that the final for today....-.91 for the day, or is it a false bottom?

To have a - UfV, EFA would have to close at / below 82.09
To have a + Ufv, it would have to close at/above 89.91