350zCommtech's Account Talk

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This is like the movie Rounders - I would wish you good luck but it is more than luck it's a skill. People always say good luck when someone goes to Vegas or plays the lottery. Willing the lottery is luck. Playing Cards in Vegas is a skill. Making money in the TSP with this market is like sitting at the final table at the World Series Of Poker but the only control we have is the G Fund for safety. If you want to make any money here you really have to be disciplined to a point, know when to make a move and knowing when to run. Best Wishes to you !!!!!!!
 
Braveheart said:
This is like the movie Rounders - I would wish you good luck but it is more than luck it's a skill. People always say good luck when someone goes to Vegas or plays the lottery. Willing the lottery is luck. Playing Cards in Vegas is a skill. Making money in the TSP with this market is like sitting at the final table at the World Series Of Poker but the only control we have is the G Fund for safety. If you want to make any money here you really have to be disciplined to a point, know when to make a move and knowing when to run. Best Wishes to you !!!!!!!
Click to expand...

I agree, but with our deadline, some luck is needed.

Take care..
 
350,

I've been lost since 01/22 on when the I-Fund FV has been corrected.
Would you (or someone else) correct this?

Thanks

01/15/08 I-fund -2.98% MSCI -2.20% <= UV -0.78%
01/16/08 I-fund -1.81% MSCI -2.59% <= UVC 0.78%

01/17/08 I-fund -1.58% MSCI 0.13% <= UV -1.71%
01/18/08 I-fund 0.76% MSCI -0.97% <= UVC 1.73%

01/22/08 I-fund -4.26% MSCI -5.49% <= UV 1.23%
01/23/08 I-fund -0.60% MSCI -1.26% <= UV 0.66%
01/24/08 I-fund 3.73% MSCI 5.09% <= UV -1.36%
01/25/08 I-fund -0.27% MSCI 1.36% <= UV -1.63%
01/28/08 I-fund 0.54% MSCI -1.18% <= UV 1.72%
01/29/08 I-fund 0.58% MSCI 1.46% <= UV -0.88%
01/30/08 I-fund 0.04% MSCI -0.74% <= UV 0.78%
01/31/08 I-fund 0.89% MSCI 0.76% <= UV 0.13%
02/01/08 I-fund 1.41% MSCI 1.55% <= UV -0.14%
02/04/08 I-fund -0.13% MSCI 0.59% <= UV -0.72%
02/05/08 I-fund -4.75% MSCI -3.30% <= UV -1.45%
02/06/08 I-fund -0.37% MSCI -0.81% <= UV 0.44%
02/07/08 I-fund -0.92% MSCI -1.97% <= UV 1.05%
 
Greg said:
350,

I've been lost since 01/22 on when the I-Fund FV has been corrected.
Would you (or someone else) correct this?

Thanks

01/15/08 I-fund -2.98% MSCI -2.20% <= UV -0.78%
01/16/08 I-fund -1.81% MSCI -2.59% <= UVC 0.78%

01/17/08 I-fund -1.58% MSCI 0.13% <= UV -1.71%
01/18/08 I-fund 0.76% MSCI -0.97% <= UVC 1.73%

01/22/08 I-fund -4.26% MSCI -5.49% <= UV 1.23%
01/23/08 I-fund -0.60% MSCI -1.26% <= UV 0.66%
01/24/08 I-fund 3.73% MSCI 5.09% <= UV -1.36%
01/25/08 I-fund -0.27% MSCI 1.36% <= UV -1.63%
01/28/08 I-fund 0.54% MSCI -1.18% <= UV 1.72%
01/29/08 I-fund 0.58% MSCI 1.46% <= UV -0.88%
01/30/08 I-fund 0.04% MSCI -0.74% <= UV 0.78%
01/31/08 I-fund 0.89% MSCI 0.76% <= UV 0.13%
02/01/08 I-fund 1.41% MSCI 1.55% <= UV -0.14%
02/04/08 I-fund -0.13% MSCI 0.59% <= UV -0.72%
02/05/08 I-fund -4.75% MSCI -3.30% <= UV -1.45%
02/06/08 I-fund -0.37% MSCI -0.81% <= UV 0.44%
02/07/08 I-fund -0.92% MSCI -1.97% <= UV 1.05%
Click to expand...

Yesterday's -FV was 23 cents. It got corrected today. The I fund is now even.
 
350zCommTech said:
Yesterday's -FV was 23 cents. It got corrected today. The I fund is now even.
Click to expand...

350z, While comparing the YTD loses of both the EFA and the I-Fund,
EFA = <12.04%> I-FUND = <12.88%>

My point, one could assume that since they are to reflect each other,
(after tracking this for 2 years, this holds true w/ swings based on fees
and the value of the dollar vs. foriegn currencies)

The EFA needs to LOSE .84% more to stay in line with the I-Fund
and/or
The I-Fund needs to GAIN .84% more to stay in line with the EFA.

As far as FV, they may be even, but I'd like your thoughts on the
comparisons of YTD Returns as they relate to the EFA & I-Fund.
I believe theres a good chance that we could see up to +0.18
(.88%) gain in the I-Fund tomarrow if the EFA returns positive for
the day and the I-Fund makes up for the entire .88% difference.
(more common it will make up 1/2 of the .88% which = .44% or +0.09)
I respect your knowledge and your opinion on this is appreciated.
:)
I-Fund .
 
anidoc said:
Guys, 350 is taking a break from all the FV stuff on the I-Fund thread so I don't think it's fair of us to ask him to tackle it here in his own account thread.

350, please forgive me for popping off here but I respect and value your input and don't want to lose it through a burnout.;):cool:
Click to expand...

Although my question does not concern FV, I do remember burnout being mentioned recently. This is not my intent. If anyone else on this thread has an opinion concerning my question, I'm still interested in knowing what they think. :embarrest:
 
Last edited:
squalebear said:
350z, While comparing the YTD loses of both the EFA and the I-Fund,
EFA = <12.04%> I-FUND = <12.88%>

My point, one could assume that since they are to reflect each other,
(after tracking this for 2 years, this holds true w/ swings based on fees
and the value of the dollar vs. foriegn currencies)

The EFA needs to LOSE .84% more to stay in line with the I-Fund
and/or
The I-Fund needs to GAIN .84% more to stay in line with the EFA.

As far as FV, they may be even, but I'd like your thoughts on the
comparisons of YTD Returns as they relate to the EFA & I-Fund.
I believe theres a good chance that we could see up to +0.18
(.88%) gain in the I-Fund tomarrow if the EFA returns positive for
the day and the I-Fund makes up for the entire .88% difference.
(more common it will make up 1/2 of the .88% which = .44% or +0.09)
I respect your knowledge and your opinion on this is appreciated.
:)
I-Fund .
Click to expand...

squalebear,

The EFA is an ETF(exchange trade fund) of the EAFE. It has nothing to do with our I fund. It gets traded during the day, so it just follows the USM. It is affected by the dollar.

These types of questions come up at least once or twice a month. I would appreciate it if others here would answer some of these questions.:D

Perhaps Tom can make the I fund FAQ a required reading for new members after signing up.:D
 
I'm more then aware of the differences between ETF's and the indexes.
Your response is appreciated and always respected. Thanks for writing
back
 
squalebear said:
I'm more then aware of the differences between ETF's and the indexes.
Your response is appreciated and always respected. Thanks for writing
back
Click to expand...

I gave you a canned response to a question that gets asked so many times. Sorry about.

It's just that I have a big problem with what you wrote below, because it does not work that way. We have a member here that was doing exactly that. http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=3473
Not sure if he's still around.

But there is one thing that I've noticed. Whenever the I fund gets a FV, the EFA will open as though it had taken the some FV into account. Also, Barclays will sometime use the EFA as guage for determining the I fund FVs.

squalebear said:
As far as FV, they may be even, but I'd like your thoughts on the
comparisons of YTD Returns as they relate to the EFA & I-Fund.
I believe theres a good chance that we could see up to +0.18
(.88%) gain in the I-Fund tomarrow if the EFA returns positive for
the day and the I-Fund makes up for the entire .88% difference.
(more common it will make up 1/2 of the .88% which = .44% or +0.09)
I respect your knowledge and your opinion on this is appreciated.
:)
I-Fund .
Click to expand...
 
Bless you and the contributions you give to the Federal Employee.
I really meant it when I said; "I have the utmost respect of your
opinion". I keep a low profile and rarely write, however, I spend hours
reading. I'll check out the link you provided and thanks again.
 
Chrysler needs to reduce the number of models it produces. Low volume models like the Nitro need to go. Product is excessive as well. Whether it's effective or not will be determined by their follow through.

GM is already making adjustments to its future line up. The rumored rear wheel drive Impala will be moved to a front wheel drive platform to reduce weight and increase milage. Other upcoming rear wheel drive vehicles on the zeta architechture are being looked at as well. GM always seems to have a backup and backup backup plan ready.

Ford has already announced changes to its future powertrains. They'll likely be reducing engine size and number of cylinders, but keep the power up with forced induction.
 
I'm going to pure some cold water on this rally.

1: Warren Buffet does not have enough money to bail out the insurers.

2: Warren Buffet probably only wants the muni-bonds.(already well know)

3: Why are long term yields only up slightly and are headed down again? A real bailout should send yields to the moon.

4: Why are the big bond insurers(ABK/MBIA) down today?

And 5: Why is the NDX up just 2 points. The NDX has been leading market lately.

I went 100% F today. I've just exceeded my 3 IFT/month limit.:D
 
350zCommTech said:
I'm going to pure some cold water on this rally.

1: Warren Buffet does not have enough money bail out the insurers.

2: Warren Buffet probably only wants the muni-bonds.(already well know)

3: Why are long term yields only up slightly and are headed down again? A real bailout should send yields to the moon.

4: Why are the big bond insurers(ABK/MBIA) down today?

And 5: Why is the NDX up just 2 points. The NDX has been leading market lately.

I went 100% F today. I've just exceeded my 3 IFT/month limit.:D
Click to expand...



lol, I almost went f today. I think it is a fake rally also. :)
 
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