2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

Coronavirus-infected Americans flown home against CDC's advice

Source: Washington Post

In the wee hours of a rainy Monday, more than a dozen buses sat on the tarmac at Tokyo’s Haneda Airport. Inside, 328 weary Americans wearing surgical masks and gloves waited anxiously to fly home after weeks in quarantine aboard the Diamond Princess, the luxury liner where the novel coronavirus had exploded into a ship-wide epidemic.

But as the buses idled, U.S. officials wrestled with troubling news. New test results showed that 14 passengers were infected with the virus. The U.S. State Department had promised that no one with the infection would be allowed to board the planes.

A decision had to be made. Let them all fly? Or leave them behind in Japanese hospitals?

In Washington, where it was still Sunday afternoon, a fierce debate broke out: The State Department and a top Trump administration health official wanted to forge ahead. The infected passengers had no symptoms and could be segregated on the plane in a plastic-lined enclosure. But officials at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention disagreed, contending they could still spread the virus. The CDC believed the 14 should not be flown back with uninfected passengers.

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The State Department won the argument. But unhappy CDC officials demanded to be left out of the news release that explained that infected people were being flown back to the United States — a move that would nearly double the number of known coronavirus cases in this country.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/heal...f54cae-5279-11ea-b119-4faabac6674f_story.html


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That is one heck of a bad news report- 328 Americans- those from the Cruise ship flown back: 5 hours riding in, sitting on buses - many without wearing masks. Then 11 hours on a plane together. 328. And 13 have now tested positive, and are under care in Nebraska.

I would wager that the majority of the 328 will likely catch the virus, but we have to wait another 14 days to know how many.

This appears to be a very virulent strain. With at least a 2.6% fatality rate, according to Chinese published data so far- and it has been taking 4 to 14 days to test positive after exposure, according to the latest information. The deaths are occurring, on average, about 8 days after first exhibiting symptoms.

God help us all.


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Re: COVID-19, (was Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)"

Not that COVID19 can't get worse but the flu has killed more people and across all age groups this year and they have said that the flu shot is 47% effective for adults and 50 something for children. At least the folks coming off the Diamond Princess are being closely watched. I'm more concerned about the folks that got off the Holland America ship and then authorities found out folks were infected. Or that one person that is sick and missed and comes in contact with hundreds here in the states before being found. Kind of like that women in South Korea.
The wife is a little nervous. We fly to San Francisco the end of March for a two week cruise up and down the west coast.
 
Iran

Coronavirus live updates: WHO officials say Iran outbreak ‘worrisome,’ Lebanon confirms first case

KEY POINTS

WHO officials said the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak in Iran, where health officials confirmed 18 new cases and 4 deaths in just two days, is “very worrisome.”

“This outbreak could still go in any direction,” said Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO director-general.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/21/who-officials-say-coronavirus-outbreak-in-iran-is-very-worrisome.html
 
Mixed messages?

Expectations for a rate cut will fade as coronavirus fear eases, Fed’s James Bullard says

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he expects the coronavirus to be a short-term problem and likely not a cause to cut interest rates.

“There’s a high probability that the coronavirus will blow over as other viruses have, be a temporary shock and everything will come back,” the central bank official told CNBC.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/21/bul...ions-will-fade-as-coronavirus-fear-eases.html
 
Does anybody here, after seeing the virility of this particular strain, with its’ reported 2.6% fatality rate after 15 days... Does anybody here actually believe the last three days of China’s reporting that the number of infected is slowing down? Really?

Asking because, we’ll, you know, Communist China and all, and the report yesterday about the doubling of cases in Korea because of a single lady who went to a single church service, turning into 104 new cases confirmed just a week later.

That’s numbers on track with the growth we saw the first week of Feb out of China. I just don’t get how suddenly China is saying that the exponential growth isn’t growing exponentially any more, and instead, has slowed down considerably.


Yeah. Right. Like I’m going to believe that.


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China's Wuhan to build 19 more makeshift hospitals

Upon their completion, all the makeshift hospitals in Wuhan are expected to offer 30,000 beds on Feb. 25, said Hu Yabo, deputy mayor of Wuhan at a press briefing on epidemic prevention and control.

To date, Wuhan has converted 13 existing venues into temporary hospitals, with a total of 13,348 beds, and about 9,313 beds have been put into use to treat patients with mild symptoms, said Hu.


https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1180377.shtml
 
Watch South Korea’s explosion of numbers. The last three days South Korea began a whole new round of infections. Here is data from today , feb 23, 2020. Emphasis on two new jumps in cases- Italy, and Republic of Korea:

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Let me try to post that video again- so that the actual video shows. Not sure why it did not before.

 
Speech today from the Director General of the World Health Organization:

WHO Director-General's opening remarks at the media briefing on COVID-19 - 24 February 2020

24 February 2020


Good afternoon everyone.

Let me start, as always, with the latest numbers.
As of 6am Geneva time this morning, China has reported a total of 77,362 cases of COVID-19 to WHO, including 2618 deaths.
In the past 24 hours, China has reported 416 new confirmed cases, and 150 deaths.

We’re encouraged by the continued decline in cases in China.

Earlier today the WHO-China joint mission concluded its visit and delivered its report.

As you know, the team has traveled to several different provinces, including Wuhan.

The team has made a range of findings about the transmissibility of the virus, the severity of disease and the impact of the measures taken.
They found that the epidemic peaked and plateaued between the 23[SUP]rd[/SUP] of January and the 2nd of February, and has been declining steadily since then.
They have found that there has been no significant change in the DNA of the virus.
They found that the fatality rate is between 2% and 4% in Wuhan, and 0.7% outside Wuhan.
They found that for people with mild disease, recovery time is about two weeks, while people with severe or critical disease recover within three to six weeks.
The team also estimate that the measures taken in China have averted a significant number of cases.
The report contains a wealth of other information, highlights questions for which we still don’t have answers, and includes 22 recommendations.

Dr Bruce Aylward will give more detail tomorrow on behalf of the joint team.

But the key message that should give all countries hope, courage and confidence is that this virus can be contained.

Indeed, there are many countries that have done exactly that.

Outside China, there are now 2074 cases in 28 countries, and 23 deaths.

The sudden increases of cases in Italy, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Republic of Korea are deeply concerning.

There’s a lot of speculation about whether these increases mean thatthis epidemic has now become a pandemic.

We understand why people ask that question.

WHO has already declared a public health emergency of international concern – our highest level of alarm – when there were less than 100 cases outside China, and 8 cases of human-to-human transmission.

Our decision about whether to use the word “pandemic” to describe an epidemic is based on an ongoing assessment of the geographical spread of the virus, the severity of disease it causes and the impact it has on the whole of society.

For the moment, we are not witnessing the uncontained global spread of this virus, and we are not witnessing large-scale severe disease or death.

Does this virus have pandemic potential? Absolutely, it has. Are we there yet? From our assessment, not yet.

So how should we describe the current situation?

What we see are epidemics in different parts of the world, affecting countries in different ways and requiring a tailored response.

The sudden increase in new cases is certainly very concerning.

I have spoken consistently about the need for facts, not fear.

Using the word pandemic now does not fit the facts, but it may certainly cause fear.

This is not the time to focus on what word we use.

That will not prevent a single infection today, or save a single life today.

This is a time for all countries, communities, families and individuals to focus on preparing.

We do not live in a binary, black-and-white world.

It’s not either-or. We must focus on containment, while doing everything we can to prepare for a potential pandemic.

There is no one-size-fits-all approach. Every country must make its own risk assessment for its own context. WHO is also continuing to do its own risk assessment and is monitoring the evolution of the epidemic around the clock.

But there are at least three priorities.

First, all countries must prioritize protecting health workers.

Second, we must engage communities to protect people who are most at risk of severe disease, particularly the elderly and people with underlying health conditions.

And third, we must protect countries that are the most vulnerable, by doing our utmost to contain epidemics in countries with the capacity to do it.

In the past few days I have held meetings with the foreign ministers of France, Germany, Indonesia, Cuba and the Republic of Korea, and I want to thank them for agreeing to support the response.
I also wish to thank the European Commission for its contribution of 232 million euros, which demonstrates the kind of global solidarity that gives me hope. France, Germany and Sweden have also announced additional contributions.

This is a shared threat. We can only face it together, and we can only overcome it together.

When we act together – countries, regional and global health organizations, the media, the private sector, and people everywhere – our collective strength is formidable.

Alone, we lose. Together, we win
.
I thank you.

Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
WHO Director-General






 
Re: COVID-19, (was Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)"

Might want to re-think the cruise... those ships seem like humongous floating petrie dishes to me. Just sayin'...
 
Re: COVID-19, (was Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)"

Iran has reported 15 deaths today-
far higher than should be expected if they really only have the 100 people infected that they said they did.

It may indicates it is likely that infection rate is far higher- just no tests to confirm.

And in the last hour- the Iranian Deputy Health Minister is confirmed to have contracted COVID-19.
He held a press conference yesterday with dozens of journalists. And no one was wearing a mask.

From AFP news:

 
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