12%ayear's Account Talk

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DennisFAA said:
To hell with the I fund..too many variables and Barclay is always screwing with it...Staying in S as you said at the beginning of this month..and it's paying off good too.;)
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yes....IMO I like the I Fund short-term based on the US DOLLAR rally coming to a short-term end. Also the Nikkei is grossly oversold and lagging bigtime. We shall see next week which does better. I love the S Fund for the new year 2008. Better enjoy these last trades before the hammer hits us with these letters and 2 trades a month crap. It looks like a done deal with the 2 trades a month. I spoke to some people who said March. Just take it for what it is worth.
 
Tonight Kudlow says that economy is still growing,inflation is not bad,he is very positive of market..but others have been saying the sub prime problem is worse than it looks.What is your thought for January 08 ? TIA
When will be next Fed cut? if Fed cuts again,USD will go down?
and the I fund will benefit from it?.
and how is oil price related to USD's strength?CNBC said oil price will be up to $100 then go down to 70s how does it affect USD.
Thanks for all the help.Merry Christmas and happy investing for the New Year to you and your family.
Ziemy
Ziemy
 
The dollar will trend sideways to up for several years getting back eventually to over 100 - maybe even up to 120. Fed rate cuts typically are bearish for the US dollar. Even so, the US dollar index has been extending its gains, driven by recent bullish contrarian sentiment readings and the unwinding of a crowded large speculator short position. The euro/USD, which represents nearly 60% of the Dollar index, has broken down from a short term top, positioning the index for additional upside. I wouldn't worry about the dollar and how it might impact the I fund, rather I'd be concerned about all the investors that have migrated to the internationals over the last several years - they are top heavy and the boat is starting to lean. When that herd starts to repatriate back to domestics I won't be standing in their way.
 
IMF to cut U.S., Europe growth estimates - report http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUKL2226020420071222?rpc=44
To what extent the subprime crisis, related to risky U.S. housing loans, will spill over to the European economy still remained to be seen, but the strong euro was an additional burden for the continent's economy, the paper reported Johnson as saying.
A further decline in the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar would be necessary, as it remains overvalued, while it would also help to rectify global imbalances, Johnson said, according to Boersen-Zeitung.
 
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Offsetting that somber tone, factory orders across the euro zone picked up in October, growing at their fastest monthly rate in four months. New industrial orders in October rose 2.5% from a month earlier and 10.9% from a year earlier. I know significant doubts remain about the prospects for the euro-zone manufacturing sector but their productivity is rising and interest rates will drop.
 
www.freerice.com excellent game to help the poor from the United Nations.....The rice is distributed by the United Nations World Food Program (WFP). The World Food Program is the world’s largest food aid agency, working with over 1,000 other organizations in over 75 countries. In addition to providing food, the World Food Program helps hungry people to become self-reliant so that they escape hunger for good. Wherever possible, the World Food Program buys food locally to support local farmers and the local economy. We encourage you to visit the United Nations World Food Program to learn more about their successful approach to ending hunger I love this game!! try it to expand your vocabulary
 
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2008 coming weeeeeee
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going into the S Fund for Thursday for the small-cap pop. The US DOLLAR is tanking vs. the Euro. IMO the I Fund will get some +fv this afternoon and Nikkei looks like a pullback is in order. Also the US DOLLAR should bounce tomorrow vs. EURO.
 
12%ayear said:
going into the S Fund for Thursday for the small-cap pop. The US DOLLAR is tanking vs. the Euro. IMO the I Fund will get some +fv this afternoon and Nikkei looks like a pullback is in order. Also the US DOLLAR should bounce tomorrow vs. EURO.
Click to expand...

Hi 12%,
Hoping that your right on the S. I've been trying a short-position trade, since 12/20 (25S, 75I) -maybe as practice for the 2 IFTs/mo. if that hits.
I guessed this morning might have been a head-fake, and now looking so far like maybe it was (~1:15)!
I do hope that "I" keeps kickin' though (maybe a day's stumble, or 2), but basically maintains a run -into early Jan.
Thanks for the added confidence for S though.;)
http://shock.military.com/Shock/videos.do?displayContent=73719&page=110
 
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