12%ayear's Account Talk

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12%ayear said:
http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/05/news/economy/holiday2007_outlook/index.htm?postversion=2007100515
Holiday retail: More chill than cheer

CNNMoney.com survey finds that lackluster merchandise, wary consumers could drag down critical year-end shopping season. This holiday season is going to be terrible," said Howard Davidowitz, chairman of retail consulting and investment banking firm Davidowitz & Associates. He thinks holiday sales will rise a mere 2 percent over last year.
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sounds like they are begging for that .25 cut in interest rates, we will be hearing it til they get it
 
Dennis,
I have been a "watcher" for quite some time to TSP talk, and thoughly loved the interaction and freedom of discussions. I'm relatively new to posting to the TSPtalk forums though, and i'm not sure whether i can respond with an answer to your question, even though I don't subscribe to a pay service - i now think should check whith a lawyer.

My posting whether i feel C, S, I is appropriate could be construed as something i got from someone who might be in one of the new pay services, so i likely should get a legal opinion before posting.

Any lawyers in the forums? Any willing to advise on this for free??:cool:

Apologise for the sarcasm, and to 12% for off-topic rant, but i am feeling a serious lack of openness, and also like theworth of this web-site that i've come to love is being lost to "system engineers". While i do feel "free market captalism is the path to properity, success," and all that, i don't feel like we are free to talk anymore, like we're losing/have lost something that was pretty great.

BTW: Decided by noon friday that it was time to have a Good day. Thought tuesday would be interesting, so plan to watch the market action then and see what happens then.
VR
 
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hessian said:
While i do feel "free market captalism is the path to properity, success," and all that, i don't feel like we are free to talk anymore, like we're losing/have lost something that was pretty great. VR
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It's still pretty great... It was before Ebb, Fred, etc... and continues... :D

Just don't talk about the paid services protected info... That's not really what this forum is for anyway, is it? :cool:
 
hessian,

My friend, don't be another silly man. We are dealing with a fiduciary account and nothing more. Speak your investment mind and don't worry about offending the pay services. There is room enough for all types of investor strategies. Remember the markets are equal opportunity builders as well as slayers. We all take in information and make decisions accordingly. The wild west is wide open with plenty of range to practice our investing skills. I've been a longer term position trader over the last number of years but will soon join the arcade of pistol shooters ready to make more tugboat money than I dare to speculate about. GL.
 
DennisFAA said:
So..What did you decide?..I'm really new to all this jargin and will be the first to admit it..I was hoping someday, I will be able to read between the lines of everyone's insight and wisdom of what's happening day by day in order to place my ESP monies in the right funds for the best gains and minimal losses..But until that day where I can walk the walk and talk the talk here..I will humbly ask the obvious questions as I did in my post below to 12%...What's in store for these FUNDS for Monday and Tuesaday?..Where was the best place for my money on these two days?..Friday was recommended by most that the I fund was the best bet..is that still true today and for Tuesday?..Simple question I still don't have an answer to...:confused:

Thanks for your views on this web sight..I too understand that the new Premium systems are nice to be apart of and am seriously considering joining them..but for right now, I'm still learning and hope that straight forward no BS questions will be answered by the resident experts without a lot of the technical jargin that naturally comes with the answers that still leaves me quessing.."What da hell did he just say?":confused::D


Thanks again everyone..we are all Gov workers and we should all be there for each other.
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Mostly, you can't IFT today for Tuesday because of the holiday, so the discussion is academic.

And besides, BS is in the eye of the beholder. To ask for a recommendation without a reason with it will likely not result in much response. Usually people on this board like to expound on their well reasoned process.

If you are looking for advice, not many here are likely to suggest what you should do regarding your account, as each of us have our own goals and risk tolerance. What may be a sound and legitimate decision for me would be fool hardy for someone else.

Beware of those who freely give their advice, as they will "should" on you... :)

Answers that are quick, easy and uncomplicated are usually suspect.
 
OK,
FYI, I do respect the heck of you both for your advice. Seems that lately everyone is so sensitive about whether advice is going to offend some pay service. Agree fully -'nuf already! :rolleyes: I have tried to post real market questions, seeking advice, or at least trying to illicit real response - positive/negative (call me an idiot, whatever, I can take it), but nobody seems to respond to the real issues (I just get pay-service sensitivities).

Appreciate if you'd reply to my post in Dr F's Account Talk this morning (on Tuesday's FOMC issues). Maybe I'm 180 degrees off - but there's plenty there, where I expected to see lively debate on that!! ;)
(Not the other stuff):confused:
VR
 
DennisFAA,

The first thing you have to do is give up your innate fear of loosing money. You will lose money - we all do. If you hit a downdraft you will find most are fairly shallow unless it is a serious consolidation - if you don't panic at the bottom you will not incur a loss because what goes down will turn around and go back up. Use your contributions as a dollar cost averaging strategy to accumulate more shares - shares make you money, not percentages. I don't mean to lecture but you need to define your foundation before you're in over your head. Following the Ebbchart will be fine for many - but IMHO the best policy is to wear your own shoes. You conceivably may have another 30 years in front of you to learn this stuff. It's taken me 40 years to get where I am and I'm still learning.

Dennis - permabull #1
 
DennisFAA said:
Yes I know today and Tuesday I'm stuck in the fund, I IFT'd last Friday before noon EST..

Let's just say for sake of academic discussion, that one put his monies into the I fund Friday for Monday and Tuesday...What is going to happen to the I fund for these two days, can one expect it to rise or fall?...Hypothetically or just and educated guess is all I'm asking for based on what happened late last Friday night and right now..?

Thanks, I sincerely value and respect everyone of your comments and help.:)
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For what it's worth, the USD seems to have bounced off a significant low. I think that the potential for the USD to rise has increased as it seems the Fed has less pressure to drop rates another 25 basis points.

Therefore, I think the I will come under some pressure (due to a potential rise of USD) in the near term, thus undermining any potential gains in the I fund.

How's that for a "pronostic"? :D
 
So....DennisFAA, The answer is...without all the fluff.... We are screwed for Monday and Tuesday. WE are both in the same sinking ship. Let's just hope it won't hurt too bad. The good news..long term...the I funds is on an upward trend....if you can just hold on long enough.
 
crhuss said:
So....DennisFAA, The answer is...without all the fluff.... We are screwed for Monday and Tuesday. WE are both in the same sinking ship. Let's just hope it won't hurt too bad. The good news..long term...the I funds is on an upward trend....if you can just hold on long enough.
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To make it even worse--looks like USMs are rounding the bottoms and moving upward. May give strong possibility for +FV. That would make tomorrows move even more painful. :sick:
 
Originally Posted by SkyPilot
For what it's worth, the USD seems to have bounced off a significant low. I think that the potential for the USD to rise has increased as it seems the Fed has less pressure to drop rates another 25 basis points.

Therefore, I think the I will come under some pressure (due to a potential rise of USD) in the near term, thus undermining any potential gains in the I fund.

How's that for a "pronostic"? :D

Correct is it you would appear! (yoda talk):( But good perhaps for the economy as a whole? Heard I have that the OSM's tend to follow the US.:notrust:
 
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I have enjoyed the dialog here fellas, but I'm noticing one thing is missing: 12%ayear. :)

If he doesn't mind the hijacking of his thread, then I don't, but his commentary is getting lost in the discussion.

Just a friendly reminder to keep things on topic in threads. If you have an idea for a forum that does not already exist, just let me know. If it's a reasonable request, we'll create it.

Thanks!
 
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