12%ayear's Account Talk

nice comeback in the markets..Small caps were down heavy and fought there way back for a .10% return. I think Asia will rally and along with Europe.This will hold well for the I Fund, Wednesday... GL:)
 
12%ayear;91268 said:
After tomorrow IMO be very careful. The markets are acting like there are no inflation problems. This last 2 weeks has been nothing but a suckers rally. Earnings have been running the show,however;that will soon end. That is why i put up my new avatar, to remind myself and others. I see the DJIA 's top around 13200.
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I posted above last Wednesday. I see today we reached that 13200s level. The DJIA has has a huge run-up and to me it feels frothy/toppy right now. IMO...protect the profits and wait for the next move before being stuck in a downfall. When the DJIA falls, it will fall hard. I went to the bonds just for sidelining.
 
Here comes the tricky part for people. Do I chase the run-up? Is it for real? I missed the rally and I am mad some will say, so they throw in the towel. The pros will say...sideline and wait!! The DJIA hit my target of 13200. IMO I think you will see the 12000s so enough. The DJIA has not be down 2 days straight since early March. Earnings are coming to the end and oil is climbing. Guess what? Inflationary pressure resumes. Also I strongly feel that the later part of this year...you will see a huge sell-off. However; I still will be will a market-timer hobo and jump on a moving train here and there.
 
False rally, IMO. Market desperate for any good news, but the Job Numbers could be spun any way they want. If #'s come in high........"see the economy is great more new jobs." If #'s come in low........."see business are cutting cost and make'n money."

Market expects 100k new jobs. I thought the economy needed 150+ just to keep up with the inflow of new kids coming into the labor market.

Flip of a coin on Friday.
 
False rally, IMO. Market desperate for any good news, but the Job Numbers could be spun any way they want. If #'s come in high........"see the economy is great more new jobs." If #'s come in low........."see business are cutting cost and make'n money."

Market expects 100k new jobs. I thought the economy needed 150+ just to keep up with the inflow of new kids coming into the labor market.

Flip of a coin on Friday.
here is a great avatar for you....http://www.scholastic.ca/education/show_me/images/show-me_logo.jpg
 
lol, now CNBC is talking about the S&P hitting record highs. Give me a break!!! :)

CNBC has become a joke. Traders I talk to at Merrill say only idiots listen to their sideline cheerleading but unfortunatley on TV they are still the only game. I can only watch it with the sound off. Maybe Rupert Murdoch will come up with something at FOX a little more realistic.

white
 
CNBC has become a joke. Traders I talk to at Merrill say only idiots listen to their sideline cheerleading but unfortunatley on TV they are still the only game. I can only watch it with the sound off. Maybe Rupert Murdoch will come up with something at FOX a little more realistic.

white

They are a joke definitely, but I use them as a laugh and different perspective... and if you were watching yesterday Liz was briefly excited about the market going up!! ;) Everyone of their analyst's are so wishy washy it's unbelievable, NONE of them ever want to make a commitment one way or another, so then following day they can say'" I said blah , blah, blah."
 
fwiw I am going to the I Fund for tomorrow.
``The market is bearish on the dollar,'' said Boris Schlossberg, senior currency strategist in New York at DailyFX.com in New York. ``There is evidence that the job data will be weak tomorrow.'' Also, with the Dollar up 2 days, I think that tomorrow the Dollar will sell-off...Friday.
 
fwiw I am going to the I Fund for tomorrow.
``The market is bearish on the dollar,'' said Boris Schlossberg, senior currency strategist in New York at DailyFX.com in New York. ``There is evidence that the job data will be weak tomorrow.'' Also, with the Dollar up 2 days, I think that tomorrow the Dollar will sell-off...Friday.

12%... Thanks, I got your PM but also I see your IFT here. Good Luck!!! :p
 
Don't quote me on this. I believe Japan is closed tonight. Someone please confirm this. I will look it up..pretty sure though.

So then with the Japanese markets being closed Thur/Fri the I Fund should rise? Because of the "lack of volitility" the yen or maybe because the yen would be "stable" for those 2 days? :embarrest: :confused:

I read it yesterday somewhere. Do you want me to find it?
 
ADP report was 64k jobs. Japan still closed for Friday with Golden Week Vacation. Gutsy call on I fund. May just be a push till Monday when everyone is open.

white
 
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