12%ayear's Account Talk

Sort by newest Sort by date
Get ready for some super rallies. We will see 12000 before 10000. Many negative factors are priced in. The Senate and House will pass this one for sure. . Once this is passed, look for the Fed to step in if needed with a cut. The US DOLLAR is looking strong which is a great sign. Also, oil is easing the inflation problem, so this will allow the Fed to cut if they need to. Too many stocks on sale. We will erase the losses from Monday and then add some....this always occurs after a huge sell-off. Wall Street loves to do this.
 
12%ayear said:
thanks, watch for turn today. We are down 183. I bet we close green:)
Click to expand...

12%...i predicted your prediction even before it was posted :):):)

I'll 1 up ya and say we will fall at first, then rise hard, then fall hard, then rise hard, then fall hard, then rise a bit, fall a bit, only to have the entire exchange go down due to an electronic failure from motion sickness.

The ISM index fell the most in 1 month since 1984. This was the August to September time frame...and to think the credit markets were'nt even frozen at that time. Get ready for some HORRID economic data in the coming months. I plan on being out for that. Job losses will follow with a natural lag.
 
Corepuncher said:
12%...i predicted your prediction even before it was posted :):):)

I'll 1 up ya and say we will fall at first, then rise hard, then fall hard, then rise hard, then fall hard, then rise a bit, fall a bit, only to have the entire exchange go down due to an electronic failure from motion sickness.

The ISM index fell the most in 1 month since 1984. This was the August to September time frame...and to think the credit markets were'nt even frozen at that time. Get ready for some HORRID economic data in the coming months. I plan on being out for that. Job losses will follow with a natural lag.
Click to expand...
I think the markets are going to breakout to the upside. Everyone is very bearish and I would say 90% of the bad news is out. Now, we can move forward. The last part of the puzzle is the unemployment. The key is that the US DOLLAR is gaining power. This is the key for recovery. A strong US DOLLAR fights inflation and keeps oil down.
 
12%ayear said:
I think the markets are going to breakout to the upside. Everyone is very bearish and I would say 90% of the bad news is out. Now, we can move forward. The last part of the puzzle is the unemployment. The key is that the US DOLLAR is gaining power. This is the key for recovery. A strong US DOLLAR fights inflation and keeps oil down.
Click to expand...


I agree. Similarly, if this plan starts sucking, the dollar fails, and bonds collapse, we are in for inflation and a depression. But, things like that don't happen overnight.
 
Corepuncher said:
Originally Posted by 12%ayear
I think the markets are going to breakout to the upside. Everyone is very bearish and I would say 90% of the bad news is out. Now, we can move forward. The last part of the puzzle is the unemployment. The key is that the US DOLLAR is gaining power. This is the key for recovery. A strong US DOLLAR fights inflation and keeps oil down.
Click to expand...


I think the key here is where is the US going to get the 700 Billion. Is Paulson going to borrow the money and compete with individuals and bussiness for the dollars in circulation thus driving up interest rates.....or are they going to just print more money which will fan inflation and weaken the dollar.
 
Bingo, got I fund?
Gumby said:
I think the key here is where is the US going to get the 700 Billion. Is Paulson going to borrow the money and compete with individuals and bussiness for the dollars in circulation thus driving up interest rates.....or are they going to just print more money which will fan inflation and weaken the dollar.
Click to expand...
 
Tuesday was a 90.2% up day and the bulls would like to see another in the near future for bullish confirmation. Tomorrow could be the day.
 
Corepuncher said:
12%...i predicted your prediction even before it was posted :):):)
Click to expand...

...meaning I predicted he would make that prediction...I didn't actually make a daily prediction today.

Congratulations to ATC Jeff however, who did predict today correctly. 12% was correct in a way since we rallied from the lows, just did not close green.
 
Birchtree said:
Tuesday was a 90.2% up day and the bulls would like to see another in the near future for bullish confirmation. Tomorrow could be the day.
Click to expand...

My dear brother,
For some reason when I first arrived I thought this is the "ultimate challenge" to Federal Employees - to see who can be first.

Making these announements does not serve in our 'best interests' to be Number One.
 
juliebeb said:
For you who have been paying a lot more attention to your TSP accounts than I have, I would love to get some suggestions. I saw my investments bomb out with my 20% I 80% L1040 approach. I didn't keep my eyes on things over the summer and never checked in until this big uproar. So what to do now, ride it a bit and see if things improve for a couple of weeks to try to recoup some losses, or move to C50, G50 and wait it out for awhile. Any bright ideas for someone looking at some pretty huge losses.:confused:
Click to expand...
Lots of people have losses, I'm hurting as well. I'd suggest tracking what the leaders are doing. You can find out who's leading the pack in the TSP returns by checking out the leaders at: http://www.tsptalk.com/tracker/tsp_user_balance_all.php. Then see what moves they are doing by checking (daily): http://www.tsptalk.com/tracker/tsp_user_record_all.php. Since we are limited about how many moves we can make a month, the list of daily changes isn't too long.

Of course someone who's doing well at a given time might not do so well if the market changes in another direction. For example, some of the most successful TSP'ers didn't do well this year and visa versa.
 
love-to-bike said:
By the way, anyone who is positive this year is a genius IMO.
Click to expand...

Genius, I wish. My current 0.34% (real account) earlier was around 2.4%, then I got stoopid and played with I twice when I should have left it completely alone after April. Huh. Lumps and bumps make me smart(er) tho. :o
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

V
Valleymd blog (the international question)
Replies
2
Views
167
tsptalk
tsptalk
TommyIV
  • Article Article
TSP Talk AutoTracker - Up 14% for November and Clinging to the S-fund
Replies
0
Views
340
TommyIV
TommyIV
TommyIV
  • Article Article
TSP Talk AutoTracker - Buying the December Dips
Replies
0
Views
267
TommyIV
TommyIV
TommyIV
November Contest in Progress
Replies
3
Views
202
TommyIV
TommyIV
TommyIV
  • Article Article
TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up
Replies
0
Views
22
TommyIV
TommyIV
Back
Top