Whipsaw's Account Talk

Too late, will have to see what tomorrow brings. :)

Well the President will be speaking at 12:30 our time, where he is expected to announce his new pick for Labor Secretary. It is expected to be Alexander Acosta, so we will see how the market reacts. With that, we will see which way it goes. I also agree with Cactus that there is still a lot of money sitting on the sidelines and they are waiting for a pullback before they get in. That gives me hope of a pullback followed by a further rally.:D
 
With the continued weakness today, going to look at the EMAs for support at this point; it hasn't gone much below the 20 day in 3 months. Alevin's chart is a good indicator, which indicates we could be topping, or just prior to a top. Hmmmm....
 
With the continued weakness today, going to look at the EMAs for support at this point; it hasn't gone much below the 20 day in 3 months. Alevin's chart is a good indicator, which indicates we could be topping, or just prior to a top. Hmmmm....

Yeah I'm looking at the same thing. I also looked at AGG (f fund) and using my crossover strategy, the 10 SMA has now crossed over the 20 SMA and that's a buy signal in my strategy. I wanted to be invested when the President announces his tax policy, but yesterday they announced that repealing and replacing Obamacare comes first and that plan would not be rolled out until early March. I guess they have to get rid of that first, because there are some tax penalties in Obamacare. With that said, perhaps a move from the S Fund to the F fund would be warranted until the first of March. Your thoughts???
 
It seems with the strength out there that a roll over would be unlikely, but who knows. I think there is allot of hopium in the rally since the election and inauguration, could be we need a pull back? Still, watching for the 20 day, worst case the 50, for a departure from the last three months of support at the 10 and 20. Holding position for now, don't want to sell at a loss again, and only 1 move left.
 
Was thinking to do the same, but just couldn't pull the trigger today. May commit the other 50% to the C Fund tomorrow.

Looks like the dip buyers are going to keep us in the green...:D
 
Held my nose and yelled Geronimo, and then the dip buyers stepped in and ruined my low! >.< Another low day today isn't that bad as my payday contribution is going into the S fund.

So... Will be on travel next week to Oahu, no serious mayhem in the markets if you please. Hold down the fort, ok?

Consolidation for a few days and then back north and east! (famous last words). Have a great weekend everyone!
 
Well I ended up holding my nose and yelling Geronimo as I went in 100% S Fund COB today. Let's see if waiting the extra day pays off or if the dip buyers rain on my parade.

Have a great time on Oahu and try to keep the sand out of your shorts...:outtahere:
 
So right now, S fund is UP and the F fund is diving for the deck. Two things to keep in mind, listening to Varney on Fox Business before work... Obamacare repeal and tax cuts need to move forward, like this week, or stand by... the other is the debt ceiling which comes to a head on March 15, if a way ahead isn't worked out ahead of time, could be problematic. Stockman on ZeroHeadge is pretty doom and gloom about it. New IFTs around the corner!
 
Hi Whipsaw. Thanks for info on the debt ceiling coming to a head on March 15. That is the same day that the Netherlands have some kind of election and again the issue of leaving the European Union is rearing its ugly little head. I believe part 1 of the French elections happen in April and at some point Germany has something like that going on as well. So just more to watch for that could have short term but possibly large effects on I fund and maybe our markets though I should think anything like that would hit C more than S. I just put more into C because it looks poised to do good this coming month. Will see.. Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
We are having an issue updating the AutoTracker on the new server.
As a result Monday's update is being delayed. Sorry for the inconvenience.
 
Nice open today! :banana: Getting back yesterdays decline and then some. New set of IFTs to put to work.
 
Yep, yesterday was just an attempt to make room by scaring us out of the market because there is too much money on the sidelines that wants in. :D

Then again, maybe it's just desensitizing us to the volatility so that when it finally tanks we don't react until it's too late. :blink:
 
Now there's two sides of a coin! Seasonality is strong for the first half of March; more people getting in today and yesterday than otherwise. Still going to keep a close eye on the BOcare repeal and replace, tax cuts, as well as the debt ceiling expiration on 15 March. Looking to hold position, and then maybe a breather mid-month, or if something starts going sideways on RR or taxes.
 
Yes it is good to see some give back today. I keep track of my monthly gains and losses. On Monday I was up 1.15%. After yesterdays big sell-off, I ended up with a gain of 0.01% for February, about $10.00 to the good on my TSP account. So this is indeed a nice start to the month of March.

I also agree with your assessment of the month of March, so we must be looking at the same things. Seasonality has the C Fund as the preferred fund, but that RSI is just a little to rich for now.

Good luck and let's make some money$$$:banana:
 
From 2001 - 2016 The S Fund has been the leader in March the most times.

Here is the March winner count over that time:
[TABLE="width: 200"]
[TR]
[TD]S[/TD]
[TD]C[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD]
[TD]I[/TD]
[TD]G[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
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