When to jump back in to the "S"

[inyadreems]

I was 100% S until 04/28/10, in which I went 100% G (glad I did), so what is the sentiment for next week? I think things will get worse in Greece and Europe over the weekend and we are going to see the Dow take another dip, but maybe a small rally at the end of the week.

Thoughts?

 

[James48843]

Sentiment survey went back onto a "BUY"- making four changes in four weeks.

http://www.tsptalk.com/sentiment.php

For what it's worth- in the several years since we've been doing sentiment survey- it has NEVER had four weeks of reversals .
It went:
SELL-
then BUY-
then SELL-
then BUY-

All in four weeks time.

It's never done that before.


Just food for thought-

 

[dannyboy]

I was 100% S until 04/28/10, in which I went 100% G (glad I did), so what is the sentiment for next week? I think things will get worse in Greece and Europe over the weekend and we are going to see the Dow take another dip, but maybe a small rally at the end of the week.

Thoughts?

I could not agree more. Goole says the volcano has and can go for months. Bankrupt European Countries, PIIGGS, are in trouble?
But you never can be too sure?, :notrust: until the fat lady sings!

 

[dannyboy]

I could not agree more. Goole says the volcano has and can go for months. Bankrupt European Countries, PIIGGS, are in trouble?
But you never can be too sure?, :notrust: until the fat lady sings!

:notrust: I was in a big hurry in between tasks when I kind of bumped into that last msg.
I meant to say, Stay out of the I, Keep a good %? in the G &/or F, pick your poisen between between C & S.
DB

 

[Bullitt]

I was 100% S until 04/28/10, in which I went 100% G (glad I did), so what is the sentiment for next week? I think things will get worse in Greece and Europe over the weekend and we are going to see the Dow take another dip, but maybe a small rally at the end of the week.

Thoughts?

What is your goal? Capital preservation? If it's capital preservation then you're doing pretty good by going to G. Many TSP'ers run into problems when they try to catch every single up and down in the market.

As for the S Fund Index, $EMW, the 20 EMA is about to cross down through the 50 EMA for the first time since the buy signal cross was given in April 2009. I see major damage in most majors that is going to take some time to work through here.

 

[Boghie]

What is your goal? Capital preservation? If it's capital preservation then you're doing pretty good by going to G. Many TSP'ers run into problems when they try to catch every single up and down in the market.

Just got caught

But, it has proven to be a learning experience. I think I can use SqualeBear's '<1%' technique to build a conservative allocation initially around the L2010. I will place at least a point in each of the other funds.

Then, if the contagion isn't a contagion, at least I can move back to equities slowly.

I despise the IFT limit.

Lesson Learned.

 

[Bullitt]

Boghie, what ever happened to your asset allocation method? You shouldn't need more than 2 IFT's a month with that approach. Simply rebalance on big up days or big down days of +/-2% or just rebalance every 15 days or so.