I just think it is time to get a lawyer. This is ridiculous. Down 500 Dow points over a week or so. You can't make an incremental move since youony get two. Know you truly must time the market and only a fool thinks they can do it perfectly!
Think about this scenario: You are fully invested and let's say you have hundreds of thousands of dollars in the C, I , S, and a little in the G and F, whatever the mix doesn't really matter. Now, let's say it appears from your analysis (or your advisor) that the market trend is turning from a bull market to bear market. (October 2007 high? Double top? 50/200 day moving average or one of your own signals or that of your advisor).
If that happens, what are you going to do? Move 1, 2, 3 or 400,000 dollars (whatever you got) all at once? Maybe, but most advisors will tell you to move out over a series of a week or two -- say in two or three moves. Even Jim Cramer, the dancing chicken, says "sell half" or sell a third of a position, or buy 1/2 etc.
And then along the way, the Fed cuts rates, the F Fund recovers as bonds rise and you want to increase your F Fund from say 5% to 10 or 15%.
Then, two to three weeks later, the big scare is over due to Fed intervention, good news, whatever news moves the market. So the market does a complete about face and starts up again. What do you when it is time or your advisor says? You buy back in. All at once if you have a huge amount? Maybe, but more astute pros who are more conservative will buy 1/3 or 1/2 position at a time. If you have $250,000 and move it all at once every time?
Well you may not have done an IFT for several months, but let's pretend the above scenario happened NOW, all in the month of January. With no restrictions you would have used 5 to 7 IFTs. Instead of losing 10 percent ($10K, $20K, $30K?) during this volatile correction your 1 or 2 moves only makes you lose 5% ($5K, $10K, $15K?). Which is better?
Well look at very late July and all of August 2007! This is what happened. But in January 2008 at the end of all this volatility instead of being relatively even, you only get 2 moves! You have to hesitate because you only have TWO moves. That hesitation costs you the big bucks as you have to be sure of your move. You really can only move out once and in once. No one I know every calls the exact peak or valley with this kind of volatility SO YOU HAVE LOST BIG MONEY.
This is not day trading. This is re-allocation and IFTs to market conditions to protect what is possibly your largest asset. But TSP wants you to buy and hold and suck up the losses, or give up all together and sit in G or L funds. And in the L funds you will still lose money in a down market.
So -- we save the TSP couch potato ‘buy and hold’ preaching staff all kinds of work and they are joyous and get big raises for their “success.” But we lose big when it could have been prevented! We are also subsidizing the TSP participant who pays no attention to their accounts (another couch potato type.)
And all in the name of fiduciary duty. The fact is the TSP is NEGLIGENT in their duty by not studying ALL alternatives. The are GROSSLY NEGLIGENT because of this, they single out people for harm by restricting them to mail transfer, compounding the harmful gross negligence. Is it not their fiduciary duty to study all alternatives and take an incremental approach on many fronts if they feel they must (questionable) lowering costs?
Did they look at changing the I fund investment vehicle? Limiting rebalancing of L funds to 2 per month? A study of a new I fund with 300-500 stocks or an index instrument or combo instead of 1100 stocks in the present I Fund? Retiming their valuation of the I and other funds?
NO! Let's just screw the participants that educate themselves, pay attention or pay an advisor or a service to tell them what to do! Now that is not executing your duty, that is NEGLIGENCE that truly harms everyone!