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What effect will Gustov have on the tsp funds?
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
- Reaction score
- 2,477
The fact that is makes landfall on Monday, the holiday, the storm may not have as big an impact than if it were in the middle of the week. It was orifnally forecast to hit land on Tuesday. Usually uncertainty spooks the market more than the event itself. That said, we'll have to see how the oil rigs survive, and what kind of damage is done that might affect the economy.
The selling on Friday may have been the "sell the rumor". Perhaps if the storm is not as a bad as expected, we'll see a buy the news.
I remember during Katrina, I think it was, some members took exception to us discussing our TSP accounts while so many lives were in jeopardy. I don't want to offend anyone. We can't control the weather but we do what we can to control our own situation, while hoping for the best for all those affected.
The selling on Friday may have been the "sell the rumor". Perhaps if the storm is not as a bad as expected, we'll see a buy the news.
I remember during Katrina, I think it was, some members took exception to us discussing our TSP accounts while so many lives were in jeopardy. I don't want to offend anyone. We can't control the weather but we do what we can to control our own situation, while hoping for the best for all those affected.
The Good,,,The Bad,,, and The Ugly.
(Lee Van Clef has nothing on Gustav)
The Good:
Gustav weakens as it approaches the Gulf Coast to a Cat1 on Monday.
Oil Rigs and Refinaries dodge a bullet and have no disruption in capabilities.
On Tuesday, Oil Prices take a nose dive based on lowering demand and the
Markets rally on a short term basis.
The Bad:
Gustav drives into the Gulf Coast as a Cat2 on Monday. News is slow to
come out concerning the extent of damage (if any) the rigs and refinaries
suffer. On Tuesday, Oil Prices move upward on limited news. The Market
takes another hit on a short term basis.
The Ugly:
Gustav intensifies to a Cat3+ as it slams into the Coastline on Monday.
The limited news from inland is tragic and extensive. Several days will
go by before damages can be accessed. The Market responds in
a spiral downward for a couple of days only to find out that several
rigs and refinaries failed to keep Mother Nature at bay. Disruption to
supply result in new highs (Price of oil) and the Market looks forward
to retesting July Lows.
THE (I) FUND IS NOT GOING TO BE AFFECTED AS BAD AS THE (C)
AND THE (S) IF THE NEWS IS BAD OR UGLY. SHOULD THE NEWS
END UP BEING GOOD, THE (I) FUND WILL NOT SEE THE BENEFIT
EXPECTED BY THE US MARKETS. IF I WAS TO SPECULATE, I'M
LOOKING FORWARD TO SEEING "GOOD NEWS" COMING OUT OF
THE GULF. I BELIEVE THE FOLKS IN LOUISANNA WILL FIND THE
ROOM TO COMPLAIN ABOUT THE MANDATORY EVACUATION CALL.
AND THE TSP WILL SEE BETTER RETURNS FOR THE SHORT TERM.
(Lee Van Clef has nothing on Gustav)
The Good:
Gustav weakens as it approaches the Gulf Coast to a Cat1 on Monday.
Oil Rigs and Refinaries dodge a bullet and have no disruption in capabilities.
On Tuesday, Oil Prices take a nose dive based on lowering demand and the
Markets rally on a short term basis.
The Bad:
Gustav drives into the Gulf Coast as a Cat2 on Monday. News is slow to
come out concerning the extent of damage (if any) the rigs and refinaries
suffer. On Tuesday, Oil Prices move upward on limited news. The Market
takes another hit on a short term basis.
The Ugly:
Gustav intensifies to a Cat3+ as it slams into the Coastline on Monday.
The limited news from inland is tragic and extensive. Several days will
go by before damages can be accessed. The Market responds in
a spiral downward for a couple of days only to find out that several
rigs and refinaries failed to keep Mother Nature at bay. Disruption to
supply result in new highs (Price of oil) and the Market looks forward
to retesting July Lows.
THE (I) FUND IS NOT GOING TO BE AFFECTED AS BAD AS THE (C)
AND THE (S) IF THE NEWS IS BAD OR UGLY. SHOULD THE NEWS
END UP BEING GOOD, THE (I) FUND WILL NOT SEE THE BENEFIT
EXPECTED BY THE US MARKETS. IF I WAS TO SPECULATE, I'M
LOOKING FORWARD TO SEEING "GOOD NEWS" COMING OUT OF
THE GULF. I BELIEVE THE FOLKS IN LOUISANNA WILL FIND THE
ROOM TO COMPLAIN ABOUT THE MANDATORY EVACUATION CALL.
AND THE TSP WILL SEE BETTER RETURNS FOR THE SHORT TERM.
Last edited:
Take the "GOOD SCENARIO" and change the Cat1 to a CAT2 and it makes
for a fairly accurate prediction of current events. I should be so lucky with
my TSP account. Anyway, today's futures look SWEEEEEET and oil needs
to cooperate. My gut tells me that 1314 may be a thing of the past within
the S&P500 as we look forward to testing a higher resistance level.
for a fairly accurate prediction of current events. I should be so lucky with
my TSP account. Anyway, today's futures look SWEEEEEET and oil needs
to cooperate. My gut tells me that 1314 may be a thing of the past within
the S&P500 as we look forward to testing a higher resistance level.
Buster
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 109
Finally you're talking with some testicular fortitude.Take the "GOOD SCENARIO" and change the Cat1 to a CAT2 and it makes
for a fairly accurate prediction of current events. I should be so lucky with
my TSP account. Anyway, today's futures look SWEEEEEET and oil needs
to cooperate. My gut tells me that 1314 may be a thing of the past within
the S&P500 as we look forward to testing a higher resistance level.
My fortitudes are just fine thank you. :nuts:
Sorry you've been waiting so long ! :laugh:
Gee, with my positive tone, could that be a Bearish Signal ?
Just Some Foder For The Garden !
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