This Week in Stocks: 8/11 - 8/17/07

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Home Sales Fall Nearly 11 Percent in 2Q
Wednesday August 15, 10:18 am ET

Existing Home Sales Fall by Nearly 11 Percent in Second Quarter, Home Prices Drop


WASHINGTON (AP) -- U.S. existing home sales fell nearly 11 percent in the second quarter from last year's levels as the residential real estate market's slump continued, an industry group said Wednesday.

The National Association of Realtors said existing homes sold at a annual rate of 5.91 million homes in the second quarter, down from a pace of 6.63 million in the quarter a year ago.

Nationwide median home prices dropped 1.5 percent to $223,800 from $227,100 in the same quarter last year. The median price is the point at which half the homes sold for more and half for less.

However, the real estate agents' trade group saw encouraging price trends in many metropolitan areas. In more than 60 percent of 149 metro areas around the country, median prices increased from last year's levels.

The Salt Lake City and Binghamton, N.Y. areas actually had price gains of nearly 20 percent for single-family homes, while the Elmira, N.Y. and Melbourne, FL areas had price declines of 15 percent or more.

The report comes comes as delinquencies among borrowers with weak, or subprime, credit have risen dramatically over the past year, and other loans are showing weakness as well. Lenders have dramatically tightened their borrowing standards amid fears that delinquencies will rise further.

"Although home prices are relatively flat, more metro areas are showing price gains with general improvement since bottoming-out in the fourth quarter of 2006," Lawrence Yun, NAR senior economist, said in a statement. "Recent mortgage disruptions will hold back sales temporarily, but the fundamental momentum clearly suggests stabilizing price trends in many local markets."

The San Francisco Bay Area was the most expensive region of the country, with median prices of $865,000 for San Jose and $846,000 for San Francisco.

Last week, the Realtors trade group lowered its monthly sales forecast, predicting that home sales will hit a five-year low this year. The revised forecast calls for existing home sales of 6.04 million in 2007, down 6.8 percent from last year. This year's sales would be the lowest since 2002, when sales hit 5.63 million.

Source: Yahoo. http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070815/home_sales_second_quarter.html?.v=1
 
Yep- that's the chart I'm talking about.
attachment.php


Keeps me up at night lately.

By the way- home sales numbers are out.

Down 11%.

More details shortly


If this chart is right, then the Dow Industrials, now falling through 12,900, wont stop fallling until 7,000
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/attachment.php?attachmentid=1892&d=1187179791

What do you think about that possibility?
 
I love when ol Maria B (money honey???? - she looks like Hillary Clinton from the waist down. That girl has more ham than a hog.) and Dylan R. on CNBC try to give us the low down on why things are happening. I have never seen a bigger bunch of talking bobble heads. Remember when every 3 seconds that were posting the new record for the dow??

The only non horses ass out of the bunch is Rick Santelli cause at least he keeps it short and sweet and actually to the point.

I don't think they could pick a bigger bunch of buffoons if they tried from that Joe Kiernan (what in the hell he does I have no idea) to Becky Quick who I wish would just shutup a little quicker.

And who in the hell is Mark Haines??? He looked like he stumbled on to the set like a mental patient and poor Erin Burnett looks likes she just trying to escape from a mental asylum.

God help us all if this is the best America has to offer for business analysis.

white
 
The one bright spot that I can think of in this downturn, is that its a real test to see which leaders and systems come out on top in the next few months.;)
Many can look good in a Bull market, but its the ones who show you how to avoid or ride a Bear that gets your attention.

Double top? This is in memory of all of us who said at the end of 2002, " I'm never going to ride the market down like that again". Or how about this statement in 2001, " It will come back up".:(

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I love when ol Maria B (money honey???? - she looks like Hillary Clinton from the waist down. That girl has more ham than a hog.) and Dylan R. on CNBC try to give us the low down on why things are happening. I have never seen a bigger bunch of talking bobble heads. Remember when every 3 seconds that were posting the new record for the dow??

The only non horses ass out of the bunch is Rick Santelli cause at least he keeps it short and sweet and actually to the point.

I don't think they could pick a bigger bunch of buffoons if they tried from that Joe Kiernan (what in the hell he does I have no idea) to Becky Quick who I wish would just shutup a little quicker.

And who in the hell is Mark Haines??? He looked like he stumbled on to the set like a mental patient and poor Erin Burnett looks likes she just trying to escape from a mental asylum.

God help us all if this is the best America has to offer for business analysis.

white
Hey white -
It's good to see that your heart attack didn't distort your perspective on things. :D
 
I'm wearing my sticky pants and I'm sticking to my plan. I've been scratched by the bear many times - but this activity of late is still only a correction in a mega trend secular bull market. I don't worry about the emotion and panic - I'm a value seeker and sometimes one has to make sacrifices to get to the tender black berries that are located in the back under the shade. This too shall pass - bring on the pain.
 
I'm wearing my sticky pants and I'm sticking to my plan. I've been scratched by the bear many times - but this activity of late is still only a correction in a mega trend secular bull market. I don't worry about the emotion and panic - I'm a value seeker and sometimes one has to make sacrifices to get to the tender black berries that are located in the back under the shade. This too shall pass - bring on the pain.

Birchy I hope you never saw the movie "Deliverance" cause Ned Beatty did not have a good day.;):D


white
 
Happy birthday Jim!

Why Thank You very much!!! :D

Some birthday present, though. I would have preferred a rather nice, large, rebound today to celebrate.

Oh well. There is always tomorrow. (Although after seeing the huge downturn near the close, I am thinking that tomorrow will be bad too....) :(
 
I'm finally starting to see some fear and some still in denial. I think everyone is selling now. This is a good sign and I think it will be time to buy soon. This selloff is still not making headlines in the mainstream media. Is the average investor still holding on? These talking heads kill me, telling people not to sell. Then they sell! Leaving them holding the bag.

Poll question: Have anyones "buy and hold" coworkers sold yet"
 
How much have we sold off; i.e., how far are we from a 10% correction?

Dell

After the big sell off yesterday afternoon and what we're seeing this morning, it sure looks like a capitulation day. Uncle...Uncle...I said Uncle
 
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