The Top

nutt
i envy u, aren't u glad your CSRS ?? looks like your set 2 be flush come retirement time. i have been surveying my compadres and the things they tell me is they can't retire because house payment, kids in school,and bills. i like you am working on all of those. i have 5 to go and i should b able 2 meet my target. 240 days sh-t your already in the go 2 hell club. they say it takes at least a year to fire an employee, keep on keepin on !!!
 
Prepare!!
YES, my friends I am getting SHORTER by the day, the lunacy will come as time passes, but I welcome that!!
Thanks,
smoking_baby.gif
 
I'm going to make an irresponsible prediction that the top of this rally will be this week, if not today. 882 was today's high. 876 right now.

Have at it. :)
I am officially wrong. :embarrest:
 
Still at least 1000 S&P 500. (Not a recommendation to buy by any means unless you plan to Buy and Birch. It's too late to jump on board today.)

Sentiment wise: Still too many people looking to call a top here so they can utilize their newly discovered 3X bear funds.
 
Nah-

Top will be between 935 and 950. Then we go back downward for a while.

Soon as we hit that 200 day moving average (around 940 by then) we're toast.

You heard it here first. :-)
 
That's what I like - keep'em out as long as possible. Continue to build those fear levels.
 
A Goober's Guess on Market Top...

Just a Goober's Guess:

Market Top will be 950 - 1000...

I don't know any charting and haven't heard any great stories or whatever. But, I do think the market panics of October/November and early March were rather stupid and rather insane. We needed a correction, not a panic.

So, with my beer blury eyes trying to focus on some squiggly lines, I will assume a standard correction curve and ignore the panic selling periods. That leaves us at 950 - a 30% correction bear market.

With the news that Congress and the Administration were about to open their yaks I moved to a very conservative allocation this past week. Uuuummmm, just before two very good market days. Caught some of the growth though. At my age, I should be heavily invested in the market.
 
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