The Hindenburg Omen

[James48843]

Internet is saying FIVE Hindenburg Omens in the last 30 days. I’m trying to see if that is verified, but am having trouble verifying. However, I always take Hindenburg Omens seriously.

If this is true- it’s a very, very important sign.

See also:

Asia markets cool as Hindenburg Omen flashes on SPX, Nikkei, KOSPI | FXStreet

After both the Nikkei and KOSPI hit fresh highs early last week, the regional rally rolled over with four straight sessions of selling.

www.fxstreet.com

What are you seeing? Can you confirm ???

 

[tsptalk]

This may be redundant information, but here's what's trending on X about it...

https://x.com/i/trending/1989157596851228980

 

[James48843]

It’s showing five signals- October 29, October 30, and then three more, but I can’t yet put a finger of those three dates.


With Five you have a pretty high chance of trouble. Here is another link:

https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/hindenburg_omen_fires_5_signals/#:~:text=The%20current%20count%20of%205,But%205%20is%20bet

Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

 

[James48843]

It’s showing five signals- October 29, October 30, and then three more, but I can’t yet put a finger of those three dates.


With Five you have a pretty high chance of trouble. Here is another link:

https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/hindenburg_omen_fires_5_signals/#:~:text=The%20current%20count%20of%205,But%205%20is%20bet

View attachment 70755



Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

In previous years I’ve gotten smacked pretty hard by thinking I didn’t have to worry about the H omen. Now I’m more cautious. I’m sitting at 80% G right now waiting to see what is going to happen.

 

[James48843]

Another series of Hindenburg Omens triggered- three in the last week. More in the recent past.. I’m getting hyper-aware and watching out. Six in the last month.

More details:

https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/hindenburgs_are_back/

Pay close attention this week

 

[James48843]

I am feeling it today. Ouch!

The Omen has arrived and is doing its thing.

 

[James48843]

Another series of Hindenburg Omens triggered- three in the last week. More in the recent past.. I’m getting hyper-aware and watching out. Six in the last month.

More details:

https://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/hindenburgs_are_back/

Pay close attention this week

View attachment 71760

Stocks are tanking - I think the Hindenburg Omen is about to hit full force.


I’m thinking about moving all to G. I already moved 40% to G last week. Thinking of blowing my second move to flee to safety. The Hindenburg Omen doesn’t screw around when it really pops.

 

[James48843]

Exact Dates and Periods of Occurence:

• Late October 2025: Signals were reported around October 29 and October 30, 2025, marking the beginning of a new cluster of warnings.
• Early November 2025: Hindenburg Omens flashed multiple times in the first week of November 2025, with reports indicating it occurred on most days during the first week, including around Nov 3-6.
• February 2026: A new, intense cluster of signals appeared. Reports from early February mentioned 8 signals in the previous six months, with a fresh cluster of three signals in a six-day period leading up to Feb 5, 2026.
• Late February 2026: By Feb 26, 2026, it was reported that a sixth signal had flashed within that specific one-month period.

Contextual Information:

• Significance: The Hindenburg Omen is considered a "cluster" indicator. A single signal is less meaningful, but the 2025-2026, particularly the October/November 2025, cluster of 5-6+ signals is considered a more serious warning.
• Market State: The signals appeared as a small group of mega-cap stocks drove indices higher while the broader market breadth weakened, a key condition for the Omen.
• Previous Similar Events: Analysts have compared the frequency of these 2025-2026 signals to those seen just before the 2020 pandemic crash and the 2022 bear market.

Early March 2026: The market entered March in a "confirmed" Hindenburg state, meaning the signals from February remain active as a warning for the following 40 to 120 days.

Why these dates matter

A Hindenburg Omen is only considered "active" when at least two signals occur within a 36-day period. The February 2026 cluster was particularly intense, with six signals in approximately 20 trading days.


This indicates a market where "internal" participation is failing; even if the major indices (like the S&P 500) were near highs, a significant number of individual stocks were simultaneously crashing to new 52-week lows.

Disclaimer: Hindenburg Omens are technical indicators and not a guaranteed predictor of a market crash. They signal a high-risk environment and potential for a sharp downturn.