I think the bottom line here is that not only are households short on earnings projections but so are pensions and municipalities. The Fed Gov't doesn't care because they have a tool nobody else does, a printing press. Local Governments are forced to make the tough decisions, (even though they do everything in their power to defer) and meanwhile pensions can just take on higher margin and speculation.
Governments don't think long term; instead it's, "We have all this money and if we don't spend it this fiscal year, we won't get it again next year". In turn the locals dump excess cash on things like road salt in March. The rub is, if the economy goes down, they won't have a 'savings' account to draw off as their tax income goes down the tubes. That's what we have going on now. Think of how much money is (or was) collected from property taxes. The housing bubble caused elected officials to project the boomin' bubble days into forever land and never felt the need to save money.
Right now we also have what's called the Wealth Effect going on. Speculators- I wish I could say Investors, but nobody invests anymore- are spending again because the stock market is up. Hence, the reason why at the end of the day, the ONLY thing that matters to politicians is the stock market. It's like a little scorecard in real time on 'how we're doing'. Right now the algos and margin traders are in a desperate and frantic push to 'get back to even' after being destroyed in 2008. A very rare few were able to come out ahead in 2008 and I'd say even less bought in March and are still holding on today.
Happy days are here again, and as long as the music is playing, you might as well drink some Kool Aid from the punchbowl and dance. Be careful, the Kool Aid once wiped out 918 souls in Jonestown.
"When the music's over, turn out the lights," Jim Morrison. The music ended over two years ago.