Here’s my thoughts...Jets aren't that good. Manning will have no problem. For me its hard to bet against Manning. When he is on, he’s unstoppable. They will march down the field and score every time.
Let me just defend my beloved Jets, with a completely biased analysis.
The Jets have the best defense in the NFL having given up about 14+ points a game. Other than a late TD scored against the prevent defense trying to run out the clock, the Jets held the high powered Chargers offense to just 7 points for the first 57 minutes.
The Jets had the best running game in the NFL. They can control the ball and keep Manning off the field, provided they stay in the game early.
Their weakness is the QB position, but having won 7 of their last 8, the coaches have been able to hold the reigns on Sanchez by only allowing him to throw high percentage passes, and the strong running game has allowed him to throw at will using short, play action passes. He was 12 of 15 against the Bengals in the 1st playoff game.
As long as the Jets stay within 7 to 10 points, they have a very good chance to win this game. If the Colts jump on them early, or if the Jets can't run the ball for some reason, it will be very difficult for them to make a big comeback with the young QB.
They beat every AFC division winner, S.D., Indy, N.E., and Cincy twice. They also only gave up 7 defensive points in a loss against New Orleans earlier this year, but Sanchez fumbled in the end zone and the special teams gave up a TD to blow the game. As I said, Sanchez won't take those chances any more.
This will be a lot like the Patriots / Giants Super Bowl game where the Pats came in as 14 point favorites, but the Giants' D and running game controlled the game and beat the heavily favored Pats.
Jets 23 - 16