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Super Bowl XLIV
- Thread starter tsptalk
- Start date
sugarandspice
Well-known member
The "points for" and "points against" has always been a great deceiver when analyzing NFL games for wagering purposes. You have to factor in those "other" scores. And it swings both ways.......... (if you know what I mean.)
Geez, you do know your stuff.
Pill
Member
I was pulling for the Jets. I don't like San Diego but thought they had the edge. I was happy to see the Jets pull through.
Working on Andersen, but realigned to a Navy employee. I got here about 8 months ago. Round 2, my wife is from here.
sugarandspice
Well-known member
Allow me to clarify my "runbacks" comment. I was including fumbles (3total-2runbacks,1 recovered in endzone) Interceptions-2 ranback for TD's And the 2 kick-offs returned for scores. Total-7. Which actually means that cover teams were not responsible for 5 of them. Defense not responsible for all 7. Still bodes well any way you read it. Bank the Jets this weekend. They will run for 150, that with the pressure on Manning will be the key. Assuming Sanchez sticks to the game plan.
I think sugar and I are on the same page. Take the 7.5 points.
Steadygain
TSP Elite
Please don't answer the phone during game time...
There will be no landslide defeat -- either way -- will be the best game I could imagine ...
It's too bad we can't do a replay of Brittney Spears -- doing 'Walk This Way' --- :nuts::laugh: -- I thought she was GREAT !!!
To me that Song -- the way she did it -- even beat the Stones Show and would undoubtedly beat The Who.
And although a part of me is routing for Sugar !!
In this case Pill is right -- and he shouldn't budge
Scrappy
Member
Pill,
Did you or would you havd picked the Jets over San Diego?
Where do you work in Guam? I was there until about 8 months ago working at Anderson.
Sugar, I'm impressed !! not that you're standing up to Tom :embarrest: but that you're up on this stuff
It sounded good, but the Jets actually only gave up like 2 TD's on runbacks, although there may have been long runbacks that eventually turned into points.
But the point is good that the Jets have a great D. It's just a matter if they can keep mistakes down - kickoffs returns included.
I give the Jets a good chance to win this game but only if they play a mistake free game, and if they can somehow throw the great Manning off his game by blitzing effectively. If they rush (hasten) Manning, look for 1 or 2 interceptions - and that could be the difference in the game.
That Vikings / Saints game should be a lot more fun (See S&S's prediction of over 53 points) but the Jets / Colts game will be some hard-nose football, decided by the offensive and defensive lineman.
Steadygain
TSP Elite
When it's all said and done -- the bulk will wonder how you knew the outcome with such incredible precision.
Some will say you were lucky :notrust: but not me.
I'll be the one saying Sugar made out like a bandit because she knows her Rahm.
Look at the calls -- how perfectly they line up....
....where's the luck in that.
So scoffers and disbelievers ---- beware -- cause in the end only one walks away with the trophy.
sugarandspice
Well-known member
Really this all is no better than the donkeys on TV and radio spouting that they have"just gotten some late breaking game impacting information from my inside sources". "It will be available on a recorded message. Don't miss this opportunity" "I'm making this my biggest game of the year. My platinum 5 star play of the year."
That being said here's your money for the weekend---------
Take Jets+7 1/2
Take Vikes+3 1/2
Take over 53 Saints/Vikings.
Degenerate gamblers of the world unite!!!!
Take notice of how large Peyton's forehead will be in the press con after the game. It grows every season.
That being said here's your money for the weekend---------
Take Jets+7 1/2
Take Vikes+3 1/2
Take over 53 Saints/Vikings.
Degenerate gamblers of the world unite!!!!
Take notice of how large Peyton's forehead will be in the press con after the game. It grows every season.
Steadygain
TSP Elite
Me too !!
He and a few others simply confirm 'Destiny' and that some things are undoubedly 'Destined to Happen'.
We had the Colts long before INDY had them with Johny Unitus in Baltimore, MD.
Sugar, I'm impressed !! not that you're standing up to Tom :embarrest: but that you're up on this stuff
The Stats honestly make no difference .... Destinity will prevail....
COLTS will play an excellent game .....
Yes ... in this occasion... I will likely shout out and move my body in reflex movements ... and kind of go crazy....
Anyway ... if your looking for the winner .... think The Colts..
sugarandspice
Well-known member
Let me just defend my beloved Jets, with a completely biased analysis.
The Jets have the best defense in the NFL having given up about 14+ points a game. Other than a late TD scored against the prevent defense trying to run out the clock, the Jets held the high powered Chargers offense to just 7 points for the first 57 minutes.
Jets 23 - 16
Technical good news/badnews,
Technically the good news is the Jets had at least 7 maybe 8 runbacks on them that would account for 49 points minimum. Thats 49 points NOT given up by the defense. So Tom, if you used points against and averaged games played to get 14+ given up by the defense then that number will be even lower defensively speaking. Technically the bad news?....see the first sentence of this comment.
Favre had a great game. I watched the entire thing, and he was impressive. So was the Minnesota defensive line. Romo had no time to throw.
If they play as well against New Orleans, they're going to the superbowl. The real problem is that Brees is a very quick passer. He throws a lot of sharp, quick short ones, and doesn't need as much time in the pocket as Romo. New Orlean's running game is better also.
If they play as well against New Orleans, they're going to the superbowl. The real problem is that Brees is a very quick passer. He throws a lot of sharp, quick short ones, and doesn't need as much time in the pocket as Romo. New Orlean's running game is better also.
Did you see Favre when he threw that deep pass for a TD (it was beautiful) when they beat the snot out Dallas last weekend?..I thought for sure he was gonna get a penalty for excessive celebrating..LOL
No problem. Believe me - I too have been disappointed by the Jets... for 40 years. They only seem to win when they aren't supposed to. They were 17-point underdogs in 1969, so this may be their year.
Buster
Well-known member
I always like Peyton's style on and off the field..I think his a good man and can rally the Colts to their fullest potential..But I think it will be like what Sugar said.
Pill
Member
Sorry Tom, I forgot you were a Jets fan. LOL. Its just my opinion. Mainly out of ignorance as I don't follow the Jets that much. I've been burned by selections Jet players on my fantasy football team in the past. The stats sound good, but I am not budging. Colts will win, and I don't see it being close.
Buster
Well-known member
Did you see Favre when he threw that deep pass for a TD (it was beautiful) when they beat the snot out Dallas last weekend?..I thought for sure he was gonna get a penalty for excessive celebrating..LOL