Subprime Market

Braddock's Galena mortgage hedge fund to liquidate -CEO


NEW YORK, July 5 (Reuters) - Braddock Financial Corp., a top performing hedge fund manager, on Thursday said it will liquidate its $300 million Galena Street Fund after concerns of subprime mortgage exposure triggered investor redemptions.
Redemptions from investors nervous about subprime mortgage crisis increased after the fund posted a loss of about 3 percent in the first quarter, Chief Executive Officer Harvey Allon said in an interview.
Given the performance, "people voted with their redemption requests," he said.

http://www.reuters.com/article/fundsFundsNews/idUSN0537985520070705

I hope they all lose everything. They made tons of money on these so called "financial instruments". They're nothing but scams.
 
CDO Losses May Be $52 Billion, Credit Suisse Says (Update1)

By Neil Unmack and Sebastian Boyd

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Credit Suisse Group said losses on bonds backed by U.S. subprime mortgages will total as much as $52 billion, less than estimates of the fallout from Deutsche Bank and Pacific Investment Management Co.

Subprime defaults are ``clearly a huge problem'' for investors in collateralized debt obligations, Credit Suisse analysts led by Ivan Vatchkov in London wrote in a report. ``But we do not think that they are a systemic one.''

No one knows how much money is at risk from subprime defaults because CDOs made up of the loans aren't required to publicly disclose holdings. Deutsche Bank AG says losses from subprime mortgages issued last year may reach $90 billion. Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, in April estimated the fallout at as much as $75 billion.

``Investment banks operate in this market day and night and they know it better than most,'' Vatchkov said in an interview today. ``The market's been turning for the past 12 months, so I think they saw it coming.''

The maximum potential losses for investors in CDOS is equivalent to about a tenth of the $513 billion of equity capital for the world's biggest 10 investment banks, according to Zurich-based Credit Suisse. It's less than a quarter of the $227 billion that flowed in to hedge funds and mutual funds in the first three months of this year, Switzerland's second- largest bank said.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYI2UsYtBtQU&refer=home
 
http://money.cnn.com/2007/07/09/real_estate/resets_are_coming/index.htm

Mortgage resets: Record bill coming due

Billions in subprime ARMs will be subject to higher payments.

By Les Christie, CNNMoney.com staff writer
July 9 2007: 5:20 PM EDT


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- More than two million subprime adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) are poised to reset at much higher rates in coming months, worsening an already suffering housing market.
Borrowers who took out hybrid ARMs in 2004 and 2005 to secure low "teaser" rates for the first two or three years of the loan may see their monthly mortgage payments climb by35 percentor more.
 
I saw something strange yesterday.

I'm on vacation in West Melbourne, FL and decided to do some sight seeing. I was driving south on 1A1 along the beach. I started from 192 west on drove south for about an hour. What I saw along the way was very strange. I saw a lot of for sale signs. It looked like every other property was for sale. I've never been in this part of the country before so I don't know whether it was normal or not.
 
I saw something strange yesterday.

I'm on vacation in West Melbourne, FL and decided to do some sight seeing. I was driving south on 1A1 along the beach. I started from 192 west on drove south for about an hour. What I saw along the way was very strange. I saw a lot of for sale signs. It looked like every other property was for sale. I've never been in this part of the country before so I don't know whether it was normal or not.

A buyer’s market with no buyers.
 
Good Info!

Q&A: What's weighing on the markets?

Stock markets and bond Markets around the world are wobbling over the impact of higher interest rates. But why are financial markets so rattled?

What is happening to interest rates?
The last few years have seen very low interest rates around the world.
Central banks have kept short-term interest rates low as inflation seemed contained and growth was modest, especially in Europe and Japan.
And the bond markets, which set long-term interest rates, have also kept long-term rates - which normally are higher because of worries about future inflation - near the same low levels.
This has allowed companies and individuals to borrow more money than usual.
But now the era of low rates may be coming to an end.
Central banks around the world are raising rates, worried about growing inflationary pressures.
And bond markets have fallen sharply, raising the cost of long-term borrowing, as investors feel that risks have been under-priced.

What has been the effect of low interest rates on markets?
Low interest rates have helped to fuel a stock market takeover boom in the last few years.
Private equity firms found that they could borrow money cheaply on capital markets in order to buy up under-valued companies and take them private.
They funded such purchases by loading up the companies with debt.
More than a third of the record $1 trillion (£500bn) in takeover activity this year has been funded by private equity. And cheap rates also allowed speculation in currency markets as investors borrowed in currencies with low interest rates, such as the yen, in order to buy those with higher rates. Banks and other financial institutions have been able to make large profits by taking in share in these activities. (more)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6294624.stm
 
Real estate people I know in Tennessee tell me that they have seen an increase in prospective buyers here from Florida, interested in rural areas. Some of those buyers say they are tired of dealing with hurricanes. Not to imply that this specifically relates to W. Melbourne, but from Florida in general.

I saw something strange yesterday.

I'm on vacation in West Melbourne, FL and decided to do some sight seeing. I was driving south on 1A1 along the beach. I started from 192 west on drove south for about an hour. What I saw along the way was very strange. I saw a lot of for sale signs. It looked like every other property was for sale. I've never been in this part of the country before so I don't know whether it was normal or not.
 
Real estate people I know in Tennessee tell me that they have seen an increase in prospective buyers here from Florida, interested in rural areas. Some of those buyers say they are tired of dealing with hurricanes.
I thought it was just because folks in Tennessee are just a whole lot more pleasant. :cheesy:
 
A few months ago, the sub-prime problem seemed to be a mammoth problem to many investors.
But ... nothing bad happened, so investors thought that this was another over-hyped problem that really amounted to nothing. Besides, the Fed was being proactive as our big market-protectors, so there was nothing to worry about ... Mighty Mouse was here to save the day.

A week ago, Bloomberg had a little news items that was hardly noticed. In the article, they described how our US Dept. of Housing and Urban Development Secretary (Alphonso Jackson) was in Beijing. His US Government mission was to meet with Chinese banking authorities and ask them to BUY U.S. Mortgage backed securities.

That should have been a "red flag" to American investors. For our government to try and sell our sub-prime mortgages to China suggested that "they are scared as hell" and that they know the sub-prime problems are finally starting to filter down at a visible level.

The first sub-prime bomb went off last night. Bear Sterns announced that their was "little value left in its two failed hedge funds" ... zero value in one, and about 9% left in the other.

Think about it ... Bear Sterns is the second largest underwriter of mortgage backed securities and a very sharp investment house, and they still couldn't control the risk or unwinding of these assets until they went to zero?

Like it or not, Bear Sterns is the tip of the iceberg. Secretary Jackson didn't go to China and beg them to buy our sub-prime problems because he thought it was a good deal for them. He did it because our government knows that we are sitting on a mountain of trouble related to mortgage problems.

It bugs me, that I had to go to the India Daily this morning to find out how much was lost. They reported that 20 billion dollars went to almost zero in value. You would have expected that our media would be screaming about the amount and we should be asking why it wasn't headline news when the two hedge funds had dropped 50% and lost 10 billion.

The incubation time is about done on the sub-primes, and in the next 30, 60, to 90 days ... these problems will begin to unfold and become visible to the public.

For a couple of weeks, I have been mentioning that the Financial sector is in trouble and that this was a problem because the Financial sector represents 20.77% of the S&P 500.

If you recall, last Wednesday we said, "One of the things worrying large investors is fallout from sub-prime loan problems. This concern is reducing investor interest in banking stocks."

Obviously, our stock market won't be happy about it today. As I have mentioned before, the thing to keep an eye on is the Banking Index. See today's update on what to look for on its chart and what the symbol is for the Banking Index.


Please click this link to go to your Analyses and Recommendations at this link:
http://www.stocktiming.com/Wednesday-DailyMarketUpdate.htm
(If you are having trouble with the link, copy and paste it in your browser.)
 
http://bigpicture.typepad.com/

Weak Home Sales, Tightening Credit Standards = Multiple Mortgage Apps
Wednesday, July 25, 2007 | 12:03 PM
in Credit | Economy | Markets | Psychology/Sentiment | Real Estate | Valuation
Earlier today on Real Money's columnist conversation, Tony Crescenzi noted earlier that "It would be extraordinarily unusual for the combined figures on new and existing home sales to continue falling in the face of increases in mortgage applications."
I have to disagree.
Based on our interviews with our Real Estate clients (commercial builders, RE brokers) and especially residential Mortgage Brokers, there appears to be a dramatic rise in multiple applications for both new purchases, refis, and home equity lines.
As many of the ARM resets come up over the next 18 months, I would surmise these multiple mortgage apps will increase -- especially amongst the more desperate marginal homeowners.
Meanwhile, we see Defaults on 'Alt A' loans surpassing Subprime ones, according to Citibank:
"Defaults on some so-called Alt A mortgages packaged into bonds last year are now outpacing those from subprime loans, according to Citigroup Inc.
The three-month constant default rate for 2006 Alt A hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages is 2.3 percent, compared with 2.2 percent for subprime ARMs, New York-based Citigroup analysts led by Rahul Parulekar wrote in a July 20 report. . . "
More than $800 billion of subprime mortgage bonds and $700 billion of Alt A bonds are outstanding, with ARM bonds totaling more than $600 billion and $450 billion, respectively, according to a March report by Zurich-based Credit Suisse Group."
 
We are all paying for those who have no sense of what it means to live on a budget and live according to what one makes. For years, people with uncontrolled appetites for houses they could not afford, combined with greedy lenders who were more than happy to lend them money based on bogus mortgages and smoke and mirrors math, created a lot of pseudo pricing in the housing market. Now payday has come, and we all pay. If I had my way, all of us who are losing TSP money or any other kind of 401K assets because of such nonsense should be allowed to take them to court and sue them.
 
Wall Street often shelved damaging subprime reports
Fri Jul 27, 2007 12:34PM EDT
By Patrick Rucker

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Investment banks that bundle and sell home mortgages often commissioned reports showing growing risks in subprime loans to less creditworthy borrowers but did not pass much of the information to credit rating agencies or investors, Wall Street sources said.

The mortgage consultants, known as "due-diligence firms", were hired by investment banks to make sure blocks of mortgages conform to the mortgage seller's own standards. The studies provided a first glimpse of loan quality for ratings agencies and investors who do not normally see the full reports.

As the U.S. housing boom reached its crescendo in 2006 and investors showed a strong appetite for mortgages, lenders relaxed their underwriting standards, and millions of borrowers with poor credit records were able to obtain subprime mortgages as a result.
Default rates on many of those subprime mortgages are now rising, some borrowers face foreclosure on their homes, and investors in the mortgages face losses.

"If all the information about these investments was properly disclosed, our client would have made different decisions...and, specifically, not bought these investments," said Dale Ledbetter, a Florida attorney suing Credit Suisse Group on behalf of an insurer that lost money on mortgage bond investments.

Now some of the firms that prepared those damaging due-diligence reports say their work should be turned over to investors so they understand the underlying assets better.

"I am sure there is a value in those reports," said Joe Andrea, a partner with Opus Capital Markets Consultants of Chicago but due diligence firms like his are not empowered to release the reports, he added.

While subprime mortgage security prospectuses warned about the perils of such loans in recent years, they did not enumerate the findings of due diligence reports.

Ledbetter's suit, filed on behalf of Bankers Life Insurance Co., claims that the investment bank failed to perform or disclose proper due diligence on the mortgages it sold to investors. One of those investments was downgraded five times from early 2005 to late 2006.

Credit-Suisse has filed a motion to dismiss the case said a spokesman, Bruce Corwin.

Several due diligence firm executives said that they reported a slide in loan quality to their investment bank clients but that those mortgages were still bought up and passed on to investors.
"In some cases we felt that we were potted plants," said Keith Johnson, president of Clayton Holdings, Inc., a large due-diligence firm based in Connecticut.

During the housing frenzy, many Wall Street firms appear to have overlooked due diligence warnings about problem mortgages in order to keep up with the market, due diligence executives said.

"Twelve months ago there was a lot of competition for newly originated loans and the buyer who would purchase more of the (loan) pool was more likely to win that bid. The choices sometimes were business choices," said Bruce Watterson, the president of Watterson Prime LLC of Bellevue, Washington. Watterson Prime is owned by Fidelity National Information Service Inc., Watterson said.

LOAN STANDARDS EASE

As lenders relaxed their underwriting standards during the recent housing boom, Wall Street firms followed suit by easing the guidelines that due diligence companies followed, several executives said.

"We got away from where we were in the late 90s," Clayton's Johnson said, referring to a time that due diligence firms were expected to give full-throated opinions on the safety of mortgage loans.

In the last two weeks, major ratings agencies have downgraded subprime mortgage investments and said they expect more such loans to borrowers with shaky credit will fail.

Moody's customarily receives summaries of due-diligence studies but not the full reports which might have helped the ratings agency evaluate now-troubled mortgage securities, said Nicolas Weill, chief credit officer for Moody's asset finance team.

"It's difficult to know what would have happened if we had gotten that information," he said.

Weill said Moody's would have welcomed due diligence reports if they had helped them learn something new about the mortgages.

Standard & Poor's relies on lenders and mortgage securitizers to conduct their own due-diligence and does not have access to such reports "generally speaking," said spokesman Christopher Atkins.

Lehman Brothers Holdings and Bear Stearns Cos, two major underwriters of mortgage bonds, declined to comment on how they handle due diligence reports.

However, while due-diligence reports may contain facts that ratings agencies seek, they might not be interested in seeing the reports, said Josh Rosner, a housing analyst with independent research firm Graham Fisher & Co. in New York.

"The International Organization of Securities Commissions code of conduct requires that they use all available information in their ratings process," he said. "To require them to look at due diligence would move them to another level of responsibility."

Mortgage securitizers relaxed their due-diligence tests during the housing boom just as lenders loosened their loan standards in that time but all sectors of the market are retrenching now, Clayton's Johnson said.

"We are in a correction process right now," he said.

Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley accounted for nearly a quarter of Clayton revenue in 2006, according to the company annual report. Both firms declined to comment on what they do with due-diligence reports. http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersEdge/idUSN2743515820070727?sp=true
 
U.S. Stocks Retreat on Subprime Concern; Banking Shares Fall
By Eric Martin

July 31 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks declined, erasing a rally, on concern losses from subprime mortgages are worsening.

Banking shares fell after American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. said it's unable to fund loans and may have to liquidate assets. MGIC Investment Corp. and Radian Group Inc. tumbled after the two home-loan insurers said their combined stakes of more than $1 billion in a subprime mortgage company may be worthless.

``On American Home Mortgage, the news is pretty bleak,'' said Michael James, senior equity trader at Wedbush Morgan Securities in Los Angeles. ``That's lent some renewed concerns about whether we have in fact gotten to the bottom of this subprime mortgage crisis.''

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index slipped 4.37, or 0.3 percent, to 1469.54 at 2:49 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 41.62, or 0.3 percent, to 13,316.69. The Nasdaq Composite Index slumped 22.52, or 0.9 percent, to 2560.76.

American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. plummeted 88 percent to $1.22. The lender, whose shares stopped trading at $10.47 yesterday after it disclosed a cash shortage, has been cut off from credit and didn't have money yesterday to make $300 million of mortgages it had already agreed to provide, the Melville, New York-based company said today in a statement. American Home said it anticipates $450 million to $500 million of loans probably won't get funded today.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a7WYTtlwYrlQ&refer=home
 
Report: 3rd Bear Stearns fund in jeopardy

Hedge fund with $900 million in mortgage investments reportedly face huge losses, according to newspaper.
July 31 2007: 6:56 PM EDT


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- A Bear Stearns' hedge fund with about $900 million in mortgage investments is reportedly facing huge losses and is refusing to return investors' money, according to a news report published online Tuesday.

Revelations of the imperiled hedge fund comes weeks after the investment bank closed two hedge funds that suffered losses arising from the subprime-mortgage market.

http://money.cnn.com/2007/07/31/news/companies/bear_stearns/index.htm?source=yahoo_quote
 
2194445AmHomeMortcrash.gif

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...}&dist=TNMostRead&print=true&dist=printBottom
 
Asian stocks may fall; Japanese banks may lead
By Moming Zhou, MarketWatch
Last Update: 7:09 PM ET Jul 31, 2007

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Asian stocks are expected to fall on Wednesday, pacing the U.S. downturn. Banking giants Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. and Mizuho Financial Group Inc. may lead decliners on weak earnings reports.

Shares of oil companies may rise following a historical intraday high in crude-oil futures prices. NEC Corp. may rise on strong earnings. Australia's Macquarie Bank Ltd. may fall after the company said two of its funds could lose a quarter of their value.

Nikkei 225 Stock Average futures expiring in September last traded at 17,145 on Chicago Mercantile Exchange, down from Monday's close of 17,280 in Osaka Stock Exchange and 17,350 on the Singapore Exchange, suggesting a weak start for their underlying index on Wednesday.

New Zealand's NZX 50 index fell 8.9 points in Wednesday's early morning trading.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Japan's largest bank by market value, said late Tuesday in a news release its group profit for the first quarter declined 31% from a year ago, citing higher operating costs.

Mizuho Financial, the second largest, posted a 50% drop in profit, citing weak performance at its trading operations and its non-interest income business.

Share prices of Japanese major banks "are likely to correlate to changes in net profit over the near term," said Merrill Lynch analysts Yoshinobu Yamada and Tatsuya Kubo in a research note. They also said lower first-quarter profits from major banks are "generally negative".

Shares of Nippon Oil Corp. may rise. Japan's largest oil company reported an 84% jump in April-June profit, helped by crude oil inventory valuation profits and cost-cutting, according to Dow Jones Newswires.

Shares of other oil companies may also rise after September crude climbed as high as $78.25 a barrel in New York, sending the contract to a record intraday level.

Shares of NEC Corp. may rise after it said late Tuesday in a news release that its group profit in the April-June period more than tripled on year, citing its reform efforts in the overseas mobile phone operations.

Macquarie Bank, Australia's largest securities firm, said retail investors of two of its high-yield investment funds faced losses of up to 25%, or more than $300 million, as fallout from the U.S. subprime loan crises worsened, Dow Jones reported.

The Dow Jones Asia/Pacific Index closed down to 161.74 points on Tuesday, while the Nikkei 225 closed down 40.41 to 17,248.89 in Tokyo, the lowest since May 1.

The broader Topix index (JP:1804609) , which tracks shares of over 1,700 large-cap domestic companies, slightly rose to 1,706.18, with roughly two stocks advanced for every one that declined.

The Bank of New York Asia ADR Index, which tracks Asia's American Depositary Receipts, fell 0.1% to 180.81. The Japan ADR Index was down 1% to 117.33. Those of Mizuho Financial lost 0.6% to $14.1.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended with a near 150-point loss, and a monthly decline of 1.5%.

Moming Zhou is a MarketWatch reporter, based in San Francisco.
http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/asian-stocks-may-fall-japanese/story.aspx?guid=%7B28C0D418%2D991E%2D4264%2D9F49%2D21C11C744ED4%7D&dist=RNPullDown
 
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