Soldat's Account Talk

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Nikkei is tanking, down .64 so far. I will re-invest in the I fund today if Europe takes a downday.
 
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Nikkei finishes -1.99%. Dodged that bullet, rebuying 100% I fund today. Europe may or may not follow, seems to be due a downday also. We can only run so far without puking meh?
 
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Watch the ^N300 on Yahooinstead of the ^N255. The 300 is the one the I fund tracks. The 300 was down 1.64% not much better but it was better.
 
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What is up with the dollar, its tanking againt the yen, or is it just going to tank altogether? Either way, was surprised to see such an exchange after the eafe should have been down. Anyways, news said it was the biggest powerplay against the dollar in four years.
 
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Dollar's crumbling under its own weight, which is decreasing japanese export profits.
 
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Yes, Jov, that is a good article =). I had posted this in the I fund down thread, I figure it should go here as well, since I am 100% I.
I believe that the Nikkei is on the uptrend and will continue up. Many Japanese traders are selling their dollars and buying back yen which will eventually stabalize the imbalance of a weakened dollar. The Nikkei will continue upward, and I think the rest of the year will show us that. Currently 100% I, going to pull out before 2006 breaks and buy back in after the great selloff of 06'. Probably looking at 20%G 20%F 30% C and 30% I. Good luck to all and great holy days. May Odhinn bless you all.

Rob
Click to expand...
 
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Thats if and only if the dollar stays strong. Look at how the dollar slid against the yen. The short term for the dollar looks bleak if the trend continues.
 
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Agree yen does look strong vs. dollar - and probably for quite a while. Japan interest rates might actually go up at some point. Just seemed interesting if Bank of England though seeming to start to think about the opposite direction...
 
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Though Jp and Europe finished quite flat, we may have some good gains driven off of the USD->Yen.
 
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I fund should gain 2 cents today woot. Dollar loses ground vs. yen and euro. Next week looks SOLID, we will prob see at the very least 1.3% gains next week (I-funders). I will be out of the market *before* (black) friday.
 
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I accomplished my goal here. Bought in the I at 16.52 on Nov11. Selling today, should be around 17.75-17.80 if the dollar doesnt gain/lose too much. I don't WANT to get out of the I fund because I feel that the dollar is unstable and on a downward trend. But, I KNOW that there will be a selloff. I will look for a point of entry after the I fund loses around 2-2.5%. I have a knack for spotting the bottoms. Anyhow, good luck to all and I look forward to trading with you in 2006.
 
Well, no selloff. I will be moving to a different strategy between the I, G, and F funds. I will plan on selling off little bits on up days and reinvesting on downdays. Playing the middle game, I plan on holding around 40-50% I and juggling the rest. Basically, limiting my exposure near the tops and increasing my exposure near the bottom. I believe that by actively "playing" the oscillations of the market, not only do I have considerable less risk but, I may be able to grind out a few extra % by EOY. Will be following this strategy for a ffew months at least and then comparing to the buy/hold for I fund. Also, its actually fun to juggle the funds.
 
Re: Soldat Account Talk

Trashed my prior plan in Feb and have been holding 100% I for quite a while. Looking for twenty dollar shares this month.

Well, I elected to change my monthly contribution to F fund seeing as though it was around 10.61 low istead of buying the I at an alltime high...

So my contribution forced me into 4.5% F and 95.5% I

I'll be dropping the F into I on the first hint of international weakness. Not looking for a pullback, just a shallow respiration.
 
Re: Soldat Account Talk

Using the figures from TSP participant statement, and figuring into account my 2006 contributions and the share price as of Apr 21, my YTD return is 13.478%

Holding 100% I fund.

I hit the 20 dollar shares this month, as forecast. I will be canceling my contributions as of EOM because I will be deploying. I will use the tax free money to buy some ETFs such as EWC, EWZ, and a few others. I will then resume contributions of 50% pay when I return in order to defer that money. I see monday as another up-day for the I fund. The dollar is drying up.
 
Re: Soldat Account Talk

YTD returns

I fund +13.93%
S fund +10.76%
C fund +5.61%
F fund -0.85%
G fund +1.43%

F Fund will rebound in the next week or two off of CPI report showing inflation in March. I believe that $10.57 is the low, and that F fund will see 11 more cents in the next 2 weeks, regardless of the Fed's rate hike (which is more or less priced in). Next month's CPI will also show rising inflation due to oils. F fund will continue to gain, recovering from it's current deficit and gaining up to +2%.

The dollar is falling.

Trade safely.
 
Re: Soldat Account Talk

Hi Soldat,

Do you know why your figures have you at 13+% YTD, while Rokids schedule has you at 5.91%?

Is there a flaw in the tracking schedules they are using that we need to know about?

By the way, when I look at my participant's statements, I feel really good too! My earnings have been great. And that is what counts. What the statement says.

Thanks
Peaches
 
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