Some of you will wonder where I came from. Well, I've been one of those viewers in the background for a very long time, probably 20+ years.
I just turned 54 and I have almost 31 years worth of service (started January of '87) and I'm currently a GS-13. My current TSP balance is just over $930k.
I started out in a job series that went GS-5/7/9/11, so I got to GS-11 fairly quick. And, got a GS-12 just a couple years later. I only got my GS-13 a few years ago.
At one time I was contributing about 15% to the TSP, but for about the last 10 years I have only contributed 5%.
You will see I start out conservatively. Luckily, I had a friend /co-worker that basically hounded me to contribute more and to get more aggressive. And, you will see below I did get more aggressive starting about year 5. I got pretty lucky that I did not lose too much between 2007 and 2011. What is not reflected below is that I was early to move to the G-Fund during this time and avoided a big loss. But, I was actually slow to fully move back into the market full-time, so I missed a really big gain too.
And, my thoughts the last few years have been...if I want to retire early, I more afraid of being out the market, than being in the market. If being in the market does not work out, I can always work more years. And, if I decide to be conservative, I will have to work more years anyway. Therefore, to me it is worth the gamble of staying 100% in either the C, S, or I funds.
Also, I created a spreadsheet probably 25 years ago that lead to me believe that $1M+ was possible by my MRA. This probably helped me stay the course.
Below are most of my balances over the years and how I was invested:
Starting working at age 22 in January of 1987.
1/31/1988 - 100%G - $7.20 (first TSP deposit was probably just a 1% match)
1/31/1989 - 100%G - $327
1/31/1990 - 100%G - $3,313
1/31/1991 - 100%G - $7,268
1/31/1992 - 75%G/25%C - $12,886
1/31/1993 - 15%G/85%C - $20,898
1/31/1994 - 10%G/90%C - $30,482
1/31/1995 - 9%G/91%C - $37,941
1/31/1996 - 6%G/94%C - $59,952
1/31/1997 - 100%C - $81,661
1/31/1998 - 100%C - $104,982
... (not much happen here, so I left these years out)
1/31/2003 - 100%C - $134,169
1/31/2004 - 90%C/10I - $195,442
1/31/2005 - 90%C/10I - $223,911
1/31/2006 - 25%C/25%S/50%I - $271,611
1/31/2007 - 28%C/22%S/50%I - $324,858 * (Basically 4 years of almost no growth) *
1/31/2008 - 100%S - $324,034 *
1/31/2009 - 100%I - $294,075 *
1/31/2010 - 100%I - $296,487 *
1/31/2011 - 75%S/25%I - $339,653 *
1/31/2012 - 100%G - $417,926
1/31/2013 - 100%S - $478,460
1/31/2014 - 100%S - $565,458
1/31/2015 - 100%S - $620,055
1/31/2016 - 100%S - $596,869 * (Lost money this year)
1/31/2017 - 100%S - $806,439 ** (Great year! Hopefully get another one just like it soon!) **
12/14/2017 - 50%C/50%I -$930K+
So, I just turned 54 and God willing hope to have $1.2M+ by my MRA of 56.
I have 3 fed friends that are already TSP millionaires. One is a GS-13, another retired as a GS-14, and the last works for the FAA as an Air Traffic Controller (okay, his pay scale is off the chart).
Anyway, it appears $1M+ by retirement is possible by normal fed workers. Actually, I believe it is possible by anyone that averages just a GS-7 Step 1 salary, contributes 5%, averages annual 8% return, and works from age 23 to 62. Attached is spreadsheet I put together in 2016 that shows it is possible. (Hopefully, my logic used to create this spreadsheet was good.)
View attachment TSP_GS7_step1_estimate.xls
Hopefully, my story encourages others to just go for it.