Selling into Strength

The charts for both the Top 50 and the Total Tracker showed stock allocations fall by more than 10% during the market's rally last week. Both groups are now under the 50% mark in total allocations too. Here's the charts:

Fund Allocation ~ Top 50 Chart 3.jpg
2012 Top 50 Trend.jpg

We can see the drop in stock allocations for two weeks now, with a corresponding rise in bond and cash allocations.

Total Tracker Fund Allocation.jpg
2012 Total Tracker Trend.jpg

Much the same story for the Total Tracker.

11-25-2012 17-40-57 PM.png

Given our stock allocations, we can't be accused of being overly bullish in spite of the recent rally. This week's sentiment survey saw 47% bulls to 42% bears, which kept the system on a buy. Still, I'd think that's enough bulls after the big run we're had to anticipated at least some measure of a pullback next week, even if the market manages to finish higher by Friday. The trend now appears to be up, so pullbacks may get bought.
 
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