Ruffryder's Account Talk

Here's who manages F, C, S, I
http://www.tsp.gov/features/chapter07.html#sub2

Now that I know BlackRock is our equity Fund's admin, (a tangled web, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BlackRock) I wonder how much flash trading is going on when our contributions come down the pike. With Gov't payroll as a constant stream of liquidity, I would suspect the market is getting hammered as our funds hit the floor, especially in these times of tough cash. I would wonder if they get it bi-weekly or lump-sum monthly.

You get to pick the lesser of 2 evils....
http://www.businessweek.com/news/20...k-says-u-s-stocks-ready-to-rock-update1-.html

Saturday June 5, 2010
Bloomberg
BlackRock’s Fink Says U.S. Stocks Ready to ‘Rock’ (Update1)

June 02, 2010, 5:31 PM EDT
(Updates with additional comments on Europe in fourth paragraph.)
By Anthony Effinger and Sree Vidya Bhaktavatsalam
June 2 (Bloomberg) -- BlackRock Inc.’s Laurence D. Fink, who leads the world’s biggest asset-management firm, said the stock market is poised to rally because U.S. companies have built cash reserves and manufacturers are returning to health.
“We’re ready to really rock and roll as a country,” Fink said today in a meeting at the Oregon Investment Council, which manages retirement accounts for public employees and invests in BlackRock’s funds. The meeting was held in Tigard, Oregon.
The U.S. benchmark Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has gained 62 percent since reaching a 12-year low on March 9, 2009, as companies recovered from losses during the credit crunch. This year, the index has declined 1.5 percent on concern that the European debt crisis will curb growth around the world.
“We’re very bearish on Europe,” said Fink, chief executive officer of New York-based BlackRock, which manages $3.36 trillion in investments. “We worry that it will bleed into other areas,” Fink said to the group of two dozen employees and board members at the council.
Second-quarter profits at U.S. companies will be stronger than analysts expect, he said. Excluding some items, companies in the S&P 500 earned a combined $19.87 a share in the first quarter, up 53 percent from the year-earlier period, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Analysts estimate S&P 500 profits will be $81.31 a share this year and $95.59 in 2011, topping the record $87.72 in 2006.
Fink said he talked to Alan Mulally, Ford Motor Co.’s CEO, last week about how the automaker’s unions had agreed in 2007 to cut wages for new hires. Such reductions, combined with cheaper housing after the real estate slump, make the U.S. attractive to manufacturers again, Fink said.
Much of Fink’s optimism about the U.S. and pessimism about Europe is based on demographic trends, he said. Asked what Europe could do to solve its problems, Fink said: “Breed.”
--Editors: Josh Friedman, Christian Baumgaertel
 
Here's who manages F, C, S, I
http://www.tsp.gov/features/chapter07.html#sub2

Now that I know BlackRock is our equity Fund's admin, (a tangled web, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BlackRock) I wonder how much flash trading is going on when our contributions come down the pike. With Gov't payroll as a constant stream of liquidity, I would suspect the market is getting hammered as our funds hit the floor, especially in these times of tough cash. I would wonder if they get it bi-weekly or lump-sum monthly.

BlackRock does not get to manage ANY of our assets. They do not get any of our assets to invest. You manage your TSP assets. Our TSP assets are our assets in our lockbox. Other than the 'G Fund' - of course - which can be raided temporarily by the Federal Treasury.

BlackRock will get an income stream from our fees. I don't care how they play with that money. It is theirs.
 
Originally Posted by Corepuncher
Rather interesting from CNBC:

2) Buy on Friday's close, sell on Monday's close, THEN go away? I ran into an old friend, technician Frank Gretz of Wellington Shields, in front of the NYSE this morning. We talked technicals, and in the middle of the discussion he noted that Monday's have seen an amazing outperformance this year. He's right; here are the cumulative point gains for the Dow Industrials for each trading day of the year so far:
- Monday up 1,076
- Tuesday up 12
- Wednesday up 114
- Thursday down 841
- Friday down 721

There we are. Maybe this will help Crws. Keep us posted.:cool:
I read this and due my stupidity, ignored it. Bigtime mistake. Monday should be better.
 
I had to do market trends research and it took me some time, but I figured out I could get more intrest made with 2 IFTs at the right time. so I am selling high and buying low and banking the interest.

OK, your theory makes sense but how do you do this on only 2 IFT's?????
 
Hmmm..
The way I read this is it passes thru BlackRock, exactly what the big debate regarding HFT's (High Frequency Trading) is about. Is trading based on proprietary information only available to select firms legal- I continue to believe they are in the game, as I supect any trillion dollar asset investment firm would be....
(From TSP.gov)
The assets of the G Fund are managed internally by the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board.
The assets of the F, C, S, and I Funds are managed by outside investment firms. The Board currently has contracts with BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. to manage the F, C, S, and I Fund assets. BlackRock invests the assets of the F, C, S, and I Funds into commingled trust funds in which the assets of many tax-deferred employee benefit plans are combined and invested together. The F, C, S, and I Funds remain invested in the BlackRock funds regardless of the performance of the securities markets. The BlackRock funds in which the F, C, S, and I Funds are invested are index funds, or passively managed funds, each of which has a portfolio based on the composition of a market index. The L Funds are invested in the five individual TSP funds based on professionally determined asset allocations. (Click here to view Investment Management FAQs.)

BlackRock does not get to manage ANY of our assets. They do not get any of our assets to invest. You manage your TSP assets. Our TSP assets are our assets in our lockbox. Other than the 'G Fund' - of course - which can be raided temporarily by the Federal Treasury.

BlackRock will get an income stream from our fees. I don't care how they play with that money. It is theirs.
 
CRWS,

I think you missunderstood my comment. I wasn't trying a WWW smackdown or nothing. Just clarity.

Our C/S/I funds are basically ETFs. There is no asset management. BlackRock cannot buy a little more Microsoft in the 'C Fund' because they have the urge to surge. They balance out the stock holdings to match the S&P 500. No brain and no knowledge required. The other funds are the same.

Rather boring - but it seems to work:)

Happy Hunting;)
 
Some research:

G Funds Information:

You shouldn't risk what you can't afford to loose and if you are depending on the TSP to improve your standard of living in retirement, it's best to keep the majority of that money in the conservative G fund, the only fund that is guaranteed not to decrease in value.

The G Fund offers the opportunity to earn rates of interest similar to those of long-term Government securities but without any risk of loss of principal and very little volatility of earnings.

The objective of the G Fund is to maintain a higher return than inflation without exposing the fund to risk of default or changes in market prices.
The G Fund is invested in short-term U.S. Treasury securities specially issued to the TSP. Payment of principal and interest is guaranteed by the U.S. Government. Thus, there is no “credit risk.”

The interest rate resets monthly and is based on the weighted average yield of all outstanding Treasury notes and bonds with 4 or more years to maturity.
Earnings consist entirely of interest income on the securities. Interest on G Fund securities has, over time, outpaced inflation and 90-day T-bills.

F Fund information:

The risk of nonpayment of interest or principal (credit risk) is relatively low because the fund includes only investment-grade securities and is broadly diversified. However, the F Fund has market risk (the risk that the value of the underlying securities will decline) and prepayment risk (the risk that the security will be repaid before it matures).
Earnings consist of interest income on the securities and gains (or losses) in the value of securities

C Fund information:

There is a risk of loss if the S&P 500 Index declines in response to changes in overall economic conditions (market risk).
Earnings consist of gains (or losses) in the prices of stocks, and dividend income.

S Fund information:

The S Fund offers the opportunity to earn a potentially high investment return over the long term by investing in the stocks of small and medium- sized U.S. companies.
There is a risk of loss if the Dow Jones U.S. Completion TSM Index declines in response to changes in overall economic conditions (market risk).

I Fund information:

There is a risk of loss if the EAFE Index declines in response to changes in overall economic conditions (market risk) or in response to increases in the value of the U.S. dollar (currency risk).

Here is a tool that I have used in the past for the S&P 500
http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2006/12/sp-500-at-your-fingertips.html

Rate of Return:
http://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2005/02/investing-rate-of-return.html

ENJOY....Chris
 
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yea me neither, I was speculating about the Friday drop dilemmas that seem to be occurring with increasing regularity.
As it turns out, BlackRock could very well be our Ace-In-The-Hole.
I was speculating that BR might be in the dirty business of HFT's, i.e. flash trading the stocks, say, in the Dow that were part of the C Fund makeup, ahead of the actual transaction because they would know in advance of the market how much was contributed to invest.

Some reads and a funny-
http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/wed-september-30-2009/cash-cow---high-frequency-trading

BTW- you are correct, no HFT's, and fees only. It would appear that BlackRock holds our contributions, however.
http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/BlackRock_%28BLK%29

With $3.346 trillion USD of assets under management (AUM) as of December 31, 2009, BlackRockNYSE:BLK), Inc. is the world's largest publicly traded investment management and financial service firm.[1] BlackRock's main source of revenue comes from its investment advisory fees generated by managing financial asset types including fixed income, equity, real estate, and alternative investments as well as fees generated from "BlackRock Solutions".[2] Blackrock does not engage in proprietary trading since it may represent a potential conflict of interest with its clients. In 2009, the company earned $4.0 Billion of its $4.7 Billion in revenue from advisory fees.


http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2010...tml?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

http://www.vanityfair.com/business/features/2010/04/fink-201004

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601014&sid=a6TJmW9R44yc
 
This cycle would coincide with the market's options expiration that happens every 3rd Friday of the month.
For 2010, 6/7 months had the 9 days prior to OPEX day up an average total of 378, (the 2010 exception was May, -312)
and of that 6 months, OPEX day was down an average of 83.5.
For the day after OPEX (i.e. the following Monday) 6 mo average was up 43,
but for 5/6 of the up pre-OPEX months, the following week average was down 105.
I'll update you when this week completes.


My Strategy

Lets start with the first of any given month. My allocations are distrubuted as listed above. 40/0/30/15/15. Between the 1st and on or about the 23rd, the C, S and I funds are relatively low from the previous month. A great time to buy in. In my research on each all of the funds involved (to include the actual stock markets) the is a peak for the month that lasts for about 3 days. This is where you earn your money. At the end of the 3rd day (on or about the 26th) I do an interfund transfer of 100% to the G fund, banking the interest I have earned during those days. This raises my invested earnings for the month and secures the interest I have accumulated. 2 days after the IFT I re-distribute my allocations again the same way as before (40/0/30/15/15) because the share prices have dropped since the IFT to the G fund. Meaning I have more money but I am relatively buying back shares for the initial price.

I have done this for the last 4 years and have always maintained a %25+ PIP. My highest PIP ever was 38.72%.

If you have questions or comments, please feel free to ask or tell.


Chris
 
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