Rktect1 Account Talk

[bmneveu]

Sometimes i watch the markets and look at the tsp and really wonder wtf really goes on.

Today the dow was up 138, the nasdaq up 9 and the s&p up 9 yet the tsp s fund went up .02 cents. Two pennies?

my vanguard account probably went up 1%

my individual stock picks all went up, especially my intc, intel about 4%

so who is drawing the actual number out of the hat for how much our tsp goes up or down? Some days i just can not figure it out.

Tom pointed this out in his blog last night. C fund is large caps, so will reflect S&P 500 numbers closely. S fund is small and mid caps. Small caps were up big yesterday, while mid caps were down a bit. They evened out to give you the small gain (better than a loss!) in the S fund.

 

[Birchtree]

It's probable that small caps may underperform for the next five years - it's just the cycles. Large caps are ready to take their share of glory.

 

[rktect1]

Just waiting how this is going to shake out

 

[rktect1]

Yikes!

 

[rktect1]

Hoping for another three digit drop today. YES I used the word HOPE.

Went 45 C, 45 S and 10 I.

Just wanted to be spread out a bit for some reason.

 

[rktect1]

So i moved 75% into g fund and left the rest in s fund.

i am a little over 14% for the year and my greed alert is sounding loud and clear, which is really why i left 25% in the s fund. If it continues to go up i get a piece of the. Pie and if it tanks 5-10% i can easily go all back in and save myself at the same time.

wish i could figure out my vanguard account now.

 

[rktect1]

It's that greed alert going off again went from 100% S fund to 75% G fund 25% S fund

I guess when I see 3-4% gains in a month I like to run away with it

 

[Birchtree]

Greed is my incentive - the more greed the higher the gains.

 

[rktect1]

If that works for you. Great. But I am an eternal pessimist which means I can not be a perma bull in a secular bull market where everybody knows the sky is the limit.

Cant do it
it did you see the s&p when it filled that open gap? Maybe that does not mean anything. So I left a little bit in just in case. Hope the markets do well for you. I have time.

 

[rktect1]

Picked up TZA at $24.26. It's hard hoping that the markets drop but being September and having moved 75% into g I guess I am ok with it.

 

[rktect1]

Im not liking the tza too much. It's only down a little bit but I'm not 100% this was the right time to grab 800 shares. Still holding it though.

 

[rktect1]

Moved position to 85% S and 15% I. This move could be short lived.

even though the tsp funds have not dropped the market has.

I also sold all tza at a loss about a week ago which saved me further losses.

 

[rktect1]

Happy last when i went to sleep.

Not so much this morning. Pre market shows tankage.

 

[rktect1]

I am blowing one of my primary rule.

Dont be greedy.

I may at have to bail COB today. The Birchtree in me can't take much more of this.

20% for the year and close to 3% for the month. Take a break and get back in by end of next week.

 

[rktect1]

Moved

65% G fund
35% S fund

Cant be greedy. We will see if markets consolidate or go lower. Look to get back in by end of next week before November 1st.

 

[rktect1]

Looks like today is the day.

 

[rktect1]

Moved position to 80% G and 20% S. This move could be short lived.

I will be also trying to sell some of my stock and have a bit more in cash.

 

[rktect1]

Moving into a larger cash position during a Santa rally is not so easy.

Sold my IBM for a 5% gain in two months
sold 50% of ARIA for about a 20% gain in one month

need to drop some more. I'll let PBMD go for a big loss by end of year.
ill also drop a sizable portion of my vanguard REIT. About 5% gain over the year.

 

[rktect1]

Moved position to 80% G and 20% S. This move could be short lived.

I will be also trying to sell some of my stock and have a bit more in cash.

Looks like i may have screwed up on my IFT COB dec 31st. Looking at my tsp account i am still 80% G and 20% S which is possible as i was on the road in wisconsin using my iphone to do the IFT.

 

[rktect1]

Two trading days in and i am -.11%

im hoping for a change. Good change.