Retail Sales

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Consumer spending fell in October, according to new CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor tracking card transactions

October retail sales, excluding autos and gas, fell by 0.08%, according to the new CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor.

The Retail Monitor is a joint product of CNBC and the National Retail Federation based on 9 billion annual credit and debit card transactions collected and anonymized by Affinity Solutions.

The October data, accounting for more than $500 billion in sales, showed weakness in gas station sales, electronics and appliances, and furniture and home stores.
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https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/13/con...etail-monitor-tracking-card-transactions.html
 
Retail sales rose 0.3% in November vs. expectations for a decline

Retail sales rose 0.3% in November, stronger than the 0.2% decline in October and better than the Dow Jones estimate for a decrease of 0.1%.

Sales held up despite a 2.9% slide in receipts at gas stations, as energy prices broadly slumped during the month.

Initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled a seasonally adjusted 202,000, lower than the 220,000 estimate.
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Retail sales rose 0.3% in November vs. expectations for a decline
 
Retail sales tumbled 0.8% in January, much more than expected

Advance retail sales declined 0.8% for January, down from a 0.4% gain in December and worse than the estimate for a 0.3% drop.

Sales at building materials and garden stores were especially weak, sliding 4.1%. Miscellaneous store sales fell 3% and motor vehicle parts and retailers saw a 1.7% decrease.

Also, initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled 212,000 for the week ended Feb. 10, a decline of 8,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised total and below the estimate for 220,000.
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Retail sales January 2024:
 
May retail sales rise 0.1%, weaker than expected

Retail sales rose 0.1% in May, below the 0.2% the Dow Jones estimate. Excluding autos, sales declined 0.1%.

Moderating gas prices helped hurt receipts at gas stations, which reported a 2.2% monthly decline.

Following the retail data, traders in the fed funds futures market upped their bets that the Fed would cut interest rates this year.
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Retail sales report May 2024: May retail sales rise 0.1%
 
Very good headline numbers, prior numbers revised down again. 8 of last 12 months revised lower.

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Consumer spending jumped in July as retail sales were up 1%, much better than expected

Advanced retail sales accelerated 1% on the month, according to numbers that are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a 0.3% increase. June sales were revised to a decline of 0.2% after initially being reported as flat.
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Retail sales July 2024:
 
Retail sales fell 0.9% in May, worse than expected as consumers pulled back

Retail sales declined 0.9%, even more than the 0.6% drop expected from the Dow Jones consensus.

However, excluding a series of items such as auto dealers, building materials suppliers, gas stations and others, sales increased 0.4%.

The pullback in retail sales came despite surveys showing that consumer sentiment actually increased in May.
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