A quick review of Presidential Cycle Year 1 going back the last 15 cycles to 1965
This is what I'd consider to be a very small sample of data to work with and while we could go back further to grab more data, I'm of the opinion the further we go back in time the less relevant the data becomes.
Check it out... a comparison of the past 63-years against Presidential Cycle Year 1. On the surface it may not seem impressive, we can see the win ratios for 8 of 12 months and the yearly win ratio is lower in Pres. Cyc. Yr. 1
But..... For the 8 years where January closed positive both February & the Year closed positive 7 times.
As stated this was already a small sample of stats to work with, but let's look at the results for only those 8 years where January closed positive.
An impressive 84 of 96 months closed positive, giving us a "cherry picked" 88% monthly win ratio.
Excluding the 2001 Bear market, 83 of 84 months closed positive...
Thanks for reading... Jason
This is what I'd consider to be a very small sample of data to work with and while we could go back further to grab more data, I'm of the opinion the further we go back in time the less relevant the data becomes.
Check it out... a comparison of the past 63-years against Presidential Cycle Year 1. On the surface it may not seem impressive, we can see the win ratios for 8 of 12 months and the yearly win ratio is lower in Pres. Cyc. Yr. 1
But..... For the 8 years where January closed positive both February & the Year closed positive 7 times.
As stated this was already a small sample of stats to work with, but let's look at the results for only those 8 years where January closed positive.
An impressive 84 of 96 months closed positive, giving us a "cherry picked" 88% monthly win ratio.
Excluding the 2001 Bear market, 83 of 84 months closed positive...
Thanks for reading... Jason
