Oil Slick Stuff

IEA lowers oil demand forecast for '09

Energy agency makes third cut to forecasts amid global economic downturn.

November 13, 2008: 4:27 AM ET

PARIS (AP) -- The International Energy Agency made new cuts Thursday to its global oil demand forecasts for this year and next as rich-world economies sink into recession and growth slows in the developing countries.
The Paris-based agency now expects global oil demand to average 86.2 million barrels a day this year, nearly flat compared to 2007, and 86.5 million barrels a day next year. The cuts come on top of those already made in the IEA's October and September reports.
The IEA said its forecast cuts, of 330,000 barrels a day this year and 670,000 barrels a day next year, take into account the International Monetary Fund's recently lowered forecast of 2.1% economic growth globally next year.
Oil demand in developed nations belonging to the 30-country Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development is forecast to fall by 2.7% this year and by 1.6% in 2009, in the IEA's latest view.
Demand for oil in developing countries will continue to rise, but slower than previously forecast, the IEA said. "So far, however, non-OECD demand growth is still seen offsetting the severe OECD demand contraction," the IEA said.
Oil prices slid to near $55 a barrel in trading Thursday in Asia as more bad economic news from the U.S. heightened fears of a severe global downturn that will pulverize demand for crude.
The crude futures contract overnight had fallen $3.50 to settle at $56.16, the lowest closing price since January 2007, after the U.S. Energy Department said Wednesday it expects U.S. consumption of petroleum to next year drop more severely than any time since 1980.
The department's Energy Information Administration said 2009 petroleum consumption is projected to sink by 250,000 barrels per day, or 1.3%, more than twice that projected in its previous outlook.
http://money.cnn.com/2008/11/13/markets/demand_forecast.ap/index.htm?postversion=2008111304
 
Wife tells me out compter at home won't boot up, so if you don't hear from me after 13:15 you know why. If you need a quote follow the link in my signature and click on the links to NYMEX. Wish me luck, just replaced a hard drive a little over a week ago!! Electrocution.gif
 
Wife tells me out compter at home won't boot up, so if you don't hear from me after 13:15 you know why. If you need a quote follow the link in my signature and click on the links to NYMEX. Wish me luck, just replaced a hard drive a little over a week ago!! View attachment 5068
Did you put in a Western Digital?...
 
NYMEX at $56, but look at the divergence forming-

Brent Crude December futures price falls to $51.50.


That means the markets are expecting even lower demand ahead.

Cheap gasoline, but symbolic of continuing bad economy.....
 
Yes couldn't find a Maxtor that day Why?:confused: Really never liked WD and Caviar, but didn't install Cavier.:worried:
No reason..I never had a WD go bad on me...Maxtor I have..

but I bet a ram stick went bad...
 
Lindsey Williams predicted this past Summer (2008) that oil will be down around $50 a barrel by the end of the year. He also predicted in the Winter of 2007 that oil would be $150 by the Summer of 2008. It topped out around $143 I think. This guy knows his stuff.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fke1xjLLn-E

Jason
 
M*10-5

Oh! How nice of OPEC!! big_grin.gif

Oil output cuts not likely - OPEC chief

Cartel meets later this month amid rapidly declining crude prices, but president says production cuts are not in the cards.

Last Updated: November 16, 2008: 2:54 PM ET

ALGIERS, Algeria (AP) -- More oil output reductions aren't likely this month because OPEC members haven't yet fully enforced previous quotas and the organization needs more data before it reaches a decision, the cartel's president said Sunday.
Chakib Khelil's comments came as Iran called for a new output cut of at least 1 million barrels per day, in addition to the 1.5 million cut decided by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries on Oct. 24 to try to sustain slumping prices.
The Iranian statement led some observers to consider that the 13-member producer's cartel could decide to further diminish production during its special session in Cairo on Nov. 29.
But Khelil, who is also Algeria's energy minister, said it wasn't realistic to expect the cartel to reach a decision before the organization collects all the data on current output levels.
Iran's call for more cuts is "a wish," Khelil said.
"It's unlikely there will be sufficient data to reach a realistic decision" at the Cairo meeting, he said. Such a move is more likely on Dec. 17 when OPEC holds its summit in the Algerian city of Oran.
"In Oran, we'll have all necessary information to make the right decision," he said.
Kuwaiti oil minister Mohammed al-Eleim told the country's official news agency that it would be willing to slash production if OPEC agrees to a cut.
"Kuwait will not hesitate to support the market... and at the same time will cut production if the market is suffering from surplus according to what will be agreed on by OPEC members," he said.[more]
http://money.cnn.com/2008/11/16/news/international/opec.ap/index.htm?postversion=2008111614
 
M*10-3
Oil below $56 on Japanese recession

Crude prices continue to slide as demand for petroleum products falls in the midst of an economic decline.

November 17, 2008: 6:05 AM ET

Oil prices to triple by 2030


SINGAPORE (AP) -- Oil prices fell below $56 a barrel Monday in Asia as news that Japan fell into recession highlighted investor fears of a global economic slowdown that will hurt crude demand.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery was down $1.11 to $55.93 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange by midafternoon in Singapore. The contract fell $1.20 Friday to settle at $57.04. [more]
http://money.cnn.com/2008/11/17/markets/oil.ap/index.htm?postversion=2008111706
 
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