Oil slips on GDP, jobs
Weak economic data sends crude prices sinking, as traders shift focus from supply weakness and a falling dollar.
By
David Goldman, CNNMoney.com staff writer
July 31, 2008: 10:51 AM EDT
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The battered U.S. economy brought an oil rally to a screeching halt Thursday, overshadowing a
falling dollar and supply concerns.
Light, sweet crude oil for September delivery fell $2.18 to $124.59 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Oil fell as Thursday's economic data came in much weaker than forecast.
U.S.
gross domestic product got a boost from $90 billion in stimulus checks in the previous quarter, the government reported Thursday. But the
economy - which grew at a 1.9% annual rate from April through June - did not grow as strongly as economists had expected.
Furthermore, initial
jobless claims rose to their highest level in five years last week, the Department of Labor reported Thursday.
"We're dealing with a weak economy," said Ann-Louise Hittle, an oil analyst with Wood Mackenzie. "When GDP growth is weak, demand tends to be weaker as well."
Oil rose by more than $1 earlier in the day on renewed dollar weakness.
Like all dollar-traded commodities, oil prices tend to rise when the U.S. currency sinks. A weak U.S. dollar makes oil cheaper for foreign nations. Furthermore, some investors inevitably use the commodity as a hedge against inflation when the dollar falls.
But as traders absorbed the dour economic reports, they
sold off oil on new-found demand concerns.
Oil prices rallied $4.58 a barrel Wednesday after a surprise decline in the nation's gasoline stockpile.
A weekly supply report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed a 3.5-million barrel decrease in gasoline supplies, and a decline of 100,000 barrels of crude oil in the week ended July 25. That countered investor sentiment that U.S. demand was falling.
"So far, the stronger demand data that came out was only for one week," said Hittle.
"For the year, U.S. demand has been very week, with very large drops in the previous weeks."
Despite Wednesday's large run-up, oil is still trading nearly $23 below it's record of $147.27 set on July 11.
"Prices are still up very strongly year-over-year, which hurts overall demand." Hittle said. "We'll have to wait and see if prices can recover."
http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/31/markets/oil/index.htm?postversion=2008073110