Crude decline: Oil prices shed $4
Front-month crude contract turns sharply lower after touching a fresh record high in Asia.
Last Updated: March 17, 2008: 10:18 AM EDT
VIENNA, Austria (AP) -- Oil prices jumped to an all-time trading high near $112 a barrel Monday before tumbling, as traders weighed whether to seek further shelter in the crude market amid worsening U.S. economic turmoil. Gasoline and other oil products also plummeted.
Investors fled the dollar after a
surprise move by the Federal Reserve on Sunday to provide cash to financially squeezed Wall Street investment houses pushed the battered greenback deeper into multiyear lows against the yen.
"The Fed's move overall will help the liquidity of the U.S. dollar, and that will really further soften the dollar," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore.
"Meanwhile, investors seem to be just following the mantra of buying oil and commodities to hedge against the falling dollar and inflation."
Still, oil prices were moving sharply downward by Monday afternoon, reflecting apparent market jitters about how high a level was supportable in light of dismal U.S. economic developments
Light, sweet crude for April delivery spiked to a record $111.80 a barrel - up $1.59 from Friday's close - in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange in Asian trading.
But by afternoon in Europe it was down $4.20 at $106.01. On Friday, the contract fell 12 cents to settle at $110.21 a barrel.
"Surely, this is the week crude oil breaks," said the Schork Report, edited by analyst Stephen Schork, alluding to expectations that crude prices were ready for a correction. "After all, the U.S. economy is circling the bowl and the fundamentals have to catch up to the market at some point."
Analysts blame the
weak dollar for oil's recent rally. Crude futures offer a hedge against a falling dollar, and oil futures bought and sold in dollars are more attractive to foreign investors when the dollar is weak.
Interest rate cuts in the U.S. further weaken the dollar and have helped drive oil's rise. In an extraordinary weekend move, the Fed cut its discount rate on Sunday by 25 basis points to 3.25%. The Fed is also
expected to cut the benchmark federal funds rate at its regularly scheduled monetary policy meeting on Tuesday.
"The inverse link between the dollar and oil prices seem to be strengthening. While we have new records for oil almost daily now, we're also seeing daily new record lows for the dollar," Shum said.
The same dynamic has sent gold, another prime destination for investors worried about the falling dollar and rising inflation, to record prices. On Monday, gold rose 3%, or nearly $30, to a record $1,032.35 an ounce.
Shum also suggested that prices had long ceased reflecting oil's real value.
"When there is more liquidity, it will raise inflation. So investors pump more money into oil as a hedge, and that further fuels inflation," he said. "It points to the risk in the oil market that the fundamentals don't really support such continual strengthening in pricing."
Earlier in the day, equities investors also sought refuge from Asian stocks, which declined sharply Monday after the stunning collapse of Bear Stearns Cos., one of the world's largest investment banks.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (
JPM,
Fortune 500) agreed Sunday to buy Bear Stearns (
BSC,
Fortune 500) for $236.2 million in a deal aimed at
averting a Bear Stearns bankruptcy and a spreading crisis of confidence in the global financial system.
But investors chose to see the move as a sign that fallout from problems in the U.S. housing market is far from over.
On Monday, Japan's benchmark Nikkei stock index
plunged nearly 4%, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng fell 5%. Markets in South Korea, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand also fell.
In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures plummeted 10.43 cents to $3.422 a gallon while gasoline futures tumbled over 12 cents to fetch $2.5675 a gallon. Natural gas prices slid nearly 24.7 cents to sell at $9.6217 per 1,000 cubic feet.
In London, Brent crude futures slid $40.1 cents to $102.19 a barrel on the ICE futures exchange.
http://money.cnn.com/2008/03/17/markets/oil.ap/index.htm?postversion=2008031709