OBXTrader's Account Talk

[userque]

Good to see you Gents, thanks for visiting my street. You must have read my post on another thread.

I was sending a gentle warning to the risk adverse among us.

I see your posts all the time. I simply refresh by clicking the "New Posts" link above or the "Activity Stream" link on the forum home page...that way, I everyone's posts...I thought everyone did that.:blink:

If you upload/post an image, you can 'mouse over' that image to see how many views it has gotten so far. You can do this for images others post as well.

...and that's for the warning

 

[Whipsaw]

I see your posts all the time. I simply refresh by clicking the "New Posts" link above or the "Activity Stream" link on the forum home page...that way, I everyone's posts...I thought everyone did that.:blink:

If you upload/post an image, you can 'mouse over' that image to see how many views it has gotten so far. You can do this for images others post as well.

...and that's for the warning

Userque, I'll have to try your technique above. Have a great weekend guys!

 

[userque]

Userque, I'll have to try your technique above. Have a great weekend guys!

OK, You too! ... and actually, the "Activity Stream" link appears after clicking the "New Posts" link--and not on the forum home page. It's a link that comes and goes:blink:. I think the Activity Stream kinda updates real-time.

P.S. Please excuse the typos in my last post. I was eating and typing one-handed...in a hurry.

 

[OBXTrader]

Well, since I am bumped to the top. I did an IFT effective today, Friday into L2050. Nothing real strategic, just dollar cost averaging to get out of a nearly all cash position in retirement accounts.

Userque, I'll have to try your technique above. Have a great weekend guys!

 

[OBXTrader]

Well, it's been a while since I posted. Did a sell in May and walk away to the G Fund. Entered the Auto-tracker late this year, but real world I am +3.49%, so I won't complain considering I am overly conservative.

Where is my good entry point for June? Send me a sign!

Well, since I am bumped to the top. I did an IFT effective today, Friday into L2050. Nothing real strategic, just dollar cost averaging to get out of a nearly all cash position in retirement accounts.

 

[tsptalk]

Send me a sign!

 

[OBXTrader]

Finally used an IFT. Effective COB 31 July, 100% L2020.

DCB tomorrow or decline, I viewed it as risk management. Sit on that long term or buy more aggressive later in month if needed.

 

[OBXTrader]

Buying in on July 31st preserved an IFT and only cost -.20% on Friday. If there is good follow through this week, maybe up the risk. If not, well at least I am only in the L2020 (which we can mock, but it's still 50% in the market).

Finally used an IFT. Effective COB 31 July, 100% L2020.

DCB tomorrow or decline, I viewed it as risk management. Sit on that long term or buy more aggressive later in month if needed.

 

[OBXTrader]

Hey, I made it into the TOP 30 posters (in last 90 days) on the Forum Home Page. First time for that. Seems most of the posts are on Bquat's Account Talk.

Not much to report on my account. Sitting in the G Fund with over 6% gain this year in my TSP (real world) and by doing nothing I am moving up the AutoTracker standings, even with a partial year. Looking to use at least one of my IFT's this month but in no hurry to lose money either.

 

[OBXTrader]

Only five of us jumped off the G Fund Lilly Pad into equities on the AutoTracker today. Back into the L2030 to give me some movement if needed, on next IFT. The trap door could swing back open tomorrow, but at 11:30am at the market low my indicators showed over-sold. That was one of the toughest TSP IFT's I have made.....We'll see......so far, so good.

Hey, I made it into the TOP 30 posters (in last 90 days) on the Forum Home Page. First time for that. Seems most of the posts are on Bquat's Account Talk.

Not much to report on my account. Sitting in the G Fund with over 6% gain this year in my TSP (real world) and by doing nothing I am moving up the AutoTracker standings, even with a partial year. Looking to use at least one of my IFT's this month but in no hurry to lose money either.

 

[OBXTrader]

As I mentioned in JTH's and Bquat's Account Talk a couple days back, decided to take long view to October with TSP and not let my moves in and out be dictated by emotion (volatility). Since I am only down .85% for the month decided to stay put, not take on additional risk or go to the G Fund. I am not smart enough to predict or outsmart the market, so I will live with it and avoid "happy feet".

Have a great weekend all.

Only five of us jumped off the G Fund Lilly Pad into equities on the AutoTracker today. Back into the L2030 to give me some movement if needed, on next IFT. The trap door could swing back open tomorrow, but at 11:30am at the market low my indicators showed over-sold. That was one of the toughest TSP IFT's I have made.....We'll see......so far, so good.

 

[OBXTrader]

Hadn't posted on my account talk in eons. Just got one thing to say.......There has been a serious effort all day by the Bears to keep RUT pushed down. If RUT goes positive....hold on.

 

[OBXTrader]

War was declared on RUT right after I posted.

Hadn't posted on my account talk in eons. Just got one thing to say.......There has been a serious effort all day by the Bears to keep RUT pushed down. If RUT goes positive....hold on.

 

[airlift]

How do you interpret the market action after today's close? Tia

 

[OBXTrader]

Sure seems like they have priced in a possible .25% rate increase from the Fed. For what it's worth, I chose all these days to get myself fully invested for long-term. I did my second IFT for the month from L2020 to L2030 and will ride out whatever down we have. I am holding my nose, but I needed to do it.

I tend to look at certain sectors and who is leading or hindering. The technical guys like JTH could probably pull up the volume and look at RUT. When I posted it was only down .10% and every move up was met with heavy selling. It was down .41% at one point and closed down .32%. I think there is a line in the sand on RUT and the bears (market shorts) are trying hard to make it break. Will it? Heck if I know. I just picked a time to invest and did it over the past week.

Kind of expected to be buying on some up days.

How do you interpret the market action after today's close? Tia

 

[OBXTrader]

Well, like a broken clock, I believe history bares out I was correct, the pricing of the rate hike and RUT was the front line in the battle yesterday. The day is not over, but as of this writing, RUT is leading all other indices upward. The bears (shorts) had to crush RUT yesterday to turn the market. Glad it didn't work and glad I moved a little more into equities yesterday.

Picked a good day to resurface on my own account.

Sure seems like they have priced in a possible .25% rate increase from the Fed. For what it's worth, I chose all these days to get myself fully invested for long-term. I did my second IFT for the month from L2020 to L2030 and will ride out whatever down we have. I am holding my nose, but I needed to do it.

I tend to look at certain sectors and who is leading or hindering. The technical guys like JTH could probably pull up the volume and look at RUT. When I posted it was only down .10% and every move up was met with heavy selling. It was down .41% at one point and closed down .32%. I think there is a line in the sand on RUT and the bears (market shorts) are trying hard to make it break. Will it? Heck if I know. I just picked a time to invest and did it over the past week.

Kind of expected to be buying on some up days.

 

[OBXTrader]

Happy I moved 2/3's of trading funds to cash last Thursday including TSP to G Fund for a minor gain this month. That's all for me until July 1st in TSP. So, I am locked out of 1/3 of that money I sidelined. Investing on the last day of the month didn't work so well this go round.

Since I wanted to keep a long view, kept 1/3 in play in a fairly conservative spread, but on days like Friday when stocks and bonds both move down together the performance is not much different than an aggressive portfolio. Today, bonds again start up strong to offset equity losses and now hanging barely positive.

Wealth preservation is still my primary goal, so..........

Well, like a broken clock, I believe history bares out I was correct, the pricing of the rate hike and RUT was the front line in the battle yesterday. The day is not over, but as of this writing, RUT is leading all other indices upward. The bears (shorts) had to crush RUT yesterday to turn the market. Glad it didn't work and glad I moved a little more into equities yesterday.

Picked a good day to resurface on my own account.

 

[OBXTrader]

Selling 50% of remaining mutual fund allocation at today's closing prices. This block will be marginally above break even if market holds up and go into a stable value (G fund). Go, market go to the close! Will leave me 10% invested in the market. Hoping for great things in Greece, Ukraine and for ZIRP to continue. Can always catch a ride on the train again up to DOW 18500.

DJT? One of these things is not like the other.

Happy I moved 2/3's of trading funds to cash last Thursday including TSP to G Fund for a minor gain this month. That's all for me until July 1st in TSP. So, I am locked out of 1/3 of that money I sidelined. Investing on the last day of the month didn't work so well this go round.

Since I wanted to keep a long view, kept 1/3 in play in a fairly conservative spread, but on days like Friday when stocks and bonds both move down together the performance is not much different than an aggressive portfolio. Today, bonds again start up strong to offset equity losses and now hanging barely positive.

Wealth preservation is still my primary goal, so..........

 

[OBXTrader]

RUT is hanging tough. Bought TZA this AM at $9.02 and got bored and sold at $9.04 after a couple hours. Add on commission and it was a nothing trade. Probably should have gone long but the lack of movement down usually favors the bulls. If RUT starts to slip in late trading, watch out VIX is already a little edgy.

 

[OBXTrader]

Boy, right after I wrote look what happened? RUT still has its finger in the dike! TZA is still flatlined....so far.