namor's Vegas Boxer Account Talk

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Race result for Tuesday:

Win - I Fund (rolls home in the stretch)

Place - F Fund



Today I am 100% I Fund, I am betting the S will still have the horses tomorrow to come in first.
 
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Namor, my friend, don't you mean the S fund ? Please don't make the same mistake on your tsp interfund transfer.
 
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Cinderella wrote:
Namor, my friend, don't you mean the S fund ? Please don't make the same mistake on your tsp interfund transfer.


Hey Cinde:

The posted 'race results' will always be based on the previous day's close, whichever fund would have paid you the most money. So at the end of Tuesday, the I Fund gained the most with 11 cents, the F Fund finished second with a 1 cent gain, and none of the other funds evenhad a gain.

For today Ihope the I Fund comes in first, and I am picking the S fund tobe the winnertomorrow.

Hopes this helps to understand my racing analogy, as off base as it may seem. ;) Good luck in your investments.
 
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Namor, Thank you for clearing that up for me. I was in a hurry this morning and I didn't catch that you were referring to Tuesday's race. Good Luck.
 
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Results are Official for Nov 3:

WIN - S Fund (Handily, up at finish)

PLACE - C Fund (Always in in the race, slowed in the stretch)

SHOW - I Fund (Close finish third)

note: SHOW result willonly be posted in the November Races in instances where the amount nets a substantial gain for the player.
 
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I am certain I will see the S&P on 1200in the next few couple months !!!
 
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Morning Line for Friday's race:

Gomango Steady run in last few races, but not enough speed in the stretch.

Funkybean Could challenge at the finish.

C-How TheyrunCould burn out in the backstretch.

Special Delivery Early speed could finish this one early.

I-ransofarOverseas entry faces too much in this race.



Analysis: Funkybean has more than he showed recently. Today: 100% S fund. Tomorrow: 100% F Fund.
 
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Today's Race Result:

WIN- C FUND
PLACE- I FUND
SHOW- S FUND


Highlights: I Fund raced to an early lead, but tired quickly and was overtaken by S Fund and C Fund in the backstretch. C Fund stayed ahead of a persistent S Fund most of the way,and finished strong while I Fund nosed past a fading S in the photo finish for the place.
 
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Morning LineforMonday's race


G)Scent of Penny Possible spoiler. Steady pacer.
Fundbags Easily the favorite
C-Moss Early speed, but could falter.
SnakeOil Could slip low earlybut have a great finish.
Icon Bet your bottom dollar.


Analysis: Slow and steady race could favor Fundbags, but Icon could surprise.

Today: 100% on Funkybean

Monday: 100% on Icon
 
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namor wrote:
Morning Line for Friday's race:

Gomango Steady run in last few races, but not enough speed in the stretch.

Funkybean Could challenge at the finish.

C-How TheyrunCould burn out in the backstretch.

Special Delivery Early speed could finish this one early.

I-ransofarOverseas entry faces too much in this race.



Analysis: Funkybean has more than he showed recently. Today: 100% S fund. Tomorrow: 100% F Fund.
FRIDAY'S RACE RESULT

WIN I-Ransofar
PLACE C-How Theyrun
SHOW Special Delivery



C-How Theyrun broke from the gate early, held the pace through the backstretch, but was overtaken by a surging I-Ransofar and Special Delivery as Funkybean languished in the rear. Pace slowed at the far turn, allowing Special Delivery to close in the stretch before C-How Theyrun pulled out the place.
 
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You are really getting into this race analogy thing aren't you namor? My grandmother used to watch to see which horse took the last whiz before race time and that is how she bet. Sometimes I feel thats how I make my decisions. Look for the fund that just got some relief and jump on it!
 
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To be honest, looking and studying the numbers/trends all the time gets boring as hell. I'd rather have fun with it. Same numbers, different analogy. Beats the heck out of charts all the time, imho. Wait until you see Derby week ;)

Good luck in your investments.
 
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Morning Line: Tuesday's Race entries

GyroZero Not much expected here.
FramedMe Could Surprise ahead of fed
Checkmate Cautious, but could finish
S-cargo Anything could happen
InterestPaid Low dollar could surprise

namor's pick: Low dollar, low oil , my I. Today: Icon. Tomorrow: Interest paid.
 
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namor wrote:
Morning LineforMonday's race


G)Scent of Penny Possible spoiler. Steady pacer.
Fundbags Easily the favorite
C-Moss Early speed, but could falter.
SnakeOil Could slip low earlybut have a great finish.
Icon Bet your bottom dollar.


Analysis: Slow and steady race could favor Fundbags, but Icon could surprise.

Today: 100% on Funkybean

Monday: 100% on Icon
MONDAY'S RACE RESULT

WIN G) Scent of Penny
PLACE Fundbags
NO SHOW


Icon stumbled early and it was C-Moss at the break, but was overtaken by SnakeOil before the first turn. Both faltered in the backstretch, allowing Fundbags and Scent of Penny to catch up going into the final stretch. It was Scent of Penny going home.
 
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namor wrote:
That is why I termed my strategy Vegas/Boxer. . . its a gambler's strategy of looking at fluctuations. I look at all the funds. If one drops a little more than the others, then I will try to play its 'bounce.' I check the price of oil, whether there is earnings news, Fed news, any reports coming up and try to time it right, kind of like looking over a Daily Racing Form before a big stakes race.

Its not really a system. Its more of a calculated gamble.

Good luck in your investment decisions.
I dunno about the thoroughbred analogy --BUT if it makes you happy, keep at it ...

What would be helpful is more of the "stats"from Namor's "Daily Racing Forum" -- sort of to explain the method to your madness and your entire handicapping method. Basically, your unexplained strategy seems to work (even though I do think you are off by a day or two -- maybe on the early side). However, it makes complete sense to buy when a fund is down and play the bounce.

With that said, the 100 % F on Friday and the 100%I on Monday were not great "bets" for you. 100% inF wouldn't have been abad"bet" for Monday (and may have paid off if treasuries weren't sold in large quantities in anticipation of Wed.'s Fed Reserve meeting & possible rate hike. At least it broke even on Monday -- it could have been another bad day for the F fund like Friday). Ilike the factthat you are still in I for Tuesday -- the dollar is low right now.

Maybe with some more insight into your methods, some other TSPers can help you fine tune your "calculated gambles".
 
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Thanks for your comments.

The thoroughbred analogy is simpler if you look at its basic design: You have to make a bet EVERY DAY.You might get lucky and hit the right fund (or horse) onetime or you might be looking ahead to the next race if you didn't win.

As for the handicapping,I hope nobody thinks that I have some information backing the Morning Line. I don't.Its all a guess based on some Yahoo info and the basic philosophy of racing:

Its a five horse race. You have a 20% chance to pick the winner.

Analogy: Its a lot more fun if you have 100% in the winning fund.

Good luck in your investments.
 
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Morning Line: Wednesday's Race

Gomango Doubtful factor
Funkybean Could Surprise
C-How Theyrun Expect a lot
Special Delivery Could show something here
I-ransofar Has early speed

namor's pick: The Bean has been in a funk and could be a factor, but C-How Theyrun has been resilient. Today: InterestPaid Tomorrow: Special Delivery
 
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namor wrote:
Morning Line: Tuesday's Race entries

GyroZero Not much expected here.
FramedMe Could Surprise ahead of fed
Checkmate Cautious, but could finish
S-cargo Anything could happen
InterestPaid Low dollar could surprise

namor's pick: Low dollar, low oil , my I. Today: Icon. Tomorrow: Interest paid.


TUESDAY'S RACE RESULT

WIN - S-Cargo
PLACE - GyroZero


It was box to wire for S-Cargo in a relatively slow race. GyroZero gets the place solely on the steady record.
 
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Morning Line: EDIT: FRIDAY'S Race entries

GeezoPeezo A slow pace could favor
F'd Up Showing nothing of late
C Ken Destroy Late finisher
Styletto Could be a contender
IshotthesheriffMarley's favorite

namor's pick: I'm bettin on Styletto to have a good race. Ishotthesherriff has the early pace but C Ken Destroy has the late speed. Today and tomorrow: 100% S


I forgot that the TSP returns won't post until Friday. So this is actually Friday's race.
 
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