June Contest In Progress

[TommyIV]

As of June 17th, the S-fund leads all TSP funds in June with a return of 1.46%.

Twenty AutoTracker members and a Premium Service have outperformed the S-fund so far this month, and six of them are boasting June gains of over 3%.

Here are the current top ten returns of June:




The top 20 AutoTracker members for June (excluding Intrepid_Timer) hold an average allocation of 62.5% in the G-fund.

Many have outpaced the S-fund’s 1.46% return by tactically locking in gains before the fund began its recent decline. This disciplined profit-taking has proven to be a winning strategy for much of the month.

There are, however, some exceptions. The current leader, Nordic, briefly exited the S-fund in the second week of June, reallocating fully into the G-fund for four trading days. They returned to 100% S-fund at the start of the third week and have accumulated a gain of 3.54% over the last 12 trading days. That return could grow further, as the S-fund's corresponding index, the DWCPF, is showing signs of strength early this morning.

While many of June’s top performers leaned defensive to protect earlier gains, a few like Nordic have re-entered the market demonstrating that both caution and conviction can lead in this volatile environment.

Eight trading days remain in the month of June.

 

[rangerray]

Good going!!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[TommyIV]

There are five trading days (including today) remaining in June. The race for best June return is coming down to the wire.



Nordic holds a strong lead heading into the final stretch of June, with a +4.80% return—more than a full percentage point ahead of the field. However, they dialed back their risk yesterday by trimming S-fund exposure to 50%, potentially limiting gains from today’s rally.

Pickles, currently in second place, remains fully invested in the C-fund, and could close the gap quickly if large caps outperform in the coming days.

The competition for the top 5 remains wide open. With only 0.50% separating second and tenth place, the prize spots are far from sealed. Half of the top 10 are fully invested in the S-fund, while the other half are sitting defensively in the G-fund. If today’s gains in the DWCPF (S-fund) hold, those with high S-fund exposure could see a meaningful jump in rank—but with several trading days left, there’s still time for another shift in momentum.

Here is the average allocation of the members with the ten best returns in June (excludes Premium Service):

G: 50.0%, F: 0.0%, C: 12.0%, S: 37.0%, I: 1.0%


Want in on the July Contest? Start your AutoTracker Account for free and establish an allocation before July 1st.

 

[TommyIV]

The number of AutoTracker members outperforming the S-fund in June dropped from 10 to 6 yesterday, as a 1.5% rally in both the C and S-funds pushed more conservative allocations down the leaderboard.



Nordic remains in the top spot, though their lead has narrowed. Notably, they are now the only member among the top six still holding G-fund shares. Pickles holds second place with a 100% allocation to the C-fund, while the remaining four are fully invested in the S-fund.

This morning, the S&P 500 (C-fund) is outperforming the DWCPF (S-fund) by a healthy margin. If the S-fund finishes the day in the red, we could see some of the G-fund holders reclaim a top position in the June standings.

 

[TommyIV]

Losses in the S-fund yesterday opened the door for some G-fund holders to climb the June standings. As of this morning, 13 members are now outperforming the S-fund for the month.



One of those is Rangeman36, whose 100% G-fund allocation has temporarily pushed them into the top 5. But with the DWCPF (S-fund) threatening a positive return this morning, that spot may be tough to hold. Just two trading days remain in June after today.

Average Allocation of Top 13 June Returns:

G: 33.1%, F: 0.0%, C: 13.1%, S: 47.7%, I: 6.2%


Start your AutoTracker account and establish your allocation before the Monday trade deadline at 12:10 PM ET to be included in the July AutoTracker Contest.

 

[TommyIV]

The S-fund came charging back with yesterday’s rally and is now ahead of most in our June standings—only seven members still have better returns, and we’ve got just two trading days to go.



Nordic is still hanging on to the top spot with a steady 50/50 split between the G and S-funds. But Pickles is hot on their heels—just 0.16% behind! For some context, back on June 18th, Nordic had a 0.62% lead over Pickles, so Pickles has been closing the gap

With two days left, Pickles is all-in on the C-fund and hoping for a strong finish—especially from the S&P 500—to claim the top spot and win the June TSP Talk AutoTracker Contest.

June Standings for Premium Members

 

[TommyIV]

Today is the final day of June and we have a close one in June AutoTracker Contest.

Nordic has held the best return for the month since we started this thread in the middle of the month, but Pickles took over the number one position after Friday's market action.



Pickles holds the number one position with a lead of 0.28 percentage points over Nordic with only today's action left. Pickles holds 100% C-fund today while Nordic holds 50% G and 50% S-fund. (Nordic made an IFT for today moving to 100% G-fund, but that won't take effect until tomorrow).

We give out prizes to the top 5 returns in the TSP Talk AutoTracker, and that fifth spot is not set in stone yet either. Coming into the day the fifth spot belongs to Tailgate with their 5.37% June return. They have a 0.30 percentage point lead over PublicEnemyNo1 and a 0.36 percentage point lead over steve10608. However, Tailgate locked in their June gains on Friday in a move to 100% G-fund, leaving them out of today's market action. Meanwhile PublicEnemyNo1 holds 100% I-fund, and steve10608 holds 100% S-fund.

The market opened up fifteen minutes ago and off the bat the S&P 500 (C-fund) and DWCPF (S-fund) have put together some modest gains above 0.2%. The emerging markets ETF ACWX (I-fund) is starting the morning in negative territory.

Get in on the July AutoTracker Contest! Start a free AutoTracker account and establish your allocation today to be eligible.

 

[rangerray]

Impressive. Nerves of steel. Wish I had some of that in my left foot.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk