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Interesting individual stocks
- Thread starter James48843
- Start date
Bullitt
Well-known member
Not sure what your time frame is, but there was big buying by one of the directors of MELI in mid-March. That director has not yet sold those shares.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1099590/000110465920034899/xslF345X03/tm2013040d1_form4.xml
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1099590/000110465920034899/xslF345X03/tm2013040d1_form4.xml
James48843
Well-known member
Interesting individual stock: AirBNB
AirBNB will be reporting earnings today, for the very first time. They became publicly traded in an IPO in December, so this will be the first time ever they have had to report earnings.
Nobody knows what it will be- their IPO was a jump from $45 preIPO, to triple that number within a few days. Today it stands around $181 a share, off its high of over $219 a share earlier this month.
It’s a heck of a gamble- but it is either going to jump, or fall, after earnings are released today after the closing bell.
If I had a ton of cash (which I do not), I would probably short the stock myself today. I think earnings will be interesting, but I really think it will be a case of sell on the news, and a fall over the next 24 hours.
No reason why, just a gut feeling. If I could short it, I’d short it right now at $181 a share, and see where we are tomorrow. But that is just me.
You decide. Take a look.
AirBNB,
stock symbol: ABNB
Good luck out there.
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AirBNB will be reporting earnings today, for the very first time. They became publicly traded in an IPO in December, so this will be the first time ever they have had to report earnings.
Nobody knows what it will be- their IPO was a jump from $45 preIPO, to triple that number within a few days. Today it stands around $181 a share, off its high of over $219 a share earlier this month.
It’s a heck of a gamble- but it is either going to jump, or fall, after earnings are released today after the closing bell.
If I had a ton of cash (which I do not), I would probably short the stock myself today. I think earnings will be interesting, but I really think it will be a case of sell on the news, and a fall over the next 24 hours.
No reason why, just a gut feeling. If I could short it, I’d short it right now at $181 a share, and see where we are tomorrow. But that is just me.
You decide. Take a look.
AirBNB,
stock symbol: ABNB
Good luck out there.
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
You could always buy some put options for a cheap price and sell their premiums for a quick gain. If you expect a big move in either direction it could be a low risk buy with a potential promising gain. Next time
James48843
Well-known member
AirBNB reports- earnings far above expectations.
$859 million reported, vs. $739 million expected.
Stock price jumps$4 a share in after-hours trading.
Well, I guess that’s why I’m not rich, isn’t it?
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$859 million reported, vs. $739 million expected.
Stock price jumps$4 a share in after-hours trading.
Well, I guess that’s why I’m not rich, isn’t it?
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
Bullitt
Well-known member
Longer term prospects for ABNB look favorable. The company itself has placed all the risk on individual ABNB'ers using their residence as lodging so they aren't losing money like other hotels right now. They really picked a bad time to IPO though, and the stock is very overpriced according to earnings which is no different from every other electric car/clean energy/most tech stocks right now.
Bullish case also says people will be more willing to use this as a form of income after losing their job during the pandemic, or just seeking additional income and don't want to drive a Lyft.
Bearish case is a big one. It's a niche thing and staying in an ABNB isn't for everybody. Most people would rather stay at a place that offers shuttles to the airport, access to key areas, and a name brand standard (Marriott).
Bullish case also says people will be more willing to use this as a form of income after losing their job during the pandemic, or just seeking additional income and don't want to drive a Lyft.
Bearish case is a big one. It's a niche thing and staying in an ABNB isn't for everybody. Most people would rather stay at a place that offers shuttles to the airport, access to key areas, and a name brand standard (Marriott).
James48843
Well-known member
Ok- can someone please tell me WHY Pfizer is so cheap right now?
Symbol PFE. It’s going for $36.
It was that price a year ago.
Pfizer is making a bundle on Covid vaccine- I mean like a Huuuge bundle. And that is going to keep going for a long time.
And last week Pfizer mentioned that it now has the technology to make Covid type vaccines. And it’s like the leading provider in the world- ahead of all the others, both time wise and success wise.
So tell me- why is this still a $36 stock and not a $200 stock right now? It’s got a forward PE of 12. Twelve! And it’s paying almost a 5% dividend. What am I missing that this is only a $36 stock?
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Symbol PFE. It’s going for $36.
It was that price a year ago.
Pfizer is making a bundle on Covid vaccine- I mean like a Huuuge bundle. And that is going to keep going for a long time.
And last week Pfizer mentioned that it now has the technology to make Covid type vaccines. And it’s like the leading provider in the world- ahead of all the others, both time wise and success wise.
So tell me- why is this still a $36 stock and not a $200 stock right now? It’s got a forward PE of 12. Twelve! And it’s paying almost a 5% dividend. What am I missing that this is only a $36 stock?
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Khotso
Active member
Maybe it has something to do with its size (market capitalization) relative to Moderna, BioNtech? It's among the largest corporations in the world market cap-wise. So maybe it's vaccine profits are relatively small compared to its value and other profits?
Pure speculation here, but maybe a bunch of their drugs are about to be eligible for generic and they'll lose that revenue stream?
Bullitt
Well-known member
First, everything about covid vaccines has been factored in since April 2020. Consider that Warren Buffet opened a position in PFE in 3Q 2020 only to exit completely in the next quarter. He did maintain his MRK, TEVA, JNJ holdings though.
PFE had large dividend hikes in 2019 and 2020. It's payout ratio is currently 120% which means they are using debt to make the dividend payment.
Either they lower their debt or cut the dividend.
In 2020, XOM ended up making all kinds of cuts, including cutting 401k matches just to maintain their dividend. At the time it was around 8%+ and the payout ratio was north of 400% where it still stands today. Unless earnings turn around, both PFE and XOM dividends are unsustainable.
Cutting dividends is always a risk when buying dividend stocks and is inherently bearish.
PFE had large dividend hikes in 2019 and 2020. It's payout ratio is currently 120% which means they are using debt to make the dividend payment.
Either they lower their debt or cut the dividend.
In 2020, XOM ended up making all kinds of cuts, including cutting 401k matches just to maintain their dividend. At the time it was around 8%+ and the payout ratio was north of 400% where it still stands today. Unless earnings turn around, both PFE and XOM dividends are unsustainable.
Cutting dividends is always a risk when buying dividend stocks and is inherently bearish.
bmneveu
Well-known member
Anyone still own MARA - Congratulations!
from $.38 to current over $57 within a year
I get out way to early.
Nope but I'm in plenty that feel like they are heading down to $0.38!
Kidding, sort of. Stocks only go up, right?!
James48843
Well-known member
My son recently started working for Tractor Supply Company (TSCO).
They seem to have good, solid growth and a clear path ahead. It’s currently trading at $205 a share and the dividend is $2 a share.
I’m thinking I’ll hold for a bit- What say you?
TSCO $205.07 (-0.09%) on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSCO?p=TSCO
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They seem to have good, solid growth and a clear path ahead. It’s currently trading at $205 a share and the dividend is $2 a share.
I’m thinking I’ll hold for a bit- What say you?
TSCO $205.07 (-0.09%) on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSCO?p=TSCO
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Bullitt
Well-known member
I like the company, not the stock at this price. Like LOW and HD, they've ridden the housing renovation boom during the COVID stimulus and that momentum is starting to cool.
Fundamentals, it's ROE is very good, but all value metrics are at 5-year or more highs.
Chart standpoint, the technicals are very strong, but I'd wait for a pullback to buy in. The most recent buy price was around $195.
Fundamentals, it's ROE is very good, but all value metrics are at 5-year or more highs.
Chart standpoint, the technicals are very strong, but I'd wait for a pullback to buy in. The most recent buy price was around $195.
James48843
Well-known member
Interesting individual stock: another vaccine maker.
Novavax ( Symbol NVAX) is a newer company expecting to get a go ahead from a number of countries for a new Covid-19 vaccine.
Currently trading at $163 a share, it’s been all over the place for the last year. They expect to begin getting an emergency use authorization for Indonesia before the end of the year, and expect to ship 2 BILLION doses by the end of 2022. It has the potential to become a major player a a few month to a year from now.
Worth a long shot at $163 current price. What do you think?
More: NVAX $163.76 (-3.27%) on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVAX?p=NVAX
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Novavax ( Symbol NVAX) is a newer company expecting to get a go ahead from a number of countries for a new Covid-19 vaccine.
Currently trading at $163 a share, it’s been all over the place for the last year. They expect to begin getting an emergency use authorization for Indonesia before the end of the year, and expect to ship 2 BILLION doses by the end of 2022. It has the potential to become a major player a a few month to a year from now.
Worth a long shot at $163 current price. What do you think?
More: NVAX $163.76 (-3.27%) on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVAX?p=NVAX
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James48843
Well-known member
Here is a sector I am currently playing in- travel.
I’m currently invested in Blue Green Vacation Holdings (symbol BHV) ($30.93 today).
BHV is a time share company- they got hit hard by Covid, but are bouncing back nicely. Looks like people are traveling again, and time shares might be selling better than hotel rooms this time around.
Also I own shares of Choice Hotels (symbol CHH). They’ve been doing above average for the market sector , and they are one of the few Hotel chains that pay a dividend. Currently priced around $147.80 a share.
CHH $147.80 (-2.15%) on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CHH?p=CHH
Enjoy.
What’s in your wallet/account?
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I’m currently invested in Blue Green Vacation Holdings (symbol BHV) ($30.93 today).
BHV is a time share company- they got hit hard by Covid, but are bouncing back nicely. Looks like people are traveling again, and time shares might be selling better than hotel rooms this time around.
Also I own shares of Choice Hotels (symbol CHH). They’ve been doing above average for the market sector , and they are one of the few Hotel chains that pay a dividend. Currently priced around $147.80 a share.
CHH $147.80 (-2.15%) on Yahoo Finance https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CHH?p=CHH
Enjoy.
What’s in your wallet/account?
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James48843
Well-known member
Another individual stock I think is about to pop big.
Check out ESMT , which is Engagesmart LLC. It’s a software application company/ data management co. I understand it, but I can’t really explain it well to others, so you please do your research.
I think it’s about to pop, because it’s a very recent IPO, it has had only one quarter of earnings data published, and it’s about to show what I think will be an unexpected positive cash flow and profitability.
The earnings date is Feb 15, so all bets have to be in before that. It’s currently trading at just over $20 a share.
I THINK (maybe 70% certain) that earnings are going to surprise big, that year over year growth is going to be like 50%, which will be higher than expected. And that is going to reset expectations going forward.
I am thinking it’s likely to jump 20% to 25% in value in the next 14 days.
But then again, I could be wrong, and it might just tank.
Just saying- take a good hard look at the back story, and the earnings date of Feb 15.
Stock symbol: ESMT.
I’m looking closely at it. No guarantees, but it intrigues me at this exact moment in time.
Blue Horseshoe is fond of ESMT.
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Check out ESMT , which is Engagesmart LLC. It’s a software application company/ data management co. I understand it, but I can’t really explain it well to others, so you please do your research.
I think it’s about to pop, because it’s a very recent IPO, it has had only one quarter of earnings data published, and it’s about to show what I think will be an unexpected positive cash flow and profitability.
The earnings date is Feb 15, so all bets have to be in before that. It’s currently trading at just over $20 a share.
I THINK (maybe 70% certain) that earnings are going to surprise big, that year over year growth is going to be like 50%, which will be higher than expected. And that is going to reset expectations going forward.
I am thinking it’s likely to jump 20% to 25% in value in the next 14 days.
But then again, I could be wrong, and it might just tank.
Just saying- take a good hard look at the back story, and the earnings date of Feb 15.
Stock symbol: ESMT.
I’m looking closely at it. No guarantees, but it intrigues me at this exact moment in time.
Blue Horseshoe is fond of ESMT.
Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
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