I-Fund Trying to Breakout

[tsptalk]

The action in the EFA (I-fund) went from a possible peak in a bear market, to a possible bull flag, to a bull flag breakout today. If that 200-day EMA weren't in the way I'd be looking at the I-fund more seriously now. If we can see 63.50 to 64.00, it would be game on for the I-fund.

 

[Skorcher]

Does a weaker dollar help or hurt the I Fund? Yesterday EFA was up over 1% and the I fund was only up .47%. The dollar (UUP) also weakened. I hope the mysterious fair value process is in our favor today.

 

[ATCJeff]

Weaker dollar helps the I fund. The low gain for the I fund yesterday was due to the fact that the US markets took off late in the day.

Back when we had unlimited trades, we use to play the fair value game. There were some sharp people on the board who could almost predict the fair value +/- to the penny each day.

Does a weaker dollar help or hurt the I Fund? Yesterday EFA was up over 1% and the I fund was only up .47%. The dollar (UUP) also weakened. I hope the mysterious fair value process is in our favor today.

 

[Nordic]

Weaker dollar helps the I fund. The low gain for the I fund yesterday was due to the fact that the US markets took off late in the day.

Back when we had unlimited trades, we use to play the fair value game. There were some sharp people on the board who could almost predict the fair value +/- to the penny each day.

And with the USD down about 1.2% today, which doesn't happen often, it will be interesting to see what the I fund return will be at the end of the day.

 

[FireWeatherMet]

The action in the EFA (I-fund) went from a possible peak in a bear market, to a possible bull flag, to a bull flag breakout today. If that 200-day EMA weren't in the way I'd be looking at the I-fund more seriously now. If we can see 63.50 to 64.00, it would be game on for the I-fund.

After Hours : 62.99

+0.56 (0.90%) 5:14PM EST

Nearing 63...game on???
Actually closed at 63.22 on Feb 5th

 

[nnuut]

Where is a Bear Flag?

 

[tsptalk]

Where is a Bear Flag?

That's bull! at:

Now, hit ctrl-F5 and watch the magic.

 

[nnuut]

Must be MAGIC?

 

[tsptalk]

Europe up big and the dollar is falling pretty good today. It could be a big day for the I-fund... but we know what happens when we talk about it... :Flush:

 

[Cactus]

Sounds like you think the guys at BlackRock regularly read this thread. The cynic in me says they do. :suspicious:

 

[Bquat]

Sounds like you think the guys at BlackRock regularly read this thread. The cynic in me says they do. :suspicious:

My theory is that they watch the TSP members move buy after the deadline and sell it to us at the higher price after the close.:suspicious:

 

[tsptalk]

Sounds like you think the guys at BlackRock regularly read this thread. The cynic in me says they do. :suspicious:

It's more of a superstition thing for me. Every time I brag about a position or how good I'm doing, etc., the market gods seem to humble me.

It's true of everything, whether poker, investments, sports, etc. The universe makes the cocky pay by swatting us back to reality. :twak:


(remember richard sherman during the 3rd quarter of the superbowl bragging about outplaying Regis (sp?) when Seattle had a 10-point lead?)

 

[nnuut]

 

[tsptalk]

As FWM mentioned, another bull flag breakout. Now if it can hold above the 200-day EMA we may have something.

 

[nasa1974]

Looks like that breakout may have created a gap. Not good for a long run up.

 

[Birchtree]

That could be the head fake -not all gaps get closed.

 

[Maricar19]

Hi Nnut, I haven't heard of the Filipino proverb quoted above, but good to know...

 

[law87]

I'm willing to bet the next few years in I fund is going to be like the past few years in the S-fund. Simply because QE is starting in europe, like it or not QE really boosted the market over here, I have a feeling it will be the same for europe.

 

[FireWeatherMet]

With rate hikes looming in the US, but Europe and Asia poised for better times, it may be time to get onto the -I- Train before it leaves the station.

Time to Buy Japan’s Blue Chips

Japan’s big stocks like Hitachi, NTT, and Toyota are reforming and now offer possible gains of 30% or more

Time to Buy Japan

And stop bickering over not understanding its daily returns...its the return 6 weeks to 6 months later you should be looking at. ;swear

That one might be very easy to understand,:smile: